The longstanding grip of Airbus and Boeing on the passenger jet market could be loosening, according to industry insiders. Firoz Tarapore, head of aircraft leasing giant Dubai Aerospace Enterprise (DAE), believes that China’s state-owned planemaker, COMAC, has a unique opportunity to disrupt the current duopoly within the next decade.
Tarapore points to the challenges faced by both Airbus and Boeing as key factors opening the door for COMAC. Airbus is currently struggling to ramp up production despite a surge in orders, while Boeing is still grappling with regulatory scrutiny following safety issues with their new 737 MAX aircraft.
COMAC’s main contender, the C919 narrow-body jet, has received positive reviews from Tarapore, who describes it as “a perfectly fine aircraft. ” The C919 is designed to compete directly with Airbus’ A320 and Boeing’s 737 MAX, the workhorses of the short and medium-haul travel market.
However, COMAC currently faces limitations in its market reach. While the C919 has received certification in China, its presence outside the domestic market is minimal, with only one Indonesian airline currently operating the aircraft.
Despite this limited footprint, Tarapore argues that Airbus and Boeing’s current difficulties present COMAC with a golden opportunity. The European and American giants are currently unable to fully meet airline demand, creating a potential gap that COMAC could exploit.
Industry analysts remain cautious, highlighting the need for COMAC to overcome several hurdles before becoming a serious competitor. These challenges include convincing airlines outside of China to adopt the C919, establishing a robust after-sales support network, and navigating potential geopolitical tensions.
Certification by Western regulatory authorities is also seen as a crucial step for COMAC’s global ambitions. Without this approval, widespread adoption by airlines operating outside of China is unlikely.
COMAC is actively working towards these goals, but it remains to be seen how quickly they can achieve them. The next decade will be crucial in determining whether COMAC can establish itself as a legitimate challenger to Airbus and Boeing’s dominance in the passenger jet market.
