WLFI Token Faces Wheel-of-Fortune Launch and Retail Risk

World Liberty Financial’s WLFI token is set to begin trading on the Ethereum mainnet on 1 September 2025, with only 20 per cent of the total supply unlocked for early supporters, while the remaining 80 per cent remains under community‑governance lock. Funding rounds have raised up to $2.26 billion, including significant equity backing from ALT5 Sigma, attributing a paper valuation—and potential risk—for retail traders.

Trading commences at 12:00 UTC on 1 September, when presale participants can claim and exchange the portion of tokens unlocked by activating the audited “Lockbox” smart contract. A week‑long activation window began on 25 August to prepare wallets. The initial release affects only a fraction of the total supply; community votes will determine release schedules for the locked remainder.

Pre‑launch futures activity offers a stark view of market sentiment. WLFI perpetual contracts debuted around $0.42, implying a fully diluted valuation of $40 billion. However, futures prices plunged 44 per cent shortly after, collapsing from $0.44 to below $0.25 and slashing the FDV to $24 billion, amid heavy shorting and a sharply negative funding rate of around ‑35 per cent.

Tokenomics reveal a further concentration of risk: insiders—including the Trump family—hold a vast share of true control. Estimates suggest between 75 per cent and over 80 per cent of the supply remains allocated to founders, team members, and affiliated entities, with release terms opaque and subject to governance decisions.

The project has drawn intense scrutiny for its centralised structure and ethical implications. Reuters reported that the Trump family raised approximately $550 million through WLFI token sales and now claims around 75 per cent of net revenue. That level of control starkly contrasts with the decentralised ideals usually associated with DeFi. Commentary in outlets such as The New Yorker emphasises how such arrangements echo a “raffle-ticket” model, whereby early purchasers gain governance power and speculative upside while insiders benefit disproportionately, fuelling concerns about influence‑peddling and conflicts of interest.

Further fuelling caution, benzinga commentary and crypto analysts warn that the small circulatable portion at launch, paired with concentrated insider holdings, could make WLFI’s valuation look inflated on paper—yet leave retail investors exposed if token dumps or sell pressure emerge post‑launch.

Pending regulatory clarity also looms large. With USD1 stablecoin already launched and tied to WLFI’s ecosystem, the project’s compliance with securities laws remains under question, especially given public funds, centralised control, and political ties.

Experts urge prospective investors to proceed with caution. The disparity between locked and unlocked supply, the volatility seen in derivatives markets, and the centralisation of control combine to form a high-risk scenario reminiscent of past politically affiliated crypto launches. While some anticipate short-term rallies driven by hype and governance claims, the sustainability and fairness of WLFI’s structure remain deeply uncertain.

Arabian Post – Crypto News Network