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Articles written by
nigel green

Defence stocks will rally and global investors will be paying attention, I believe. The reason the bullish analysis is a catalyst came the moment President Donald Trump, after meeting Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the UN General Assembly, declared that Kyiv can reclaim all territory seized by Russia, an abrupt and market-moving pivot from his earlier calls for compromise. In a single statement, the world’s largest economy […]

The Federal Reserve sets the price of money for the world’s largest economy, but the battle now unfolding in Washington is about far more than the next rate decision. President Donald Trump and his economic advisors are pushing to narrow the central bank’s mission and pull it closer to the White House. For international investors, this is not a distant Beltway turf fight. It’s a direct threat […]

Markets are sending urgent signals. Gold has burst above $3,600 an ounce, a record that reflects both anticipation of rate cuts and a broader scramble for safety. Treasury yields have swung sharply, with shorter maturities pulled lower by expectations of central bank easing while long-dated bonds creep toward multi-year highs, and across equities, momentum has become fragmented, with volatility rising around political headlines and economic uncertainty. These […]

Central bankers rarely admit defeat. But Jerome Powell’s latest remarks left little doubt: the Federal Reserve now sees the labour market faltering before inflation is fully tamed. This shift in focus – from bringing down prices to protecting jobs – marks a profound change in the policy backdrop. For investors, it is a wake-up call. For two years, the dominant story was inflation. Central banks tightened aggressively […]

Global stock markets are basking in record highs, but the mood beneath the surface is far from confident. This isn’t a calm, sustainable rally. It’s one built on fragile assumptions, stretched valuations, and dangerous complacency. The higher equities climb, the more brutal the eventual reckoning could be. This summer has rewarded investors handsomely. The S&P 500 and FTSE 100 broke into new territory just over a week […]

Wall Street surged on Friday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s address at the Jackson Hole symposium signposted a shift in policy direction, lifting the Dow to its highest closing level of 2025. The Dow climbed by around 1.9 per cent, the S&P 500 rose 1.5 per cent, and the Nasdaq jumped by roughly 1.9 per cent. This rally reversed a recent downturn and came amid rising […]

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent last week made a comment that should have sent markets into deep reflection. Instead, it was largely shrugged off. He suggested that the White House’s unprecedented revenue-sharing deal with Nvidia and AMD could be extended to other industries. This single line carries profound implications — and the muted reaction says more about investor complacency than anything else. The arrangement currently in place […]

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US markets have been hitting record levels this week, and the catalyst of growing conviction that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September. The Dow surged 463 points on Wednesday, the S&P 500 notched another all-time high, and the Nasdaq also finished at a record for the second straight day. The optimism is being driven by a tamer-than-expected inflation report that has traders assigning a near […]

Apprehension has returned to US stock markets, and the reasons are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. Many asset allocators I speak with are questioning valuations that appear stretched and overly reliant on a handful of technology giants. Although the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 reached fresh highs just last week, the rally already feels vulnerable. Outside the United States, sentiment is notably more optimistic. In Europe, […]

President Trump has sharply shortened his own deadline for punishing buyers of Russian oil, catching markets off guard and forcing investors to price in a risk that had previously been dismissed.  On Monday, standing beside UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer in Scotland, Trump announced that Moscow now has only 10 to 12 days to secure a peace deal over Ukraine.   If it doesn’t, he says he will […]

We’re at an all-time high for the S&P 500 right at the beginning of earnings season. If we can get through this earnings season with not too many major failures, this upward current momentum that we have in the market, is likely to continue. It’s tempting to call this a pause for breath—but make no mistake, what follows could determine whether bulls stay in control. With 59 S&P 500 […]

A tide of tariffs is sweeping across Europe, and the damage is becoming visible just as earnings reports begin to drop. President Trump’s trade decisions are no longer a future threat; they’re now a present force reshaping European corporate performance. The timing is brutal. What was expected to be a modestly positive second quarter for European earnings has shifted into decline, with weakness now concentrated in a […]

Sterling’s recent rally has little to do with the UK economy suddenly outperforming expectations. It has everything to do with the dollar falling out of favour. When the pound hit $1.365 this week—its strongest level since early 2022—it was a flashing red signal that international investors are losing faith in the greenback. Let’s not pretend this is about interest rates. The Federal Reserve is still holding firm, […]

If the United States launches direct military strikes against Iran, global stock markets will likely react with speed and force—dropping hard before any official policy statements are made or economic forecasts adjusted. This would not be a measured repricing. It would be a sharp reflex from investors who have, until now, largely overlooked the rising threat of a wider regional war in the Middle East. Equities across […]

The newly announced trade agreement between the United States and China offers temporary relief from economic tensions, but it does not resolve the deep strategic rift between the world’s two largest economies. For investors, I believe, this is a short-term fix within a long-term rivalry, and portfolios must be positioned accordingly. President Donald Trump’s statement that a deal is “done” follows two days of talks in London. […]

Emerging markets are pushing higher again, and this time, the momentum isn’t misplaced. Behind the move is a growing body of evidence that the world’s most dynamic developing economies are demonstrating real economic resilience, despite a chaotic external backdrop. For investors, it’s a signal that deserves immediate attention. The surge in sentiment has been supported by improved financial market conditions, stronger currencies, and narrowing bond spreads. Business […]

If you’ve spent the past few months watching the Trump tariff drama unfold, AI stocks become volatile and listening to everyone from your broker to your barista talk about rate cuts and inflation, you might think the only path to investment success in 2025 runs through stocks. But quietly, away from the hype, a growing number of individual investors are making a different move: they’re locking in […]

The US Federal Reserve has stopped sugar-coating it: stagflation is no longer a fringe fear. It’s a looming threat. Last week’s sharp warning from Chair Jerome Powell confirmed what many of us in the global financial community have anticipated for months. Slower growth, persistent inflation, and rising unemployment are converging in a way that should set off alarm bells for investors worldwide. Make no mistake—this isn’t an […]

Gold reached an all-time high of $3,432.77 per ounce in April 2025. The climb has been steady, underpinned by sustained demand and fundamental global shifts. The next milestone, $5,000, is firmly in sight, I believe. Capital is realigning. Central banks, institutions, and private investors are adjusting their positioning in response to clear macro realities: weakening currencies, structural inflation, declining real yields, and geopolitical instability. In this environment, […]

Global capital turned its back on ESG last year. But that shift, we believe, is temporary and mistaken. ESG investing should and will return to favour, not just because it’s aligned with the challenges and priorities of our time, but because it remains one of the most rational long-term strategies for investors and economies alike. The numbers from 2024 were stark. Global sustainable fund inflows halved. In […]

Investors should brace for volatility to remain a defining feature of financial markets until at least September, as a new era of trade disruption, inflation pressures, and global realignments gathers pace. Markets are still reeling from the deepening fallout of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff offensive. After his aggressive trade moves last week — dubbed Liberation Day by the White House — equities have suffered one of […]

I’m often asked where I invest my own money—by clients, advisers, even industry peers. And in a year like this one, when the world is being reshaped by the policies of President Trump, market volatility, and fast-moving tech cycles, the question feels more urgent than ever. We’ve seen a 10% drop in markets this year. Historically, that’s not unusual—since 1950, there have been over 30 such corrections. […]

The global economy is experiencing fresh waves of volatility as Trump’s second term reignites trade conflicts, currency battles, and inflationary pressures. Markets have already reacted—tariff hikes on Chinese goods, retaliatory measures from Beijing, and escalating tensions with Europe are shifting capital flows at a breakneck pace. Investors can’t afford to be complacent. They must position portfolios to withstand uncertainty, hedge against risk, and seize opportunities in this […]

Donald Trump’s economic policies generate excitement, but they often contain internal contradictions that make navigating financial decisions more challenging. Investors and businesses are left in an environment of uncertainty, where competing policy objectives create unpredictability. This is why expert financial advice is more important than ever—because when the strategy of the world’s largest economy pulls in different directions, the risks and opportunities shift rapidly. Take tariffs, for […]

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