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The rupee edged towards a sharp low as the central bank escalated its defence of the currency amid growing external headwinds. The domestic currency traded around 88.80 to the U. S. dollar, nearing its record low despite official efforts to stem the slide.

The Reserve Bank of India expanded its short-dollar forward positions by about US$6 billion in September, bringing the total to roughly US$59.4 billion, signalling increased dollar sales to defend the rupee.
The rupee had already recorded five straight months of decline before stabilising briefly in October, only to come under renewed pressure. Analysts point to surging gold imports, foreign-portfolio investor withdrawals and uncertainty around U. S. tariffs as key drivers of dollar outflows.

Market participants note that the rupee’s ability to hold above the 88.80 mark depends heavily on the central bank’s resolve. One currency strategist at the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group remarked that the central bank may not allow a significant breach of the 89-per-dollar level unless India’s economic fundamentals deteriorate further.

The rupee’s slide contrasts with other emerging-Asian peers, most of which posted gains of over 3 per cent this year while India’s currency was down about 3.6 per cent. Importer demand for dollars and robust non-deliverable-forward flows remain persistent drags. The central bank made small daily interventions via state-run banks, but these were smaller in scale than the large dollar sales seen in the prior month.

In one high-impact intervention, the Reserve Bank of India sold between US$3 billion to US$5 billion across spot and offshore markets, according to trade-desk estimates. That move pushed the rupee up by nearly 1 per cent on the day, its largest single-day gain in four months. The central bank has declined to comment publicly on the precise quantum of intervention.

The central bank is also placing a premium on managing volatility. Despite the dollar’s global strength and broader weakness in Asian currencies, the rupee has been constrained to a narrow trading band around the 88.80 level. Its ten-day realised volatility has fallen beneath 2 per cent and implied volatilities through one month are near their yearly lows. Some market participants caution that this subdued volatility could undermine hedging activity and leave firms vulnerable if a shock hits.

The rupee’s vulnerability arises in part because the U. S. dollar remains elevated, and the Federal Reserve has signalled that it does not expect to cut interest rates as soon as markets hoped, strengthening the greenback and reducing relief for the rupee. At the same time, India’s trade position remains under pressure as high gold-import volumes and elevated oil prices increase dollar demand.

Against this backdrop, India’s sovereign-bond market is showing signs of life. Foreign investors have ramped up purchases of long-dated government debt following the central bank’s display of defensive resolve. Some analysts suggest that migration back into Indian bonds reflects renewed confidence in rupee-denominated assets. Yet this hope is tempered by the possibility that tighter liquidity—stemming in part from currency-market interventions—could weigh on bond markets and corporate funding costs.

A new initiative unveiled by the Dubai Future Foundation in collaboration with the MIT Senseable City Lab presents a data-intensive approach to urban greenery by applying artificial intelligence to evaluate the cooling effect of trees in multiple global cities. The project, named “Re-Leaf”, harnesses satellite imagery, street-level visuals and thermal data across locations such as Dubai, Amsterdam, Los Angeles and Rome to measure how trees can function as natural cooling infrastructure.

Re-Leaf reveals that shade and evapotranspiration from trees can reduce local surface temperatures by up to 15 °C compared with surrounding paved or built areas. One key finding is that drought-resistant species such as neem trees outperform more commonly planted palms in arid urban environments. DFF described the work as a shift in treating urban vegetation “as essential infrastructure for the cities of tomorrow”.

The initiative emerges under the banner of the 19th International Architecture Exhibition in Venice, curated by Carlo Ratti, in which Re-Leaf features as a special project. The exhibit presents city-scale “skyscraper-like” visualisations that depict greenery levels across the participating cities, with taller towers indicating higher vegetation cover.

Dubai’s establishment of the first Middle East-based Senseable City Lab via DFF provides a focal point for this research. The lab, working in partnership with MIT, developed the algorithms and datasets behind the project. From a strategic perspective, the work aligns with Dubai’s ambition to be an innovation hub and to address the demands of climate-resilient urban planning.

Beyond the headline figure of 15 °C cooling, the dataset comprises more than 2,000 trees across the four cities, allowing comparative analysis of species performance in different climates and urban morphologies. The research team emphasises that while the act of planting trees is well-known, the novelty lies in quantifying their impact using high-resolution AI tools and translating the results into actionable urban design decisions. “In a hotter world, trees must be seen as essential infrastructure, not just decoration,” Ratti said.

Urban planners and environmental scientists are responding to the project by pointing out its potential to shift policy focus from reactive mitigations—such as heavy air-conditioning—to proactive green infrastructure deployment. According to one expert, tree shading and transpiration “are vital for climate-responsive urban design”. For cities in arid or semi-arid zones—where energy use for cooling is high and water scarcity is acute—the findings are particularly relevant. The identification of species that deliver stronger cooling while requiring less water offers practical guidance for future planting strategies.

However, the project also faces scepticism around questions of scalability and implementation cost. Critics ask whether data-rich analyses can translate into large-scale urban forestry programmes in dense built environments, and note that factors such as soil depth, maintenance regimes and tree lifespan require further study. One architecture-critique article raised a broader question: “Do we need AI to confirm that trees cool cities?” highlighting the risk of attending to measurement rather than action.

The choice of cities for analysis – Dubai, Los Angeles, Amsterdam and Rome – reflects a mix of climatic zones and urban typologies, offering the chance to test how vegetation behaves across contexts. Amsterdam, with a temperate maritime climate, provides contrast to Dubai’s arid conditions, while Rome offers a dense historical fabric and Los Angeles a sprawling low-rise geography. Re-Leaf’s catalogue of thousands of tree species and urban cooling maps explicitly aims to support urban designers and policymakers.

For DFF and its partners, integrating tree-cooling metrics into master-planning holds promise beyond aesthetics. The project’s immersive display at Venice functions not only to showcase technology but to prompt debate on how cities invest in nature-based solutions. DFF Director of Dubai Future Labs, Khalifa Al Qama, described the work as generating insights with global value.

Dubai-listed developer Emaar Properties is sharpening its global expansion strategy by placing a stronger emphasis on India while exercising caution over entry into China’s troubled housing market, according to chief executive and founder Mohamed Alabbar.

Alabbar told the Future Investment Initiative conference in Riyadh that India would be “our next big step,” citing two decades of operations in the country and significant growth potential. He emphasised that, while Emaar remains “very interested in China,” it is holding off until the market shows clear signs of recovery, noting that “it is a different world. Let them recover.”

The directive comes after Emaar posted strong financial results: net profit jumped 25 per cent to AED 18.9 billion last year and rose a further 34 per cent in the first half of 2025, conditions that Alabbar says position the firm to target large market acquisitions rather than start-ups abroad. Emaar’s land-bank footprint already spans more than 1.87 billion sq ft globally, including a 122 million sq ft stake in India and around 175 million sq ft outside the UAE.

In India the driver is rising urbanisation, youthful demographics and a housing deficit that Emaar believes it is well placed to address. Alabbar signalled that the company is pursuing joint-venture partnerships with local groups rather than divesting its Indian operations, dismissing reports of a sale to one of the country’s major conglomerates. By contrast, China presents multiple headwinds including a pronounced housing market slump: new-home prices in 63 out of 70 major Chinese cities fell in September, reflecting a 0.4 per cent month-on-month drop and a 2.2 per cent year-on-year fall.

Analysts say Emaar’s bifurcated strategy makes sense in the context of broader market dynamics. India’s economy is forecast to grow about 6.7 per cent in fiscal 2025-26, according to a Reuters poll, while China is projected to expand by roughly 4.8 per cent amid real-estate weakness. Alabbar noted that the company sees China’s environment as “still suffering with their housing problem, but they’ll come up with it,” stating that Emaar wants to be ready rather than reactive.

Emaar’s preferred mode of overseas expansion appears to be acquiring significant stakes in existing developers, upgrading business models and rolling out its integrated real-estate offering rather than green-field launches. “Maybe you go and buy a majority stake in a developer and then change the way they do business … or maybe they already do good business and we learn from them,” Alabbar explained. That approach aligns with Emaar’s low net debt, elevated cash position and willingness to invest in large markets such as the US, Europe and China.

Critics caution that while India holds promise, foreign developers often face regulatory, land-title and partner-alignment risks. Emaar’s long-standing Indian venture, launched in 2005, endured partner disputes and execution delays, a history that Alabbar acknowledged when he said “we’ve been there 20 years. That’s big for us.” He further noted that successful growth in India depends on selecting the proper location and product mix. Meanwhile, China’s structural property problems are deep-rooted: unsold inventory and falling valuations continue to impair home­buyer confidence, raising questions about the timing of any major developer expansion into the market.

Saudi Arabia’s flagship New Murabba project is poised to become a major investment hub, with plans to attract capital in technology, real estate, and construction sectors. Michael Dyke, the CEO of New Murabba, announced the initiative at the Fortune Global Forum in Riyadh, marking a significant step forward in the kingdom’s diversification strategy.

Launched in 2023 by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the New Murabba project is part of Saudi Arabia’s broader Vision 2030, aimed at reducing the nation’s reliance on oil revenues by fostering new industries and boosting economic growth. The initiative aims to transform the heart of Riyadh into a sprawling mixed-use urban area, poised to redefine the cityscape with a mix of residential, commercial, and entertainment offerings.

The project will cover an area of 19 square kilometres, positioning it as one of the largest urban developments globally. Its scale is unprecedented, making it one of the most ambitious projects in Saudi Arabia’s recent history. The new district is expected to accommodate over 100,000 residents and create hundreds of thousands of jobs in various sectors, significantly contributing to Riyadh’s economic development.

One of the key areas that Dyke highlighted during his speech at the forum is the focus on technology. The New Murabba project aims to integrate cutting-edge technological innovations into its design and infrastructure. The development will feature smart city technologies, including AI-driven systems for traffic management, energy conservation, and public services. Moreover, the project is expected to foster a thriving ecosystem for tech startups and established companies, making it an attractive destination for both domestic and international tech investors.

The project’s real estate and construction sectors will also play a pivotal role. With residential spaces, luxury hotels, office towers, and retail outlets planned, the project is designed to meet the needs of a diverse range of residents, businesses, and tourists. This focus on mixed-use developments aims to create a self-sustaining urban area, with a heavy emphasis on sustainability and green architecture. Additionally, the construction phase alone is expected to generate significant economic activity, providing a substantial number of jobs in the kingdom’s building sector.

New Murabba’s strategic location within Riyadh further boosts its potential as a central business and cultural district. It will be positioned in close proximity to key landmarks, including the King Abdulaziz Historical Centre and the King Saud University, enhancing its accessibility and making it a focal point for both locals and visitors. The project’s proximity to the King Khalid International Airport is also expected to make it a prime location for international businesses, especially in the tech and tourism industries.

The Saudi government’s backing of the New Murabba initiative signals a strong commitment to its diversification efforts. As part of the Vision 2030 programme, the kingdom is looking to foster a more sustainable and diversified economy, moving away from its dependence on oil exports. This development aligns with broader trends in urbanisation across the Middle East, where large-scale projects are shaping the future of cities and driving economic change.

The investment opportunities presented by New Murabba are expected to attract a wide range of investors from various sectors. For real estate developers, the sheer scale of the project represents an unparalleled opportunity. For technology firms, the integration of smart city technologies offers a unique environment in which to develop and test innovative solutions. Meanwhile, the construction sector stands to benefit greatly from the demand for infrastructure and buildings, with the long-term potential for growth in both residential and commercial spaces.

With the Saudi government’s push for private sector involvement, the New Murabba project is expected to be a catalyst for further investments in the kingdom. The involvement of international investors and companies will be crucial to its success, with the project acting as a gateway to other opportunities within Saudi Arabia’s growing economy.