Bitcoin has surged to command approximately 64 per cent of the global cryptocurrency market, a dominance level unseen since January 2021 and propelled by heavy institutional inflows following the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s approval of Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024. This increased dominance has coincided with a resurgence in confidence for Ethereum, which has seen its share climb from around 7.1 per cent in April to approximately 9.3 per cent today.
This shift marks a turning point in crypto capital flows. For many investors, Bitcoin remains the safe harbour amid global market volatility and rising macroeconomic uncertainty. According to the Financial Times, heightened Bitcoin dominance is underpinned by “heightened institutional investment,” with major hedge funds such as Millennium Management and Brevan Howard among top ETF holders. Smaller tokens have lost ground as smart money funnels into the more established and liquid assets.
Ethereum’s revival reflects this evolving dynamic. Once languishing with just over 7 per cent market share in April, it has rebounded to 9.3 per cent. Analysts attribute the rise to improving investor sentiment and increasing adoption of Ethereum-based applications. Technical indicators also support a bullish outlook: Ethereum’s market value has risen nearly 48 per cent over the past three months, compared to Bitcoin’s 31 per cent.
Chart patterns signal a potential inflection. Bitcoin dominance has encountered resistance at around 64–65 per cent, hinting at a possible reversal. Analysts such as “Astronomer” on social platforms point out that Bitcoin’s market share is approaching a critical ceiling and may soon recede—a shift that historically precedes renewed altcoin activity.
Investor behaviour appears to reflect this emerging balance. Spot Ethereum ETFs have attracted sustained inflows, with over US$1.3 billion entering ETH products across 19 consecutive days. Additionally, ‘smart money’ whale activity in ETH protocols indicates a strategic accumulation, even as retail traders step back. These large-scale holders are said to control nearly 27 per cent of the total ETH supply—an indication of growing institutional confidence.
Market analysts underscore that Bitcoin dominance near 64 per cent still keeps altcoins marginalised. Daan Crypto warns that unless Bitcoin dominance dips below this level, funds will remain weighted toward Bitcoin. The Altcoin Season Index—a metric tracking the performance of top altcoins relative to Bitcoin—currently sits in the 30s, suggesting a fading but not yet full-blown move into altcoins. Historically, a shift above 75 triggers more substantive altcoin rallies.
Nevertheless, proponents argue that liquidity rotation is underway. Ethereum’s rise is seen as the vanguard, often signalling broader market rotation into high-cap alternatives. As Maxwell Mutuma noted, “Altcoins have spent a good part of 2025 playing catch‑up…with Bitcoin’s dominance at 64 per cent, it’s certainly raised some concerns,” even as “Ethereum’s recent surge hints at a broader altcoin rotation”.
Despite current trends, caution remains. Analyst Severino has advised that although technical indicators support a pullback in Bitcoin’s dominance, any full-scale altcoin rally is not yet assured. He emphasises that meaningful declines below 62 per cent in Bitcoin dominance would be needed to confirm a structural shift in asset allocation.
Ethereum stands at the centre of this crossroads. With its market share approaching 9.3 per cent, ongoing technological updates such as the upcoming Pectra upgrade may reinforce investor confidence and drive further capital inflows.
The current scene paints a narrative of cautious optimism. Bitcoin remains firmly dominant, buoyed by institutional demand, but Ethereum’s resurgence signals that capital is beginning to trickle back into the altcoin space. Whether this marks the vanguard of a broader altcoin resurgence or simply a temporary reprieve will depend on whether Bitcoin dominance retreats from its 64 per cent plateau.
Arabian Post – Crypto News Network
