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Matein Khalid I go into purdah for Wednesday’s FOMC D-Day secure in the knowledge, based on CME futures probability that the most important central bank in the world will cut its overnight borrowing policy rate by at least 25 basis points on Wednesday. Yet there are also “known unknowns” with the Fed’s decision that will haunt and reshape the financial markets as well as America’s toxic politics […]

The Federal Reserve sets the price of money for the world’s largest economy, but the battle now unfolding in Washington is about far more than the next rate decision. President Donald Trump and his economic advisors are pushing to narrow the central bank’s mission and pull it closer to the White House. For international investors, this is not a distant Beltway turf fight. It’s a direct threat […]

Fitch Ratings has cut France’s long-term issuer default rating from AA- to A+, marking the lowest rating ever assigned to the country by a major agency. The outlook is stable, but the downgrade reflects mounting concerns over fiscal deficits, political instability, and France’s diminishing ability to rein in a swelling public debt. The agency flagged France’s deficit at about 5.8 per cent of GDP for 2024, far […]

By D. Raja The coming to power of the BJP with an absolute majority in the 2014 general elections was not merely a routine transfer of power from one democratically elected government to another. It marked a qualitative shift in the very nature of our polity. The BJP is the political arm of the Rashtriya […]

China has seen financial flows totalling about US$4.5 trillion, a figure that many analysts believe marks a turning point in how its markets are engaging with the world. The scale of cross-border investment—both inbound and outbound—is now surpassing trade in many respects, reflecting Beijing’s accelerating liberalisation efforts and a growing confidence among foreign and domestic investors.

The financial sum comprises equity, bond, and other capital movements, and corresponds with recent policy moves designed to reduce restrictions and open up China’s capital markets. One key driver is the Stock Connect programme, which allows mainland Chinese investors to purchase eligible Hong Kong–listed stocks and gives international investors access to A-shares. Southbound flows—money moving from mainland China into Hong Kong—have been especially significant, gathering close to US$100 billion within the first half of 2025. That alone matched the total stock in 2024 via that channel.

Yields on Chinese government bonds have hit highs not seen since late 2024, suggesting investors are now demanding greater returns, but also that they perceive risks such as inflation and currency pressures to be easing. The 10- and 30-year yields climbing indicates that institutions expect stabilization in key macro indicators, even if headline economic growth remains uneven. The bond market, however, has also become more volatile, driven by leveraged buying of equities and speculative pressure in certain sectors.

Another contributing factor is the behaviour of domestic institutional investors. With over 160 trillion yuan in household savings, China’s policy makers are encouraging pension funds, insurance companies, and sovereign funds to shift more capital into domestic equities. These kinds of flows reinforce the internal market strength, even as external capital enters or exits depending on global risk appetite.

Hong Kong’s IPO market has benefited greatly. Several major mainland firms—including tech and battery makers—have either listed in Hong Kong or signalled plans to do so. This has helped Hong Kong reclaim its spot among the world’s most active IPO hubs in 2025. The changes to listing rules, including shorter approval times for eligible mainland firms, have been essential in this revival.

Matein Khalid Klarna hits the IPO hit parade in New York on Wednesday and the grapevine suggests that the Swedish fintech IPO is oversubscribed by at least 10X. The investment bankers priced Klarna last night at $40, even above the 35-37 range where Sequoia capital, Silver Lake and lesser grandees on Sand Hill Road, Dai Nippon, Sing and Oz will now pocket a multi-billion dollar paydirt as […]

HONG KONG SAR – Media OutReach Newswire – 10 September 2025 – On the occasion of the 100-day countdown to the island-wide independent customs operation of the Hainan Free Trade Port (Hainan FTZ), the Hainan FTZ Promotion Conference and Policy Interpretation Conference themed “Hainan-Hong Kong Cooperation for a Win-win Future” was organized at the Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Center on September 9th. On September 9th, stakeholders […]

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Greenlogue/AP Sobha Realty has achieved a milestone with its largest-ever issuance of a $750 million green sukuk, marking the highest such issuance by any real estate developer globally. The five-year Islamic bond, issued under a $1.5 billion Trust Certificate Issuance Programme, attracted orders worth approximately $2.1 billion—nearly 2.8 times the issue size—allowing pricing to tighten by 50 basis points from initial guidance. The sukuk carries a profit […]

Matein Khalid My readers and friends know that I have been a boring perma-bull on gold since early 2024, when it became obvious that the People’s Bank of China was accumulating gold bullions as a hedge against an overvalued King Dollar and a capricious White House, which had just seized $300 billion in Russian central bank reserves to punish Putin’s invasion of Ukraine. The bullish gold trade […]

Markets are sending urgent signals. Gold has burst above $3,600 an ounce, a record that reflects both anticipation of rate cuts and a broader scramble for safety. Treasury yields have swung sharply, with shorter maturities pulled lower by expectations of central bank easing while long-dated bonds creep toward multi-year highs, and across equities, momentum has become fragmented, with volatility rising around political headlines and economic uncertainty. These […]

As the morning light kisses the glazed curtain wall of the Burj Khalifa over the Persian Gulf, and the evening breeze of Doha whispers against the dome of the Museum of Islamic Art, a practice team named “Weihai Yangxing” from Weiyang College of Tsinghua University is measuring the lands of the Middle East with their footsteps and building bridges of cooperation through dialogue. From August 14 to 24, […]

Dubai is witnessing a sharp rise in gold-driven fortunes as long-established Indian entrepreneurs reshape its jewellery sector. Titan Company, known for its Tanishq brand, will acquire 67 per cent of Damas, a leading luxury jewellery retailer with some 146 outlets across the Gulf, for 1.04 billion dirhams, in a deal expected to close by 31 January 2026. This bold expansion markedly strengthens Titan’s foothold under its emerging […]

BERLIN, GERMANY – Media OutReach Newswire – 5 September 2025 – Global lighting innovator Olight is making a bold statement at IFA 2025 in Berlin with the launch of its new ArkPro Series. The slogan of this series is “Rethink Light, Reimagine Style” This series of advanced portable flashlights includes ArkPro, ArkPro Ultra and ArkPro Lite, and integrates multiple functions into one, redefining the performance and design […]

Matein Khalid Gold’s 38% surge in 2025 to as high as 3570 an ounce in the New York spot market is not just about central bank anti-dollar reserve accumulation, expectations of a Fed rate cut at the September FOMC or inflation/deficit angst but also a very rational response to President Trump’s repeated assaults on the political independence of the Federal Reserve, which raises the likelihood of deliberate […]

Private firms are allocating an average of 22 per cent of their profits into Bitcoin, as revealed by a new analysis from River, a specialist in Bitcoin financial services. The move underscores an accelerating wave of adoption from traditional companies across sectors from real estate to hospitality, driven by favourable regulation, strengthened accounting clarity, and a buoyant bull market.

River’s data shows that real estate businesses are leading this charge, with nearly 15 per cent reinvesting profits into Bitcoin, while hospitality, finance, and software firms direct between 8 per cent and 10 per cent. Even smaller, diverse businesses—including fitness studios, painting outfits, roofing contractors, and religious nonprofits—are joining the trend. By 2025, these private firms have quietly amassed 84,000 bitcoins, amounting to roughly a quarter of what institutional fund managers and corporate treasury holders combined have acquired.

The underlying conditions for this surge are clear. River attributes the shift to improved Bitcoin accounting standards, regulatory certainty, growing institutional acceptance, and a strong bull market that has seen Bitcoin’s value surge—creating an “ideal environment for widespread adoption”.

Smaller businesses, typically with fewer than 50 employees, account for 75 per cent of River’s clients, and appear to find Bitcoin adoption simpler than larger corporations. Those with complex, committee-based governance are more cautious, often awaiting peer precedent before committing—even when convinced of Bitcoin’s long-term value.

Adoption patterns also vary in scale. Over 40 per cent of the businesses allocate between 1 per cent and 10 per cent of profits to Bitcoin, while just 10 per cent invest more than half of their net income into the cryptocurrency.

This wave of grassroots participation complements broader institutional demand. River reports that public and private firms—the latter including treasury-managed corporations—are purchasing approximately 1,755 BTC per day on average in 2025. Exchange-traded funds and other investment vehicles are acquiring about 1,430 BTC per day, and governments add another 39 BTC daily. These figures stack up sharply against miner output, which is only around 450 BTC per day—raising the likelihood of a supply squeeze if exchange inventories continue to deplete.

Institution-grade buyers are also piling in. Bitcoin treasury firms accounted for 159,107 BTC acquired in the second quarter of 2025, pushing the total corporate and business-held Bitcoin to around 1.3 million BTC. Michael Saylor’s company Strategy remains the dominant corporate holder, with more than 630,000 BTC under its control.

Parallel developments illustrate the growing strategic shift toward Bitcoin within corporate finance. In the United States, investor Anthony Pompliano orchestrated a $1 billion SPAC merger to launch ProCap Financial, a new Bitcoin treasury firm with an ambition to manage up to $1 billion in cryptocurrency holdings. The firm plans to monetise its holdings through lending, derivatives, and other services, pushing the boundaries of Bitcoin treasury strategies.

Across the Atlantic, UK markets are witnessing their own momentum. At least nine London-listed companies—from technology to mining ventures—have either acquired Bitcoin or announced plans to do so, seeking similar boosts in investor appeal. Despite historical resistance from regulators concerned about money‑laundering risks, the Financial Conduct Authority appears open to easing restrictions, offering a potential regulatory tailwind to adoption in Britain.

This widespread movement mirrors and builds upon earlier corporate Bitcoin trends. As of mid‑2025, nearly 130 publicly traded companies held about $87 billion in Bitcoin, or 3.2 per cent of the total supply, driven by the ‘Bitcoin treasury’ blueprint pioneered by Strategy. Firms including Tesla, Metaplanet, Twenty One Capital, Block, GameStop, and Trump Media & Technology Group have followed suit, deploying equity issuance, bonds, and convertible debt to fund their Bitcoin accumulation.

Analysts also project an enormous potential inflow of corporate capital: Bernstein Research estimates that corporate demand could funnel as much as $330 billion into Bitcoin by 2029, with up to $124 billion attributable to Strategy alone.

Central bankers rarely admit defeat. But Jerome Powell’s latest remarks left little doubt: the Federal Reserve now sees the labour market faltering before inflation is fully tamed. This shift in focus – from bringing down prices to protecting jobs – marks a profound change in the policy backdrop. For investors, it is a wake-up call. For two years, the dominant story was inflation. Central banks tightened aggressively […]

United Arab Bank has formed a strategic alliance with Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange to enable its customers to subscribe for upcoming IPOs through the bank’s digital channels or ADX’s eIPO Investor Portal. This arrangement aims to simplify the process of accessing capital markets, offering a secure and intuitive experience to investors.

At a ceremony held at ADX’s headquarters in Abu Dhabi, the agreement was formalised in the presence of Abdulla Salem Alnuaimi, Group Chief Executive Officer of ADX, and Shirish Bhide, Chief Executive Officer of UAB, alongside senior officials from both organisations.

This collaboration is designed to strengthen UAB’s wealth management proposition by embedding investment opportunities within its digital ecosystem. Customers will now be able to access IPO applications directly via UAB’s mobile application, replacing previously cumbersome procedures with streamlined, guided pathways that enhance transparency and usability.

According to Shirish Bhide, this partnership reflects the bank’s dedication to innovation and long-term value creation. By integrating investment services within UAB’s digital channels, customers gain more inclusive access to the UAE’s capital markets. Abdulla Salnuaimi added that this initiative reaffirms ADX’s aim to enhance the investor experience by collaborating with leading financial institutions and advancing digital solutions.

The move aligns with UAB’s broader digital transformation strategy, as demonstrated by prior efforts such as launching RegPRISM, an AI-powered regulatory intelligence platform developed with Smarbl to improve compliance and operational efficiency.

Further underpinning UAB’s financial robustness is its first-quarter 2025 performance. The bank reported a 49 per cent year-on-year increase in net profit—rising to AED 102 million—driven by growth in assets, loans, Islamic financing, and investments. Capital adequacy remains solid, with a CET1 ratio of 12.6 per cent and a total capital adequacy ratio of 17.1 per cent. Non-performing loans saw improvement from 4.8 per cent to 3.4 per cent, with coverage at 118 per cent.

These financial strengths were in part bolstered by a rights issue completed earlier, which raised around AED 1.03 billion and strengthened UAB’s capital position.

ADX, for its part, continues to pursue innovation in financial market infrastructure. In July, it collaborated with First Abu Dhabi Bank and HSBC to launch the Middle East’s first DLT-based digital bond, reinforcing its frontier role in tokenised finance.

Through this latest agreement, UAB and ADX are promoting a more integrated, accessible investment landscape—blending digital banking and capital markets participation in a manner that could redefine customer expectations and market engagement.

Saudi Aramco is poised to issue U. S.‑dollar denominated sukuk within September in a bid to fortify its financial position amid subdued oil prices. The company aims to raise between $3 billion and $4 billion through Shariah‑compliant bonds, according to insiders familiar with the matter.

Aramco’s timing underscores a strategic response to heightened volatility in oil markets. The company’s dividend payouts remain intact—$21.1 billion in Q2 and still on track for an $85.4 billion annual total—demonstrating a commitment to returns despite pressure on profit margins. The sukuk issuance follows a $5 billion conventional bond sale in May, as indicated by Aramco’s sukuk prospectus filing with the London Stock Exchange on 30 May. That filing allows up to one year for issuance, signalling flexibility in debt deployment.

Despite the fall in crude prices, Aramco’s gearing remains among the lowest in the global oil industry—a point highlighted during the company’s August earnings call. That financial cushion gives it room to tap capital markets when conditions are favourable.

The sukuk issuance aligns with broader Kingdom‑level bond activity. Saudi Arabia has raised $5.5 billion through a dual‑tranche sukuk offering, comprising a $2.25 billion five‑year tranche and a $3.25 billion ten‑year tranche—sold at spreads of 65 bps and 75 bps over U. S. Treasuries respectively, substantially tighter than initial guidance. Investor demand exceeded $17 billion.

Aramco’s anticipated issuance would tap into the same deep liquidity pool, appealing to Islamic finance and ESG‑oriented investors while preserving fiscal discipline. This approach mirrors the Kingdom’s strategy to diversify its funding base and reduce reliance on hydrocarbons. The proceeds are likely to support refinancing, cost‑management efforts, and strategic asset redeployment.

In parallel, measures such as an $11 billion lease‑and‑leaseback deal for Jafurah gas processing assets with a BlackRock‑led consortium, reflect efforts to raise liquidity without reducing shareholder returns. CFO Ziad Al‑Murshed emphasised the aim to “redirect capital away from low‑return assets to core operations” during the earnings briefing.

This financial planning arrives at a time when Aramco continues to face earnings pressure—second‑quarter profit fell by 22 per cent—but the dividend pledge remains firm, maintaining investor confidence.

Turkey’s sovereign wealth fund is pressing ahead with a planned sale of dollar‑denominated bonds on Wednesday after weighing a delay during a sharp stock‑market sell‑off triggered by a court decision affecting the main opposition party’s leadership. The Turkiye Wealth Fund is poised to issue both five‑year and ten‑year notes, guided initially at yields of approximately 7.625 per cent and 8.375 per cent, respectively. The decision to proceed […]

Toyota and BYD have formalised a watershed collaboration anchoring future battery‑electric vehicle innovation. The joint venture, BYD Toyota EV Technology Co., Ltd., began operations in Shenzhen in 2020, equally owned by Toyota Motor Corporation and BYD Company Ltd. Their combined expertise aims to reshape BEV design, performance, comfort and intelligence for discerning Chinese consumers—and potentially beyond. BTET emerged from a partnership agreement signed in November 2019, with formal registration […]

First Abu Dhabi Bank, the UAE’s largest lender by assets, today instructed a consortium of global banks to coordinate a series of investor calls focused exclusively on environmental, social and governance fixed‑income opportunities. These discussions pave the way for the offering of a benchmark 5‑year, USD‑denominated, Regulation S low‑carbon energy bond, to be issued under FAB’s USD 20 billion Euro Medium Term Note programme. The institutions enlisted as joint lead managers and bookrunners […]

The Amadea, a striking 106‑metre superyacht once valued at around $325 million, is slated for a sealed‑bid auction in the United States on 10 September 2025, yet mounting litigation and financial burdens cloud its prospects. Built by renowned German shipyard Lürssen and completed in 2017, the six‑deck vessel offers unparalleled opulence: spa, gym, helipad, swimming pool, cinema and marble‑clad interiors by François Zuretti, plus accommodation for 16 guests […]

First Abu Dhabi Bank has unveiled a pioneering five‑year Blue Bond worth HKD 390 million, marking the first such issuance by a financial institution in the Gulf. Placed via private placement and backed by an Article 9 investor, the bond signals a bold move into water‑ and marine‑related sustainable financing. FAB’s issuance aligns with its Sustainable Finance Framework 2023 and adheres to the International Capital Market Association’s Green Bond Principles. […]

By T N Ashok NEW YORK: Trump’s 50% tariffs on Indian exports took effect from Wednesday as there has been no resolution to the dispute over Russian oil buys in by India. In a move that has stunned global markets and rattled one of America’s most strategically important partnerships, President Donald Trump on Wednesday imposed […]
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