Arabian Post Staff -Dubai
The Gulf Cooperation Council economies are poised to outpace global economic growth in 2025, driven by strategic diversification efforts and robust non-oil sector expansion. According to First Abu Dhabi Bank’s latest Global Investment Outlook report, the GCC’s gross domestic product is projected to nearly double, reaching 3.6% in 2025, surpassing the International Monetary Fund’s global growth forecast of 2.8%.
Saudi Arabia stands at the forefront of this regional surge, with its non-oil GDP anticipated to grow by 4.4% in 2025, up from 3.5% the previous year. This projection aligns with PwC’s analysis, which also foresees a 4.4% expansion in the kingdom’s non-oil economy for the same period. The IMF further estimates that Saudi Arabia’s overall economy will expand by 3.3% in 2025, with growth accelerating to 4.1% in 2026. This optimistic outlook is bolstered by Moody’s recent upgrade of Saudi Arabia’s sovereign credit rating to Aa3, reflecting the success of its economic diversification initiatives and reduced reliance on oil revenues.
The United Arab Emirates is also projected to experience significant economic growth. The IMF forecasts a 5.1% increase in the UAE’s GDP for 2025, while the World Bank anticipates growth rates of 4% in 2025 and 4.1% in 2026. These projections are underpinned by the UAE’s strategic investments in non-oil sectors, business-friendly regulations, and a low corporate tax regime. S&P Global Ratings highlights that the UAE’s GDP growth is expected to remain strong between 2025 and 2027, supported by buoyant non-hydrocarbon activities.
Oxford Economics echoes this positive sentiment, predicting that the GCC’s regional GDP growth will nearly double to 3.6% in 2025, outpacing the global forecast of 2.8%. This growth is attributed to gradual increases in oil production and sustained robust trajectories in non-energy sectors. The World Bank concurs, projecting that the GCC region will grow by 3.4% in 2025 and 4.1% in 2026, compared to an expected 3.3% growth rate for the broader Middle East and North Africa region.
FAB’s Group Head of Global Private Banking, Michel Longhini, emphasized the region’s resilience, stating, “The 2025 global economic environment presents unique challenges, but the GCC region continues to stand out as a beacon of resilience and opportunity.” This resilience is further demonstrated by the UAE’s non-oil GDP growth, which is expected to remain strong at 4.9% in 2024 and 5% in 2025, supported by government initiatives to attract foreign investments and promote economic diversification.
In Saudi Arabia, economic growth is expected to accelerate in 2025 due to an increase in oil production, following two years of modest performance. A Reuters poll of economists indicates that the kingdom’s economy is forecasted to grow by 4.4% in 2025, up from an anticipated 1.3% this year. This growth is driven by plans to reverse previous production cuts and bolster non-oil revenues.
