Textile exporters lift equities on tariff tailwinds

Textile exporters have emerged as some of the strongest performers on Dalal Street this year, as investors price in improved access to the US and UK markets for suppliers of garments, towels, bed linen and home furnishings to global retailers including Walmart, Gap and JCPenney.

The rally has been led by export-heavy names such as Gokaldas Exports, KPR Mill, Welspun Living, Trident, Indo Count Industries and Pearl Global Industries, whose earnings prospects have brightened after tariff relief in key overseas markets. The sector has drawn renewed attention at a time when broader equities have faced bouts of volatility linked to global rates, trade uncertainty and uneven consumption trends.

The immediate trigger has been a series of trade developments that have altered expectations for the industry. A trade understanding with the US reduced tariffs on a range of goods, easing pressure on apparel exporters that had been absorbing costs to protect long-standing customer relationships. The India-UK Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, due to take effect on July 15, is expected to remove tariffs of up to 12 per cent on textiles and clothing shipped to Britain.

That change is significant for companies competing against Bangladesh, Vietnam, Cambodia and China in price-sensitive categories. Apparel and home textile exports operate on thin margins, and even a modest tariff difference can influence sourcing decisions by large retailers. Zero-duty access to the UK strengthens the case for shifting more orders to factories with scale, compliance records and established relationships with global buyers.

Gokaldas Exports has become a focal point for the trade. The Bengaluru-based apparel exporter manufactures about 90 million garments a year and earns a large share of revenue from the US, while also serving markets such as Canada, the UK and France. Its customer base includes major retailers, making it one of the more direct beneficiaries of improved tariff conditions. The company’s fiscal 2025 revenue stood at about ₹38.64 billion, and management has indicated scope for margins to move into double digits as the benefit of lower duties flows through.

Welspun Living, one of the world’s largest home textile manufacturers, is another major beneficiary of the shift. Its presence in towels, sheets, rugs and other home products gives it exposure to large-format retail demand in North America and Europe. The company has also invested in traceability, sustainable cotton sourcing and branded offerings, areas increasingly monitored by overseas buyers under stricter compliance and environmental standards.

KPR Mill, with its integrated operations across yarn, fabric, garments and sugar, has attracted investor interest because of its operating scale and relatively strong balance sheet. Pearl Global Industries and Indo Count Industries have also gained attention as investors look beyond the most visible exporters to companies with capacity expansion plans, customer diversification and scope to improve utilisation.

The rally has not been confined to a single trade event. Textile counters moved sharply in February after the US tariff relief, again after clarity on the UK agreement, and then attracted further institutional interest as brokerages initiated coverage on several sector names. Some reports have projected potential upside of more than 40 per cent in select stocks, though the bullish view is not uniform. More conservative calls on parts of the sector reflect concerns over valuations, cotton prices, wage inflation and execution risks.

The optimism also comes after a difficult period. Higher US tariffs had squeezed exporters, forcing some companies to absorb costs or offer discounts. Global retailers delayed shipments in parts of fiscal 2025 as tariff uncertainty disrupted ordering cycles. Demand in discretionary categories such as home textiles has been uneven, especially in the US, where retailers worked through excess inventory after the pandemic-era surge.

That makes the latest rally a test of whether tariff gains can translate into sustained earnings growth. Investors are looking for evidence of higher order books, improved realisations and better plant utilisation over the next two to four quarters. Margin expansion will depend not only on lower duties but also on raw material prices, currency movement, freight costs and the ability of exporters to negotiate better terms with buyers.

The rupee’s movement will also be important. A weaker rupee generally supports exporters, but higher imported input costs can dilute the advantage. Cotton price volatility remains another risk, particularly for companies that cannot pass on cost increases quickly. Compliance spending, labour availability and delivery timelines will influence whether larger buyers shift orders at scale.