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The online fashion retailer is considering an offer of between $2 billion and $3 billion, although the final size will depend on its valuation, investor demand and prevailing market conditions. The timetable could also change as the company completes the remaining stages of Hong Kong’s listing process.

Shein is scheduled to face the Hong Kong Stock Exchange’s listing committee this week. Approval at the hearing would allow the company and its advisers to move towards investor presentations, price discovery and bookbuilding.

Some people involved in the process expect the shares to begin trading in September or October rather than August, reflecting the time required to complete regulatory documentation and market the offer to institutional investors. A successful listing would rank among Hong Kong’s largest consumer-sector flotations in years.

China’s securities regulator has approved the proposed sale of up to 341.6 million H shares. The clearance removed one of the biggest obstacles confronting Shein, which submitted confidential listing documents in Hong Kong about a year ago after encountering difficulties in New York and London.

The company could seek a valuation of between $40 billion and $50 billion. That would represent a sharp retreat from the $100 billion valuation achieved during a private funding round in 2022, when pandemic-era online shopping growth and investor enthusiasm for digital retail pushed its value above several established fashion groups.

Shein was valued at about $66 billion in 2023. The lower range being discussed for the Hong Kong offer reflects tighter investor scrutiny, greater competition, changing customs rules and concern over the durability of its low-cost cross-border business model.

The retailer, founded in Nanjing in 2012 by entrepreneur Sky Xu and now headquartered in Singapore, sells inexpensive clothing and lifestyle products across roughly 150 markets. Its data-driven system tests products in small batches, measures consumer demand and orders additional stock when items gain traction.

That model has helped Shein respond rapidly to fashion trends while limiting unsold inventory. It has also placed pressure on traditional retailers and brought intense scrutiny of production volumes, environmental impact, working conditions and supplier oversight.

Although Shein has positioned itself as a global company, much of its manufacturing network remains concentrated in China, particularly around Guangzhou and other parts of Guangdong province. That dependence brought the company within the scope of China’s overseas-listing review system despite the relocation of its corporate headquarters.

Shein previously pursued a New York flotation but faced political resistance and demands for deeper examination of its supply chain, data practices and alleged exposure to forced labour in Xinjiang. The company has said it maintains a zero-tolerance policy towards forced labour and requires suppliers to comply with its sourcing standards.

A subsequent attempt to list in London also stalled. Britain’s financial regulator had cleared the company’s prospectus, but the transaction could not proceed without approval from Beijing. Disagreements surrounding disclosures about supply-chain risks complicated the process.

Hong Kong offers Shein a venue closer to its manufacturing base and within a regulatory framework more acceptable to Beijing. The city’s market, however, may produce a lower valuation than the company once expected from New York or London, where international consumer and technology companies have traditionally attracted broader investor coverage.

The proposed offer comes during a strong period for Hong Kong listings. Companies raised about HK$209.9 billion across 85 new flotations during the first half of 2026, the market’s best first-half performance in five years. A pipeline of hundreds of applicants has strengthened expectations that the city could remain among the world’s leading fundraising centres this year.

Shein’s leadership is also changing as the listing approaches. Executive chairman Donald Tang is expected to step down and continue as a senior adviser. Tang played a central role in the company’s engagement with governments, regulators and investors during its attempts to secure a Western listing.

Xu is expected to take a leading role in presenting the investment case to prospective shareholders. Investors are likely to examine Shein’s growth prospects, profit margins and ability to adapt to customs changes, particularly the removal of duty-free treatment for low-value packages entering the United States from China and Hong Kong.

The rally has been led by export-heavy names such as Gokaldas Exports, KPR Mill, Welspun Living, Trident, Indo Count Industries and Pearl Global Industries, whose earnings prospects have brightened after tariff relief in key overseas markets. The sector has drawn renewed attention at a time when broader equities have faced bouts of volatility linked to global rates, trade uncertainty and uneven consumption trends.

The immediate trigger has been a series of trade developments that have altered expectations for the industry. A trade understanding with the US reduced tariffs on a range of goods, easing pressure on apparel exporters that had been absorbing costs to protect long-standing customer relationships. The India-UK Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, due to take effect on July 15, is expected to remove tariffs of up to 12 per cent on textiles and clothing shipped to Britain.

That change is significant for companies competing against Bangladesh, Vietnam, Cambodia and China in price-sensitive categories. Apparel and home textile exports operate on thin margins, and even a modest tariff difference can influence sourcing decisions by large retailers. Zero-duty access to the UK strengthens the case for shifting more orders to factories with scale, compliance records and established relationships with global buyers.

Gokaldas Exports has become a focal point for the trade. The Bengaluru-based apparel exporter manufactures about 90 million garments a year and earns a large share of revenue from the US, while also serving markets such as Canada, the UK and France. Its customer base includes major retailers, making it one of the more direct beneficiaries of improved tariff conditions. The company’s fiscal 2025 revenue stood at about ₹38.64 billion, and management has indicated scope for margins to move into double digits as the benefit of lower duties flows through.

Welspun Living, one of the world’s largest home textile manufacturers, is another major beneficiary of the shift. Its presence in towels, sheets, rugs and other home products gives it exposure to large-format retail demand in North America and Europe. The company has also invested in traceability, sustainable cotton sourcing and branded offerings, areas increasingly monitored by overseas buyers under stricter compliance and environmental standards.

KPR Mill, with its integrated operations across yarn, fabric, garments and sugar, has attracted investor interest because of its operating scale and relatively strong balance sheet. Pearl Global Industries and Indo Count Industries have also gained attention as investors look beyond the most visible exporters to companies with capacity expansion plans, customer diversification and scope to improve utilisation.

The rally has not been confined to a single trade event. Textile counters moved sharply in February after the US tariff relief, again after clarity on the UK agreement, and then attracted further institutional interest as brokerages initiated coverage on several sector names. Some reports have projected potential upside of more than 40 per cent in select stocks, though the bullish view is not uniform. More conservative calls on parts of the sector reflect concerns over valuations, cotton prices, wage inflation and execution risks.

The optimism also comes after a difficult period. Higher US tariffs had squeezed exporters, forcing some companies to absorb costs or offer discounts. Global retailers delayed shipments in parts of fiscal 2025 as tariff uncertainty disrupted ordering cycles. Demand in discretionary categories such as home textiles has been uneven, especially in the US, where retailers worked through excess inventory after the pandemic-era surge.

That makes the latest rally a test of whether tariff gains can translate into sustained earnings growth. Investors are looking for evidence of higher order books, improved realisations and better plant utilisation over the next two to four quarters. Margin expansion will depend not only on lower duties but also on raw material prices, currency movement, freight costs and the ability of exporters to negotiate better terms with buyers.

The rupee’s movement will also be important. A weaker rupee generally supports exporters, but higher imported input costs can dilute the advantage. Cotton price volatility remains another risk, particularly for companies that cannot pass on cost increases quickly. Compliance spending, labour availability and delivery timelines will influence whether larger buyers shift orders at scale.

The Reserve Bank of India’s June package centres on Foreign Currency Non-Resident Bank deposits, or FCNR deposits, a long-used channel through which overseas citizens place foreign-currency funds with banks. The decisive shift lies in the way the central bank has structured the swap window and permitted banks to use incentives, including leverage, to make the deposits more attractive to wealthy overseas savers.

Under the scheme, banks can mobilise fresh three- to five-year FCNR deposits between 8 June and 30 September 2026 and swap the dollars with the RBI. The facility effectively removes the usual hedging burden that makes such deposits expensive for banks, as the central bank absorbs the foreign-exchange cost. The operational window will remain available until mid-October for eligible deposits raised during the mobilisation period.

The change has revived memories of 2013, when a similar facility helped banks raise about $34 billion during a period of sharp rupee weakness. This time, estimates from market participants range from about $20 billion to nearly $50 billion, depending on deposit pricing, rupee expectations, global interest rates and the ability of banks to market the product aggressively in the Gulf, North America, Britain and other diaspora-heavy markets.

Punjab National Bank chief executive Ashok Chandra has said banks could collectively raise $35 billion to $40 billion, with his own institution aiming for about $2.5 billion to $3 billion. Other lenders, including Canara Bank, Federal Bank and Indian Bank, are expected to compete for deposits by offering returns that can compare favourably with low-risk dollar assets, particularly once the swap benefit is factored into their pricing.

The subtle but consequential part of the circular is the permission for banks to offer leverage to depositors. That means eligible clients may be able to borrow abroad and place the proceeds into FCNR deposits, amplifying inflows beyond what would have arrived through ordinary savings alone. Market analysts see this as the feature that could lift the scheme from a modest stabilisation tool into a sizeable capital-flow channel.

The RBI has paired the deposit push with broader measures designed to deepen debt-market participation and ease pressure on the currency. These include expanding access to government securities, relaxing certain concentration limits, and improving the investment framework for foreign portfolio investors. The package comes after the rupee touched record lows, weighed down by elevated crude prices, portfolio outflows and a stronger dollar environment.

The immediate market reaction has been visible in government bonds. Short-end yields have fallen as banks and overseas investors reassessed the likely liquidity impact of dollar inflows converted into rupees. The two- to five-year segment has drawn stronger demand, while the curve has steepened as longer tenors remain more exposed to global rate movements and fiscal supply concerns.

For banks, the economics are straightforward. Without central bank support, hedging a multi-year dollar liability into rupees can wipe out much of the advantage of raising FCNR deposits. With the RBI taking that cost away, lenders can offer higher headline rates to overseas depositors while still obtaining rupee liquidity at competitive levels. The exemption from reserve requirements on eligible deposits further improves the economics by freeing banks from maintaining cash reserve ratio and statutory liquidity ratio buffers on those funds.

The policy also serves a macroeconomic purpose. Large dollar inflows can strengthen reserves, cushion the balance of payments and reduce the need for more aggressive currency-market intervention. They can also help offset pressure from oil import costs and equity-market withdrawals, both of which have weighed on external sentiment during the current financial year.

Yet the scheme carries risks. Leveraged deposits can be sensitive to interest-rate differentials and currency expectations. If global yields move sharply higher or confidence in the rupee weakens, flows may become less durable. The one-year lock-in reduces early withdrawal risk, but it does not fully eliminate rollover pressure once deposits mature. Banks also need to manage concentration risk, especially if a large share of funds comes from a narrow group of depositors or geographies.

The amended rules, issued through Notification No. 19/2026-27 dated 2 June 2026, apply with immediate effect to silver powder, silver grains, silver of 99.9% purity or more, and other unwrought silver. The change adds a fresh approval layer to a trade channel that was already limited to nominated agencies, banks and qualified jewellers using authorised routes.

The affected ITC codes include 71061000 for silver powder, 71069110 for silver grains, 71069120 for silver containing 99.9% or more by weight of silver, and 71069190 for other unwrought silver. These categories fall within the broader heading for silver, including silver plated with gold or platinum, in unwrought, semi-manufactured or powder form.

Until the amendment, eligible imports could be routed through banks notified by the Reserve Bank of India, agencies notified by the DGFT, and qualified jewellers notified by the International Financial Services Centres Authority for imports through the India International Bullion Exchange. The new framework keeps those channels in place but requires a valid DGFT Import Authorisation before shipments can proceed.

The order marks a sharper shift in bullion management after curbs were placed in May on silver bars of 99.9% purity and other semi-manufactured forms. Together, the steps move a large portion of silver inflows away from a relatively open framework towards a case-by-case approval regime. The policy direction points to closer official monitoring of volumes, end-use and trade routing at a time when precious-metal purchases have added pressure to the external account.

Silver imports have climbed sharply, with the country’s import bill for the metal touching a record $12 billion in the financial year ended March 2026, compared with $4.8 billion a year earlier. April shipments rose 157% year on year to $411 million, underlining the scale of demand before the latest controls took effect.

The bullion market is likely to feel the immediate impact through slower approvals, tighter availability and wider domestic premiums if import authorisations do not keep pace with demand. Dealers have already been adjusting to a compliance-heavy environment, including the April publication of the list of banks authorised to import gold and silver until March 2029 after delays had held up consignments at customs.

The policy also comes after duties on gold and silver were raised to 15% from 6%, a move aimed at discouraging discretionary imports of precious metals. Higher tariffs and tighter licensing conditions together indicate a broader attempt to contain import demand, protect foreign exchange reserves and reduce pressure on the rupee at a time when oil and other commodity bills remain sensitive to global price swings.

Industrial users will be watching the authorisation process closely because silver is not only a bullion and jewellery metal. It is used in electronics, solar cells, conductive pastes, precision engineering, industrial chemicals and electrical components. Silver powder and grains are important inputs for manufacturers as well as refiners and jewellers, making clarity on approval timelines essential for supply planning.

Investment demand has become a larger part of the market’s momentum. Silver bars, coins and exchange-traded products have attracted interest from investors looking for exposure to precious metals, particularly when global uncertainty and currency volatility lift demand for hard assets. That trend has complicated policy choices because the same metal feeds both household savings and industrial supply chains.

The India International Bullion Exchange remains central to the formalisation of bullion trade through GIFT City, especially for qualified jewellers using the exchange route. By requiring DGFT authorisation even for eligible jewellers importing through IIBX, the amendment signals that institutional routing alone will no longer be treated as sufficient compliance for specified silver categories.

Silver dore imports by refineries continue under the existing licence framework with actual-user conditions where applicable, leaving the refining route distinct from the broader authorisation requirement for covered products. This distinction matters for refiners that process raw material into marketable silver, though they too are operating in a tighter policy environment.

Major supply sources for the country include the UAE, Britain and China, making the rule change relevant for global bullion flows as well as domestic trade. Suppliers may face slower shipment planning, while banks and nominated agencies will need to factor DGFT approvals into import schedules.

The immediate test for the new system will be administrative efficiency. A transparent and predictable authorisation process could help the government track sensitive inflows without disrupting legitimate industrial consumption. Delays, however, could push up local premiums, affect manufacturers dependent on imported feedstock and encourage buyers to shift procurement strategies.