Arabian Post Staff -Dubai
Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund posted a 60 per cent plunge in net profit for 2024, even as its assets surpassed the US $1 trillion mark, the fund disclosed on 30 June. The drop came amid persistent high interest rates, inflationary pressures, and a wave of impairments tied to escalated costs and shifting operational plans.
Net income dwindled to 25.8 billion riyals, down sharply from 64.4 billion riyals in the prior year. This contrast underscored the divergence between headline growth and bottom‑line volatility within Saudi Arabia’s principal engine for economic diversification.
Assets under management rose by 18 per cent to 4.321 trillion riyals, up from 3.664 trillion riyals in 2023. The surge came largely from fresh capital injections, including transfers from oil‑linked revenues, plus appreciation in existing holdings, particularly in domestic champions such as Saudi Aramco and Saudi National Bank.
Yet, comprehensive income—an accounting measure that factors in unrealised gains and asset revaluations—tipped into negative territory, registering a 140 billion riyals loss following a gain of 138.1 billion riyals the previous year. The swing reflected deep writedowns, tied to project revaluations across the PIF’s footprint.
Monica Malik, chief economist at Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, attributed the downturn in part to recalibration of investment strategies. She highlighted how “prioritisation of some projects and the extension in the timelines of some giga projects could have been a factor for the impairments,” and pointed to rising costs as another pressure point.
Among these giga‑projects is NEOM, an ambitious urban megacity on Saudi’s Red Sea coast. Backed by hundreds of billions of dollars in PIF funding, NEOM remains central to the fund’s strategy, though its scale and timeline have been under increased scrutiny amid cost inflation and changing economic dynamics.
Cash reserves stood firm at 316 billion riyals, while group loans edged up to 570 billion riyals, signalling ongoing borrowing to propel expansions. This reflects PIF’s dual posture: aggressive investment on one hand, and debt financing on the other.
Historically, PIF has been pivotal to Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 programme—Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s blueprint to reduce national dependence on oil by building world‑class tourism, tech and renewable sectors. Since 2015, the fund’s remit expanded from passive equity holdings to sovereign‑directed mega‑investments. By end‑2024, PIF had amassed over US $1 trillion in assets, bolstered by successive Aramco asset transfers.
Its investment portfolio spans global holdings—Uber, Boeing, Disney—and domestic ventures like Qiddiya, the Red Sea luxury resort and NEOM. The fund also pursued high‑profile investments, including planned stakes in Heathrow Airport and European hotel chains. Overseeing this expansion has drawn both political and governance scrutiny, reflecting complex trade‑offs under Saudi rules.
Despite today’s profit contraction, the growth in assets cements the fund’s scale and influence. Dividends from Aramco and SNB now fuel a substantial portion of PIF’s recurring income, augmenting returns from non‑oil investments.
The portfolio writedowns—particularly impairments linked to escalated project outlays—underline broader macroeconomic challenges. High global interest rates have upped the cost of capital for long‑gestating developments, while inflation has pushed construction, labour and materials costs upward. PIF’s balance sheet has borne both pressures.
Operating amid this headwind, the fund has begun recalibrating timelines and reprioritising capital deployment. Malik’s comments suggest PIF faces a complex balancing act: stewarding mega‑projects while preserving fiscal discipline. Illiquidity risk, rising debt and market exposure also feature in ongoing risk assessments.
In parallel, PIF is broadening its footprint via bond issuances and global partnerships. According to finance industry disclosures, it is preparing a seven‑year sukuk targeting US $1.25 billion in proceeds. Such moves signal evolving financing strategies that complement traditional government funding and cash reserves.
Central to this outlook is Vision 2030. Despite the profit slump, PIF retains its mandate to catalyse non‑oil economic sectors, from tourism to tech to renewable energy. Arab regional peers have pursued similar diversification, but few match PIF’s scale. The fund’s willingness to shoulder large‑scale writedowns may reflect long‑term thinking: strategic build‑out today, stabilised returns in future decades.
Global investors and markets will likely watch upcoming quarterly and full‑year data for signs of recovery or further calibrations. Rising global interest rates remain a wildcard. Additionally, cost overruns in mega‑projects may prompt sharper scrutiny and public debate about deliverables.
PIF’s holding company, chaired by the Crown Prince, retains political backing, but governance observers continue to emphasise improved transparency and oversight. The fund’s decisions now carry wider implications: not just for returns, but as a barometer for Saudi Arabia’s Long‑Term economic strategy.
