Arabian Post Staff -Dubai
The Central Bank of the UAE has upgraded its economic growth forecast for 2024, projecting a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increase of 4%. This revision reflects a strong performance from the non-oil sector, which is anticipated to grow by 4.7% in both 2024 and 2025, contributing significantly to the overall economic expansion.
The updated outlook indicates resilience in the UAE’s economy despite global uncertainties, particularly influenced by fluctuations in oil prices and geopolitical developments. The bank’s projections suggest a continuation of positive trends observed in various sectors, such as tourism, logistics, and manufacturing. As a key driver of this growth, the non-oil sector has shown robust recovery and adaptability, supported by government initiatives aimed at diversifying the economy and enhancing investment.
Analysis from various economic experts highlights that the non-oil sectors, including tourism and logistics, have rebounded strongly post-pandemic. The UAE has implemented several strategic plans, such as the Economic Diversification Plan, which aims to reduce dependence on oil revenues and bolster non-oil industries. The real estate market also contributes to this growth trajectory, as demand for both commercial and residential properties remains high.
The UAE’s GDP growth is expected to be supported by government spending and investment in infrastructure projects. The 2024 budget reflects an ambitious plan to enhance public services and promote economic activity across various sectors. Investments in technology and sustainability initiatives are anticipated to further propel economic growth, making the UAE an attractive destination for foreign direct investment.
The UAE is set to host several high-profile international events in the coming years, which are likely to boost tourism and hospitality sectors. Events such as Expo 2025 in Osaka, where the UAE will have a prominent presence, are expected to enhance the country’s global profile and stimulate economic activity.
The Central Bank also projected a modest growth rate of 2.9% for the oil sector in 2024, reflecting a cautious outlook given the volatility in global oil markets. However, with the anticipated increase in global oil demand, particularly from Asia, the oil sector is expected to stabilize, contributing positively to the overall GDP.
In 2025, the Central Bank forecasts GDP growth to rise further to 5.2%, driven by ongoing developments in both oil and non-oil sectors. This continued growth reflects the UAE’s strategic focus on innovation and technological advancements, aligning with its long-term vision of becoming a global economic hub.
