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Obama announces 'understanding' with China's Xi on cyber theft but remains wary

WASHINGTON President Barack Obama announced on Friday that he had reached a “common understanding” with Chinese President Xi Jinping on curbing economic cyber espionage, but threatened to impose U.S. sanctions on Chinese hackers who persist with cyber crimes. The two leaders also unveiled a deal to build on a landmark emissions agreement struck last year, outlining new steps they will take to deliver on pledges they made […]

Spotlight on gold and silver after Fed halt

|By Ole Hansen| Global markets went quiet ahead of the long awaited Federal Open Market Committee meeting this past week as the first rate hike in almost ten years seemed possible. In the end Janet Yellen and her follow central bankers opted for no change and the statement following the announcement was surprisingly dovish. While US activity and employment data remains strong the extreme market volatility in late […]

Fear and hatred in Emerging Markets equities

|By Matein Khalid| The world’s emerging markets have been savaged by multiple economic, banking, currency and political shocks since 2011. Global emerging markets are far too diverse and nuanced to be analyzed as a single asset class but now trade at a 24% valuation discount to developed markets. The financial markets now price draconian scenarios for earnings, exports, sovereign credit, industrial production and economic growth. The shortage […]

German carmakers party under China cloud

FRANKFURT Flush with cash and confidence after years of rising sales, German carmakers are used to reaping industry-leading returns. But with Chinese demand abruptly slowing, the profit engine has begun to sputter, overshadowing the glitz of the Frankfurt auto show which opens on Tuesday. For the home team of BMW, Daimler and Volkswagen, as well as European rivals such as PSA Peugeot Citroen, China’s downturn also threatens […]

BORDER INFRASTRUCTURE TOO WEAK IN ARUNACHAL

CHINESE RAILWAY LINES CLOSING ON INDIA   By Barun Das Gupta   The Indian taxpayer pays a huge amount every year for…

Fed, bank stocks and Wall Street bears

|By Matein Khalid| The Federal Reserve could well raise its overnight borrowing rate at the next FOMC monetary policy conclave on September 17. Though contagion from China’s 40% stock market meltdown has triggered bear markets from Hong Kong to Frankfurt and plunged Asian/emerging markets equities into ta ghastly replay of 1998’s epic meltdown (General Suharto’s overthrow, the Russian rouble default, Malaysia’s capital controls, the run on the […]

Oil price seen at $55 next year

With oil stock balances next year looking softer and costs coming down, the commodity will trade at $55 and $61 per barrel during 2016 and 2017, respectively, said the Bank of America (BofA) Merrill Lynch in a report. “Looking at the near-term, however, we still believe oil prices will rebound into year-end on a combination of factors,” said the report titled “Global Energy Weekly: Oil at an […]

Huawei takes aim at Apple, Samsung with Mate S phone

A worker adjusts the logo at the stand of Huawei at the CeBIT trade fair in Hanover March 15, 2015. Reuters/Morris Mac Matzen/Files BERLIN China’s Huawei Technologies unveiled a new smartphone on Wednesday, taking aim at the high end of the market, which is dominated by Apple and Samsung Electronics. The Mate S, launched on the sidelines of Europe’s biggest consumer electronics show, IFA, in Berlin, has […]

Hong Kong, China and the new macro game

|By Matein Khalid| Hong Kong now trades at 9.6 times earnings and 0.86 book value. Hang Seng valuations were gutted by the protest movements in Central and the Shanghai financial meltdown. The Hang Seng index is down 25% since late May and now trades at six times forward earnings, its post Lehman, post 2014 bottom. Hong Kong trades at its lowest price/book value since the Asian flu […]

Three key foreign currencies linked to Dubai real estate price decline

UAE.  Today, Phidar Advisory released its Q3 mid-quarter Dubai residential research note. The report shows that residential prices in the third quarter of 2015 continue to decline, compared to the previous quarter. However, the most significant finding was in a statistical analysis of the relationship between currencies and Dubai real estate prices. “Analysis reveals a significant relationship between three key foreign currencies and Dubai real estate prices,” said […]

Predicting first ‘Made in China’ global crisis

|By Matein Khalid| A month ago, I published a column predicting history’s first Made in China global recession. Wall Street finally agreed with me last week after we witnessed the most brutal crash in global equities since October 2008. I have predicated a 20% fall in US equities several times in the last three months and the 1000 point drop in the Dow last week only reinforces […]

Saudis could face an open revolt at next OPEC meeting

INTERNATIONAL. OPEC next gathers December 4 in Vienna, just over a year since Saudi Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi announced at the previous OPEC winter meeting the Saudi decision to let the oil market determine oil prices rather than to continue Saudi Arabia’s role of guarantor of $100+/bbl oil. Despite the intense financial and economic pain this decision has inflicted on Saudi Arabia, its fellow OPEC members, and […]

Currencies: Collapse of Turkish lira

|By Matein Khalid| Geopolitics is now another source of risk for the Turkish lira, government debt and Istanbul equities. The Turkish air force is bombing Daish in Syria and the secessionist Kurdish PKK party in northern Iraq. Suicide bombings have killed Turkish citizens in eastern Anatolian cities on the Syrian border. Ankara has given the US a green light to launch military airstrikes from the Incerlik air […]

The Next Global Financial Crisis: Chinese Meltdown, U.S. Dollar Strength And The ‘Original Sin’ Pose Significant Risks To Emerging Markets

BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey finds record low sentiment towards emerging markets and energy sector

INTERNATIONAL. Global investors have shifted their attention from Greece to China amid continued concern of a Chinese recession, according to the BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey for August. Respondents are scaling back their expectations for economic growth.  ·         China recession is now rated the number one “tail risk” by 52 percent of panel. ·         Fifty-three percent of investors say the global economy will strengthen in coming […]

Britain to Reopen Embassy in Iran, Nearly 4 Years After It Was Ransacked

LONDON — In a significant indication of warming Western relations with Iran after a deal limiting its nuclear program, Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond will reopen Britain’s embassy in Tehran, probably on Sunday, British officials said Thursday. Four years ago, in November 2011, the ambassador’s residence there was ransacked and the British flag burned by protesters angry about the economic sanctions imposed on Iran in response to its […]

Rising Dubai crude prices drive Asians away

Record trading of Dubai crude by two Chinese state companies this month on a decades-old oil pricing system has pushed the benchmark higher, even as other grades are being pressed lower by a global glut. The strong Dubai trade has forced Middle East producers to raise official selling prices (OSPs), driving Asian buyers to seek cheaper oil elsewhere or cut refinery runs due to low margins. Chinaoil […]

Lenovo cuts 3,200 jobs as sales slide

China’s Lenovo Group will lay off 10 per cent of white-collar staff after sales of Motorola handsets fell by a third, raising doubts over the personal computer giant’s bet that a money-losing brand it bought for nearly $3 billion will help it become a global smartphone leader. Shares in the world’s biggest maker of PCs slid nearly 9 per cent on Thursday after it said its quarterly […]

Samsung Electronics unveils high-end phones in search of sales boost

NEW YORK/SEOUL Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930.KS) unveiled a new Galaxy Note phablet and a larger version of its curved-screen S6 edge smartphone on Thursday, marking a fresh bid by the South Korean company to revive momentum in its handset business. Samsung is the world’s top smartphone maker but its market share fell in the second quarter when the company released its critically acclaimed S6 models, squeezed […]

Winners & Losers of Devalued Yuan

Chinese airlines and European luxury car makers are emerging as the early losers after the People’s Bank of China let the yuan fall the most in two decades. China’s surprising move to cut its daily reference rate by 1.9 percent Tuesday rippled through global markets. Policy makers called the change a one-time adjustment and said its fixing will become more aligned with supply and demand. While it […]

Excess capacity, price flux key challenges to steel

While excess capacity and price volatility are among the key challenges faced by the steel industry, digital is shaping the future of metals in a complex business environment, said the managing director of Accenture metals. John Lichtenstein shared his passion for steel and how the industry can address growth challenges in an interview published by Accenture, a multinational management consulting, technology services, and outsourcing company. What are […]

A ‘made-in-China’ recession

|By Matein Khalid| Every global recession since the OPEC oil shocks of 1973-74 was triggered by a contraction in the $17 trillion US economic colossus. The failure of Lehman Brothers, the meltdown in US subprime mortgages, the impotence of the implicit “Fed/Uncle Sam” put, the ice age in the commercial paper and interbank money markets all tipped the US economy into recession in late 2008 and triggered […]

The Week Ahead in World News: John Kerry Abroad, Malaysia Airlines Investigation and Hiroshima Anniversary

What’s going to generate headlines this week in international news? We’re experimenting with offering readers a tip sheet. Let us know if you find it useful or what you’d like to see here. Contact [email protected]. — Hanna Ingber, Assistant Editor, International Desk MONDAY: Secretary of State John Kerry will be traveling all week, after spending the weekend in Cairo, where he pushed Egyptian officials to show greater […]

OnePlus 2 launched; big features at $329

OnePlus 2 launched; big features at $329 NEW DELHI, 1 days ago OnePlus, the start-up Chinese smartphone maker, has launched its new flagship device OnePlus 2. The OnePlus 2 will initially go on sale in India, China, the US, Canada, and select EU countries on August 11. Southeast Asia will get the smartphone in Q4 2015. The phone will cost $329 for an unlocked 16-GB version and […]