Ninety One Plc Invests in UAE Stocks Amid Trade War Concerns

Asset management firm Ninety One Plc is increasing its investments in United Arab Emirates equities to mitigate exposure to the ongoing trade tensions initiated by U.S. President Donald Trump. The company’s emerging-markets equity team, overseeing $11 billion in assets, is targeting markets less affected by U.S. tariffs, according to co-portfolio manager Varun Laijawalla. This strategy includes acquiring shares in UAE-based companies such as Emaar Properties PJSC and Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank PJSC.

Emaar Properties, a leading real estate developer in the UAE, has experienced fluctuations in its stock performance. On March 14, 2025, the Dubai Financial Market index declined by 0.9%, influenced by losses in the real estate sector due to new tariff threats from President Trump. Emaar Properties and its construction subsidiary, Emaar Development, saw their shares decrease by 2.2% and 2.8%, respectively.

Despite these short-term declines, Emaar Properties has demonstrated resilience over the past year. The company’s stock has shown a 69.91% increase over the last 12 months, indicating strong growth potential.

Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank , another focus of Ninety One’s investment strategy, has also shown notable financial performance. In 2024, ADCB reported revenues of AED 16.61 billion, marking a 19.64% increase compared to the previous year’s AED 13.88 billion. Earnings for the same period reached AED 8.74 billion, reflecting an 11.80% increase.

The bank’s stock has been trading within a 52-week range of AED 7.61 to AED 12.60, with a market capitalization of approximately AED 76.67 billion.

Ninety One’s strategic move to invest in UAE markets aligns with its objective to find “uncorrelated markets” less susceptible to the adverse effects of U.S. tariffs. The firm, formerly known as Investec Asset Management, rebranded to Ninety One in 2020 to reflect its founding year and has since been listed on both the London and Johannesburg Stock Exchanges.

As of December 31, 2022, Ninety One managed approximately $159 billion in assets, offering a range of active strategies across equities, fixed income, multi-asset, and alternative investments.

The firm’s decision to bolster investments in the UAE comes amid broader market reactions to global trade tensions. On March 11, 2025, major Gulf markets experienced declines due to investor concerns over a potential U.S. recession triggered by widespread trade conflicts. The Saudi Arabian index fell by 1.3%, with significant decreases in Al Rajhi Bank and Saudi National Bank. Similarly, Dubai’s index decreased by 1.1%, affected by a 2.3% drop in Emaar Properties and a 1.9% decline in Emirates NBD.

However, by March 12, 2025, Gulf stock markets displayed mixed results amid hopes for a Ukraine ceasefire and ongoing concerns over U.S. tariffs. Dubai’s main index rose by 0.7%, led by gains in Emaar Properties and Dubai Islamic Bank, while Abu Dhabi’s index increased by 0.4%. Conversely, Saudi Arabia’s index experienced a slight decline of 0.1%.

The UAE’s economic environment presents opportunities for investors seeking markets less correlated with U.S. trade policies. Ninety One’s targeted investments in companies like Emaar Properties and ADCB reflect a strategic approach to navigating global trade uncertainties while capitalizing on the growth potential within the UAE.

Emaar Properties continues to be a significant player in the UAE’s real estate sector, with a market capitalization of AED 122.42 billion and a dividend yield of 7.22%. The company’s earnings per share stand at AED 1.53, and it is scheduled to release its next earnings report on May 8, 2025.

Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank maintains a strong presence in the UAE’s banking industry, with a public float of 2.91 billion shares. The bank’s robust financial performance and strategic initiatives position it well to navigate the challenges posed by global trade dynamics.

Ninety One’s emphasis on identifying investment opportunities in markets less affected by U.S. tariffs underscores its commitment to delivering value to its clients while mitigating risks associated with global trade tensions. By focusing on the UAE’s resilient sectors, the firm aims to achieve sustainable growth in an increasingly complex economic landscape.