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Shares in Masayoshi Son’s technology investment group surged in Tokyo trading, lifting its market value to about ¥47.2 trillion, or roughly $296 billion, ahead of Toyota’s ¥45.7 trillion after the carmaker’s stock fell nearly 5 per cent. The move placed SoftBank at the top of Japan’s corporate valuation table for the first time in more than two decades and added momentum to a Nikkei 225 rally that pushed the index above 67,000.

The change is more than a stock-market milestone. It reflects how the AI boom has reshaped capital allocation in Japan, where investors are assigning higher value to companies with exposure to semiconductors, data centres, power infrastructure and generative AI platforms. Toyota remains one of the world’s largest and most profitable carmakers, but its valuation is now being weighed against a slower earnings outlook, tariff pressure, currency swings and the heavy cost of electrification.

SoftBank’s advance has been driven by a powerful combination of portfolio gains and expectations that its AI-linked holdings could generate fresh liquidity. The group’s exposure to Arm, the British chip-design company it took public in 2023, has become a key pillar of its market value. Arm’s technology is used widely across smartphones, cloud computing and increasingly AI-related chips, giving SoftBank a central position in the semiconductor supply chain.

OpenAI has become the second major driver of investor attention. SoftBank has committed tens of billions of dollars to the ChatGPT developer and is positioning itself as a core financier of AI infrastructure. Expectations that OpenAI could move towards a public listing have intensified interest in SoftBank’s asset base, even as analysts continue to debate how much of the group’s valuation depends on private-market pricing and future monetisation.

The latest surge followed SoftBank’s plan to invest up to €75 billion in AI infrastructure in France, including data centres and power-intensive computing capacity. The first phase is expected to involve about €45 billion of investment to build 3.1 gigawatts of capacity by 2031, with further expansion potentially taking the total to 5 gigawatts. The project places France at the centre of Europe’s push to develop sovereign AI infrastructure, helped by its nuclear-heavy power system and available industrial sites.

SoftBank is also moving to create public-market vehicles around AI infrastructure. SB Energy, its power and data-centre platform, is preparing for a potential US listing and has been linked to a valuation above $50 billion. The company is involved in large-scale power projects designed to support AI workloads, including a 1.2-gigawatt data-centre development in Texas. A separate robotics venture, Roze, is also being prepared for a possible listing, highlighting SoftBank’s attempt to build an ecosystem around energy, construction automation and computing capacity.

Toyota’s fall in ranking does not signal operational weakness. The carmaker reported operating income of ¥3.8 trillion for the financial year ended March 2026, supported by vehicle sales and pricing power despite tariff costs and rising expenses. It remains a global force in hybrid technology, production efficiency and supply-chain management. However, investors have become more cautious about its growth outlook as the auto sector faces higher regulatory costs, slower battery-electric vehicle adoption in some markets, and intensifying competition from China-based manufacturers.

The contrast between SoftBank and Toyota captures a broader reordering of Japan’s equity market. AI-linked names, chip suppliers and infrastructure companies are drawing strong inflows, while parts of the auto sector and older industrial groups face questions over margin durability. Kioxia, the memory-chip maker, has also climbed sharply this year, showing how investor enthusiasm has spread beyond SoftBank into companies tied to storage and high-performance computing.

The rally has strengthened the profile of Son, whose investment record has swung between spectacular gains and painful losses. SoftBank’s Vision Fund suffered heavy write-downs after the collapse in technology valuations in 2021 and 2022, while earlier bets such as WeWork damaged confidence in the group’s risk controls. Its comeback has been powered by a more concentrated AI narrative, but that also leaves the shares vulnerable if expectations around OpenAI, Arm or infrastructure listings are revised lower.

The state-run Ceylon Petroleum Corporation increased the price of 92-octane petrol to 434 Sri Lankan rupees a litre from 410 rupees, while auto diesel rose to 407 rupees from 392 rupees. The revision adds to household and transport costs at a time when the island’s recovery from its 2022 debt default remains exposed to global energy shocks, a weaker currency and pressure on public finances.

The adjustment follows the IMF executive board’s approval of fresh funding under Sri Lanka’s $2.9 billion Extended Fund Facility, agreed in early 2023 after the country ran out of foreign exchange and suspended repayment on about $46 billion in external debt. The programme requires cost-reflective pricing for fuel and electricity, stronger revenue collection, improved governance and protection for vulnerable households as subsidies are gradually unwound.

President Anura Kumara Dissanayake has told the IMF that fuel subsidies will be phased out by September. The pledge marks a politically sensitive step for a government facing pressure from consumers, transport operators and small businesses that remain scarred by the shortages and inflationary spiral of 2022. Fuel pricing has become a central test of the administration’s ability to maintain reform commitments without provoking a deeper squeeze on living standards.

Sri Lanka imports all its petroleum requirements and also relies on imported coal for part of its electricity generation. That exposure has sharpened the impact of turmoil in the Middle East, where higher crude prices and disruption risks have increased the cost of energy imports. Petrol and diesel prices have climbed sharply since late February, while electricity tariffs have also been raised as part of the effort to prevent losses at state-owned utilities from spilling into the budget.

The price increase comes amid renewed inflation concerns. Headline inflation rose to 5.4 per cent in April from 2.2 per cent in March, reversing part of the disinflation that had helped stabilise the economy after the crisis. Fuel and transport costs are expected to feed into food distribution, public transport fares and logistics charges, with lower-income households likely to feel the effects first.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka responded to the pressure last week with an unexpected 100-basis-point increase in its benchmark policy rate, lifting the overnight policy rate to 8.75 per cent from 7.75 per cent. The move was designed to contain inflation expectations, limit rupee depreciation and support external stability, though it also raised concerns that tighter credit could slow investment and consumption.

Foreign reserves fell 3.8 per cent in April to $6.7 billion, reflecting higher import costs and currency pressure. The IMF disbursement is expected to help rebuild reserve buffers, but the broader challenge remains keeping the external account stable while meeting fuel, fertiliser, medicine and food import needs. A sustained rise in energy prices could widen the import bill and complicate the government’s debt-restructuring path.

Economic growth is projected to slow to about 3 per cent this year after expanding 5 per cent in 2025. Tourism, remittances and improved fiscal management have supported the rebound, but higher interest rates and energy costs could weigh on activity. Businesses that depend on transport and electricity are likely to pass on part of the cost increase, while exporters face mixed effects from a weaker rupee and higher domestic input prices.

The fuel adjustment also revives debate over the balance between reform and relief. Cost-recovery pricing is intended to stop Ceylon Petroleum Corporation and the power sector from accumulating losses that would eventually require budget support. Critics argue that faster price transmission can deepen hardship unless social protection systems are strengthened and targeted cash transfers reach households most exposed to rising food, transport and utility bills.

The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources is working with the Ministry of Agrarian Affairs and Spatial Planning, state electricity company PLN and other agencies to identify land, grid links and storage systems needed for the programme. About 24,000 hectares on Java Island have been earmarked for verification, with the authorities seeking to match project sites with transmission lines, PLN substations and battery storage capacity.

Deputy Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Yuliot Tanjung said the government’s first priority is to push ahead with an initial 17 GW phase, supported by around 33 GW of battery energy storage systems. The early phase is expected to test the country’s ability to turn a national target into bankable projects at scale, particularly in areas where land acquisition, grid connection and tariff design have slowed renewable energy investment.

The wider 100 GW plan is designed to reduce Indonesia’s reliance on diesel and gas-fired generation, particularly in regions where imported fuel and high operating costs have weighed on the state budget. Officials have estimated that converting fossil fuel-based generation to solar power combined with battery storage could cut electricity generation costs by up to Rp73.9 trillion, or about $4.18 billion, a year once implemented at scale.

The programme also reflects Jakarta’s attempt to close the gap between Indonesia’s large solar potential and its modest installed capacity. The country has abundant sunshine across its islands, yet solar has remained a small part of the electricity mix compared with coal, gas, hydro and geothermal power. Rooftop and utility-scale solar deployment has been constrained by regulatory uncertainty, procurement delays, grid limitations and the financial position of PLN.

Indonesia’s latest electricity supply plan for 2025-2034 calls for 69.5 GW of new generation capacity, with renewable energy making up a large share of future additions. Solar is expected to play a central role in that expansion, with PLN’s planning framework pointing to 17.1 GW of new solar capacity by 2034 alongside hydro, geothermal, wind and storage projects. The 100 GW programme goes beyond that planning baseline and signals a more aggressive policy push from President Prabowo Subianto’s administration.

A key feature of the solar strategy is its decentralised design. Earlier planning discussions have described a model that could combine large centralised solar plants with smaller village-level systems, many paired with batteries. Such an approach could help remote communities replace diesel generation, improve supply reliability and reduce exposure to fuel price volatility, while also creating demand for locally produced panels, batteries, inverters and grid equipment.

The proposed investment scale underlines the financing challenge. A $71.3 billion programme would require state support, PLN procurement commitments, private sector participation, concessional finance and possibly blended funding from climate-related investment platforms. Indonesia has already attracted international attention through its Just Energy Transition Partnership, but converting pledges into project-level funding has remained difficult, particularly because coal continues to dominate power generation and captive industrial power demand is rising.

Land availability will be another decisive issue. Java, the country’s most populous island and main electricity demand centre, offers stronger grid connectivity but also intense competition for land. The identification of 24,000 hectares is a first step rather than a final allocation, as each site must still pass verification covering ownership, spatial planning, environmental suitability and connection feasibility.

Grid readiness may prove equally important. Large volumes of intermittent solar power will require stronger transmission networks, flexible generation, storage systems and updated dispatch rules. Battery storage is central to the plan because solar output peaks during daylight hours while demand often rises in the evening. Without adequate storage and grid upgrades, high solar penetration could create curtailment risks and weaken project economics.

The programme could strengthen Indonesia’s industrial policy if it succeeds in building domestic solar manufacturing capacity. Officials have linked the plan to demand for locally produced panels, a move that could support factories, create jobs and reduce exposure to import barriers in global solar trade. The strategy comes as several countries seek to capture more of the clean energy supply chain, from polysilicon and wafers to modules and battery systems.

Indonesia’s energy transition remains complicated by its coal-heavy electricity system, long-term power purchase agreements and the need to provide affordable energy to households and industry. Coal plants still anchor baseload supply, while nickel processing and other industrial sectors have increased captive power demand. Those pressures make the solar programme both a climate policy instrument and an energy security strategy.

Work on floating solar projects, rooftop systems and village electrification schemes has already begun to build momentum. PLN’s Saguling floating solar project in West Java, scheduled for commercial operation in late 2026, is one of several projects intended to demonstrate technical and commercial viability. The larger 100 GW plan, however, will require faster procurement, clearer tariff rules and stronger coordination across ministries, PLN, regional governments and investors.