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Articles written by
nigel green

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent last week made a comment that should have sent markets into deep reflection. Instead, it was largely shrugged off. He suggested that the White House’s unprecedented revenue-sharing deal with Nvidia and AMD could be extended to other industries. This single line carries profound implications — and the muted reaction says more about investor complacency than anything else. The arrangement currently in place […]

US markets have been hitting record levels this week, and the catalyst of growing conviction that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September. The Dow surged 463 points on Wednesday, the S&P 500 notched another all-time high, and the Nasdaq also finished at a record for the second straight day. The optimism is being driven by a tamer-than-expected inflation report that has traders assigning a near […]

Apprehension has returned to US stock markets, and the reasons are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. Many asset allocators I speak with are questioning valuations that appear stretched and overly reliant on a handful of technology giants. Although the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 reached fresh highs just last week, the rally already feels vulnerable. Outside the United States, sentiment is notably more optimistic. In Europe, […]

President Trump has sharply shortened his own deadline for punishing buyers of Russian oil, catching markets off guard and forcing investors to price in a risk that had previously been dismissed.  On Monday, standing beside UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer in Scotland, Trump announced that Moscow now has only 10 to 12 days to secure a peace deal over Ukraine.   If it doesn’t, he says he will […]

We’re at an all-time high for the S&P 500 right at the beginning of earnings season. If we can get through this earnings season with not too many major failures, this upward current momentum that we have in the market, is likely to continue. It’s tempting to call this a pause for breath—but make no mistake, what follows could determine whether bulls stay in control. With 59 S&P 500 […]

A tide of tariffs is sweeping across Europe, and the damage is becoming visible just as earnings reports begin to drop. President Trump’s trade decisions are no longer a future threat; they’re now a present force reshaping European corporate performance. The timing is brutal. What was expected to be a modestly positive second quarter for European earnings has shifted into decline, with weakness now concentrated in a […]

Sterling’s recent rally has little to do with the UK economy suddenly outperforming expectations. It has everything to do with the dollar falling out of favour. When the pound hit $1.365 this week—its strongest level since early 2022—it was a flashing red signal that international investors are losing faith in the greenback. Let’s not pretend this is about interest rates. The Federal Reserve is still holding firm, […]

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If the United States launches direct military strikes against Iran, global stock markets will likely react with speed and force—dropping hard before any official policy statements are made or economic forecasts adjusted. This would not be a measured repricing. It would be a sharp reflex from investors who have, until now, largely overlooked the rising threat of a wider regional war in the Middle East. Equities across […]

The newly announced trade agreement between the United States and China offers temporary relief from economic tensions, but it does not resolve the deep strategic rift between the world’s two largest economies. For investors, I believe, this is a short-term fix within a long-term rivalry, and portfolios must be positioned accordingly. President Donald Trump’s statement that a deal is “done” follows two days of talks in London. […]

Emerging markets are pushing higher again, and this time, the momentum isn’t misplaced. Behind the move is a growing body of evidence that the world’s most dynamic developing economies are demonstrating real economic resilience, despite a chaotic external backdrop. For investors, it’s a signal that deserves immediate attention. The surge in sentiment has been supported by improved financial market conditions, stronger currencies, and narrowing bond spreads. Business […]

If you’ve spent the past few months watching the Trump tariff drama unfold, AI stocks become volatile and listening to everyone from your broker to your barista talk about rate cuts and inflation, you might think the only path to investment success in 2025 runs through stocks. But quietly, away from the hype, a growing number of individual investors are making a different move: they’re locking in […]

The US Federal Reserve has stopped sugar-coating it: stagflation is no longer a fringe fear. It’s a looming threat. Last week’s sharp warning from Chair Jerome Powell confirmed what many of us in the global financial community have anticipated for months. Slower growth, persistent inflation, and rising unemployment are converging in a way that should set off alarm bells for investors worldwide. Make no mistake—this isn’t an […]

Gold reached an all-time high of $3,432.77 per ounce in April 2025. The climb has been steady, underpinned by sustained demand and fundamental global shifts. The next milestone, $5,000, is firmly in sight, I believe. Capital is realigning. Central banks, institutions, and private investors are adjusting their positioning in response to clear macro realities: weakening currencies, structural inflation, declining real yields, and geopolitical instability. In this environment, […]

Global capital turned its back on ESG last year. But that shift, we believe, is temporary and mistaken. ESG investing should and will return to favour, not just because it’s aligned with the challenges and priorities of our time, but because it remains one of the most rational long-term strategies for investors and economies alike. The numbers from 2024 were stark. Global sustainable fund inflows halved. In […]

Investors should brace for volatility to remain a defining feature of financial markets until at least September, as a new era of trade disruption, inflation pressures, and global realignments gathers pace. Markets are still reeling from the deepening fallout of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff offensive. After his aggressive trade moves last week — dubbed Liberation Day by the White House — equities have suffered one of […]

I’m often asked where I invest my own money—by clients, advisers, even industry peers. And in a year like this one, when the world is being reshaped by the policies of President Trump, market volatility, and fast-moving tech cycles, the question feels more urgent than ever. We’ve seen a 10% drop in markets this year. Historically, that’s not unusual—since 1950, there have been over 30 such corrections. […]

The global economy is experiencing fresh waves of volatility as Trump’s second term reignites trade conflicts, currency battles, and inflationary pressures. Markets have already reacted—tariff hikes on Chinese goods, retaliatory measures from Beijing, and escalating tensions with Europe are shifting capital flows at a breakneck pace. Investors can’t afford to be complacent. They must position portfolios to withstand uncertainty, hedge against risk, and seize opportunities in this […]

Donald Trump’s economic policies generate excitement, but they often contain internal contradictions that make navigating financial decisions more challenging. Investors and businesses are left in an environment of uncertainty, where competing policy objectives create unpredictability. This is why expert financial advice is more important than ever—because when the strategy of the world’s largest economy pulls in different directions, the risks and opportunities shift rapidly. Take tariffs, for […]

The tariff hammer is about to drop. On Tuesday, the US will slap new duties on goods from Canada and Mexico, and possibly hike levies on Chinese imports. Investors don’t need reminding—tariffs are the number one risk factor hanging over global markets. This isn’t just policy posturing; it’s a direct hit to corporate profits, consumer prices, and the already fragile supply chains that businesses spent years rebuilding […]

The stock market may grab all the headlines, but behind the scenes, savvy investors are making serious moves into corporate bonds. Once seen as the dull cousin to equities, corporate bonds are having a moment as a growing number of investors recognize their ability to deliver attractive returns, stability, and a tactical hedge against volatility. If you’re not paying attention, you’re missing out on what could be […]

The defence sector is no longer a niche or cyclical play—it is becoming a structural necessity in investor portfolios. With rising geopolitical tensions and global security realignments, the financial case for defence stocks has never been stronger. The surge in defence equities over the past year suggests a fundamental shift, not just a reaction to short-term events. At the Munich Security Conference last weekend, European leaders signalled […]

If you thought currency markets were unpredictable before, welcome to the Trump era—a world where tariffs, policy tweets, and America First economics make for a wild ride. Forget the usual playbook. Trading currencies in this environment requires sharp instincts, a stomach for volatility, and a ruthless ability to read between the lines of Trump’s economic agenda through seeking financial advice. Tariffs are back in a big way, […]

Markets flourish with predictability. Companies require consistency to strategize effectively. However, the current US administration’s erratic approach to trade is fostering the opposite environment. Donald Trump’s eleventh-hour decision to postpone sweeping tariffs on Mexico and Canada provides temporary relief but does not address the core issue: the United States is becoming an increasingly erratic economic ally. Investors are already experiencing the repercussions. This latest suspension is the […]

If you blinked, you might have missed the absolute market carnage Nvidia endured this week. A 17% plunge erased a staggering $589 billion in value in a single day, only for the stock to roar back almost 9% the next session. The culprit? A Chinese AI start-up, DeepSeek, that sent Silicon Valley into full-on existential crisis mode. Let’s break down the four major takeaways from this AI-fuelled […]

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