Polymarket cleared for full US relaunch

The prediction-market platform Polymarket has gained regulatory clearance to resume operations in the United States following approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The move positions Polymarket to re-enter a market it exited after a settlement with the regulator in 2022, signalling a major shift in how event-based trading may evolve in the US financial ecosystem.

Polymarket, founded by Shayne Coplan in 2020 and headquartered in New York City, agreed to pay a US$1.4 million penalty in 2022 for running an unregistered derivatives trading platform for US users and subsequently blocked American access. The company operated offshore in the interim. The pathway back into the domestic market opened when Polymarket acquired QCX LLC, a Florida-based derivatives exchange and clearinghouse that already held CFTC licences. That acquisition cost US$112 million, paving the way for regulatory compliance. Filings show QCX was designated as a “designated contract market” by the CFTC on 9 July 2025.

In September the CFTC issued a no-action letter to QCX and QC Clearing, exempting them from certain swap-data reporting and record-keeping requirements in relation to event contracts. This relief underpinned Polymarket’s return plans. According to sources the platform is now onboarding select US customers in a beta phase ahead of full rollout, with initial trading markets expected to focus on sports and pop-culture outcomes. Polymarket has stated it will operate through a fully regulated US-compliant structure and self-certify markets for US users.

Polymarket stands in a more competitive field than when it left. Peer Kalshi, likewise a US-licensed event-contract platform, secured major funding and a US regulatory victory in the preceding period. Kalshi’s US positioning has prompted other entrants—including FanDuel and DraftKings—to develop federally compliant “predictions” offerings. Polymarket’s re-entry means the event-trading sector is becoming a more mainstream component of financial and sentiment-based markets rather than a niche crypto experiment.

Industry watchers view the CFTC’s approval as indicative of a broader regulatory willingness to accommodate prediction markets, provided they operate under transparent, licenced frameworks. Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham has previously described event contracts as an “important new frontier.” Polymarket’s CEO Coplan declared on social media: “Polymarket has been given the green light to go live in the USA by the @CFTC. Credit to the Commission and staff for their impressive work. This process has been accomplished in record timing.”

Polymarket claims that global users placed about US$6 billion worth of predictions in the first half of 2025 alone on its platform, covering politics, entertainment and economy. Critics contend that even under regulated models, event markets carry risks of gambling-style behaviour and could present transparency and integrity challenges. Some US state regulators have expressed concern that such products may bypass traditional gaming laws under the guise of financial contracts.