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First Half

Abu Dhabi Global Market recorded more than 11,000 active licences and a striking 42 per cent rise in assets under management in the first half of 2025, underpinning its emergence as the Middle East and North Africa region’s leading international financial centre. ADGM Exceeds 11,000 Licences, AUM Surges 42 %.

The expansion sees ADGM surpass AED 500 billion in market capitalisation of its listed entities on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange, reflecting its pivotal role in strengthening the emirate’s non-oil economy, which grew to 9.1 per cent in the first quarter of 2025.

More than 2,970 firms—comprising 308 financial and 2,664 non-financial entities—are now operating from ADGM, marking a 42 per cent year-on-year increase. The centre issued 1,869 new licences during the period, the highest ever in a half-year span, up by 47 per cent from the previous year.

Asset management continued to thrive: ADGM is now home to 154 fund and asset managers overseeing 209 funds, driving AUM up by 42 per cent over the year to June 2025.

Powerful global partnerships fuelled the centre’s momentum. Fortress Investment Group set up an office in ADGM and joined a US$1 billion co-investment venture with Mubadala. Kimmeridge opened its ADGM branch and inked an MoU with Mubadala Energy to develop natural gas and LNG projects. Meanwhile, IHC, BlackRock and ADGM-based Lunate launched an AI-native reinsurance platform worth over US$1 billion. A private credit joint venture between Mubadala and Alpha Dhabi scaled to US$2.5 billion—all anchored at ADGM.

ADGM’s increasing workforce reflects its expanding influence: by end-June 2025, nearly 36,000 professionals were working across Al Maryah and Al Reem Islands.

ADGM’s achievements are underpinned by enhanced regulatory frameworks. The Financial Services Regulatory Authority issued 52 In-Principle Approvals and 45 new Financial Services Permissions. The Registration Authority implemented improvements such as the AccessRP digital platform for property interest verification, Commercial Permit Regulations to support non-financial businesses, and revised fees to simplify market entry. Mutual recognition of digital platforms with Astana International Financial Centre and a 223 per cent increase in supervision assessments further underscore ADGM’s commitment to governance and global alignment.

International engagement has also grown: ADGM participated in CityWeek 2025 in London, held roadshows in China and Japan, and concluded MoUs with regulators in Azerbaijan, Bhutan, Hong Kong and Sweden. These moves have promoted cross-border regulatory collaboration, innovation in capital markets, and sustainable finance initiatives.

eToro Group Ltd is poised to pursue bolder acquisitions after securing a substantial liquidity base, according to one of its co-founders. At the Ambrosetti Forum in Cernobbio, Italy, Ronen Assia, executive director and co-founder, confirmed that the firm “has cash and cash equivalents of around $1.2 billion at the end of the first half of the year, with a cash position of $988 million, with no debt.” He added: “We’re looking to do more ambitious stuff involving acquisitions,” emphasising that eToro aims to broaden both asset classes and its geographic footprint.

eToro’s deliberate pivot into more aggressive mergers and acquisitions comes on the heels of its listing on Nasdaq in May 2025, where it raised $620 million in its initial public offering. The company’s robust cash war-chest endows it with flexibility to explore new verticals and markets in a dynamic fintech landscape.

Beyond financial strength, eToro is deepening its product offering. The platform recently rolled out tokenisation and artificial intelligence tools targeted at retail investors, along with expanding its global reach. Meanwhile, preliminary selected business metrics for July and August reveal continued operational momentum: assets under administration rose to $19.7 billion, funded accounts approached 3.69 million—both reflecting high year-on-year growth—while crypto trading volumes surged by nearly 50 percent.

The company’s healthy balance sheet is grounded in a successful IPO and product innovation. In Q1 2025, eToro reported $736 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, alongside growth in user accounts and assets under administration. The firm also expanded its trading products, launching options in the UK and futures in Europe, while diversifying geographic access to include exchanges in Abu Dhabi and Hong Kong.

This marks a clear signal that bold acquisitions are on eToro’s horizon—a phrase that captures the firm’s evolving strategic ambition and its capacity to act decisively in a competitive market.

The timing of this announcement is significant. Mergers and acquisitions within fintech and crypto sectors have become tools for scale, innovation, and regulatory navigation. With its substantial liquidity and no leverage, eToro may look to acquire firms offering complementary capabilities—whether in tokenisation, AI-driven trading, wealth management, or regional expansion.

Ronen Assia’s stance highlights both intent and preparedness. The expressed goal to take on “more ambitious” deals indicates a readiness to move beyond smaller bolt-ins, aiming instead for transformative moves that could reshape the firm’s product and regional scope. The emphasis on adding asset classes and locales suggests potential targets might include firms with niche offerings or solid footprints in under-penetrated markets.

At a time when many fintech companies are consolidating or recalibrating amid macroeconomic shifts and evolving regulation, eToro’s proactive posture sets it apart. With backing of a strong balance sheet and public market credibility, the platform is well placed to capitalise on strategic M&A opportunities as they arise.

Abu Dhabi’s G42 is offering 2 % of its shareholding in its subsidiary, Presight AI, to institutional investors through an accelerated book-build, aiming to raise slightly more than $100 million. The transaction will reduce G42’s holding in the analytics group from 70.5 % to 68.5 %, while retaining majority control. First Abu Dhabi Bank and Jefferies are acting as joint global coordinators and joint bookrunners, with International Securities serving as joint bookrunner.

Demand for the placement has been strong, with books reportedly fully covered ahead of finalisation. Settlement is expected around 10 September 2025, following final terms being set by 4 September. G42 has also committed to a 180-day lock-up period before any further sale of its Presight shares.

The strategic purpose behind G42 lowers Presight AI stake via ABB is to broaden and institutionalise Presight’s investor base, enhance liquidity, and strengthen its case for inclusion in the FTSE Emerging Market Index. Greater free float and international institutional ownership would increase trading activity and appeal to passive investment funds.

Presight AI, which listed on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange in 2023, has posted strong financials through 2025. Its share price has risen by approximately 67 % year-to-date, closing recently at AED 3.47. In the first half of 2025, organic revenue grew by 33.5 %, supported by new domestic contracts. In the second quarter, group net profit rose by nearly 8 % to Dh77 million, with revenue up by over 53 % to Dh523.9 million. International markets now contribute 26.8 % of revenue, up from just 4.9 % a year earlier.

G42 group CFO Ricky Thirion described Presight as “a critical pillar of the G42 ecosystem and a cornerstone of our Intelligence Grid offering,” noting that its performance reflects consistent growth and strong leadership.

Regionally, secondary offerings like this one are gaining traction. In 2025, follow-on sales across the Middle East have raised roughly $3.7 billion, surpassing IPO proceeds—a sign of deepening market maturity.

The placement’s proceeds will go entirely to G42, with no dilution or impact on other shareholders or Presight’s operations.

Abu Dhabi’s G42 has therefore engineered a measured recalibration of its ownership in Presight AI—G42 lowers Presight AI stake via ABB—while securing capital, expanding its shareholder base, and positioning the company for broader market inclusion and visibility.

China’s solar industry, particularly its polysilicon segment, is experiencing a defining shift. Six leading solar makers reported a combined loss of Rmb20.2 billion during the first half of 2025, prompting regulatory intervention to stem overcapacity and destructive price competition.

In early September, GCL Technology Holdings confirmed that investors can anticipate clarity soon on a plan to restructure the polysilicon industry—potentially this year. Chief Financial Officer Yang Wenzhong indicated that GCL may invest its own capital into the effort but is proceeding with caution amid financial uncertainty.

The core of this restructuring lies in a proposed RMB50 billion pooling of funds by top producers like GCL and Tongwei. The aim is to acquire and retire roughly one-third of existing production capacity, targeting approximately one million metric tonnes of lower-quality output. This supply reduction could help raise prices and restore downstream solar panel maker profitability.

Government authorities are reinforcing this market realignment through direct meetings with industry representatives. In August, China’s Industry Ministry held its second session in two months, urging the sector to eliminate outdated manufacturing capacity and curb “low-price disorderly competition” as part of a broader effort to reverse deflationary trends.

The policy response reflects concern over global glut: in 2024, China produced 588 GW of solar capacity while global demand stood at 451 GW, leaving utilisation at just 54%. Analysts estimate that up to 20–30% or more of solar manufacturing capacity must exit the market to reestablish profitability.

This state-guided consolidation faces substantial obstacles. Local governments that have boosted regional development through subsidies, tax breaks and favourable land deals for solar manufacturers may resist decommissioning facilities tied to local GDP and employment. Even if a cartel is formed, analysts warn that members might sneak back into production once prices rebound.

While the outlook remains complex, sentiment among investors appears cautiously optimistic. Markets showed tentative improvement after reports of progress in industry coordination and price gains surfaced. Trina’s commentary on earnings, describing polysilicon as “the first step of anti-involution,” hints at broader hopes for a turnaround.

Global attention is intensifying. Successful restructuring could reinforce China’s dominance—already controlling around 90% of global solar cell capacity—while disrupting cheap exports that have pressured international markets. But a failed effort could compound challenges in other overcapacity-prone sectors such as electric vehicles or shipbuilding.

Longi, another solar powerhouse, is also adapting. Its founder, Li Zhenguo, has relinquished daily management to focus on R&D, including back‑contact cell and green hydrogen technology. The shift comes amid sustained losses and an 80% decline in its share price since 2021, as analysts predict that overcapacity will persist through 2028.

China’s solar supply chain—from polysilicon to panels—is at an industrial crossroads. The restructuring effort is perhaps the boldest policy move yet to recalibrate supply with demand. But its success hinges on overcoming entrenched regional interests, ensuring disciplined industry behaviour, and catalysing sustainable demand growth.

Borouge Plc confirmed shareholder approval at its 29 August General Assembly Meeting for an interim dividend of US$660 million, equating to 8.1 fils per share. The move underscores sustained financial strength driven by robust pricing premia, disciplined cost management and strategic inventory realisation.

The corporation reaffirmed its intention to deliver a total dividend of 16.2 fils per share for 2025—a rise from 15.88 fils in 2024—with the final instalment of 8.1 fils set to be disbursed in the first quarter of 2026. Since its IPO in June 2022, Borouge has returned US$4.24 billion in dividends, equating to a 30 per cent total shareholder return.

Chief executive Hazeem Sultan Al Suwaidi emphasised that the dividend distribution reflects the company’s “consistent track record of strong shareholder returns,” grounded in disciplined cost oversight, steady pricing margins and robust operations. He also pointed to progress toward forming Borouge Group International in early 2026 and remarked that the company remains committed to delivering resilient performance and one of the highest dividend returns on the ADX.

Financial results for the first half of the year reinforce the dividend decision. Borouge posted a net profit of US$474 million, lifted by sustained volumes, favourable pricing premia and cost efficiencies. Operationally, the pivotal Borouge 4 mega‑project has surpassed 90 per cent completion and is on target for delivery by the end of 2026. Upon completion, it will add 1.4 million tonnes of annual polyolefin capacity, unlocking substantial embedded value for shareholders.

Further details of the company’s broader strategic direction were outlined. Borouge Group International, the planned global entity, is on track for completion in the first quarter of 2026, with regulatory filings and integration processes already under way. The newly formed firm is projected to become a US$60 billion global petrochemicals powerhouse and the world’s fourth‑largest polyolefins company. Following completion, the intention is to maintain an annual minimum dividend of 16.2 fils per share through to at least 2030, subject to approval.

Earlier, Borouge had signalled its intent to distribute this interim dividend when the board proposed a US$663 million interim payout on 30 July, equivalent to 8.1 fils per share, inviting shareholders to convene on 29 August. Market commentary from the second quarter further framed the dividend rationale: net profit reached US$193 million in Q2, buoyed by the timely execution of the Borouge 3 turnaround—completed ahead of schedule and within budget. EBITDA stood at US$440 million with a margin of 34 per cent, reinforcing the company’s resilience amid asset maintenance.

Bilateral non-oil trade between the UAE and India surged past US $37.6 billion in the first half of 2025, marking a 33.9 per cent increase compared with the same period in the previous year. The UAE’s Foreign Trade Minister, Dr Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi, highlighted during his Mumbai visit the pivotal role of the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement in propelling this growth. Discussions focused on expanding cooperation across pharmaceuticals, food and logistics, alongside Bharat Mart, a 2.7 million sq ft trade complex in Jebel Ali Free Zone designed for Indian exporters to reach markets across the Middle East, Africa and Europe.

Trade figures underscore that CEPA has significantly deepened economic ties. In 2024, non-oil trade between the two nations topped US $65 billion, reflecting a 19.7 per cent increase from 2023 and more than doubling the 2020 tally of US $27.9 billion. UAE investments in India reached around US $17 billion by late 2023, while Indian investments in the UAE climbed to approximately US $8 billion—total mutual investment topping US $25 billion, with the UAE accounting for 70 per cent of that figure.

This dynamic was further backed by the UAE-India CEPA Council’s Start-up Series, which has drawn more than 10,000 applications from Indian entrepreneurs since its launch in June 2025. The initiative, showcased in New Delhi by Ahmed Aljneibi, has made stops at leading institutions including Banaras Hindu University and the Master’s Union School of Business, offering mentorship, regulatory guidance and pathways for cross-border scale-up.

The strategic focus on innovation also extends beyond startups. Sheraa, Sharjah’s entrepreneurship centre, and Startup Middle East signed a memorandum to establish an India Startup Hub in Sharjah, aimed at facilitating the entry of Indian ventures into the UAE market and strengthening regional innovation ecosystems.

Policy measures in the UAE are evolving to match this economic outreach. Amendments to more than 40 laws, most notably the Commercial Companies Law enabling 100 per cent foreign ownership, are part of a broader strategy to double the non-oil economy—from US $381 billion to US $762 billion—by 2030. Foreign trade is viewed as central to achieving that ambition, with the UAE’s connectivity, infrastructure and logistics network seen as vital assets for Indian businesses seeking wider regional access.

CEPA’s architecture underscores its comprehensive approach: since its implementation in May 2022, tariffs on more than 80 per cent of Indian exports to the UAE have been reduced or eliminated immediately, benefiting sectors from gems and jewellery to pharmaceuticals and automobiles. Additional gains accrue from streamlined customs protocols, regulatory harmonisation and a joint committee addressing market-access and technical barriers.

Experts point to CEPA as transformative for both economies. Indian gems and jewellery exports more than doubled from US $4.9 billion to US $8 billion in fiscal year 2024, aided by duty removals. Labour-intensive industries such as textiles, leather, footwear, sports goods, plastics, furniture, engineering goods, agricultural produce and food items have also gained momentum, while regulatory alignment has accelerated entry of generic drugs and medical devices, boosting health-sector cooperation and supply-chain resilience.

Further integration is visible in emerging fintech and logistics initiatives. Bharat Mart reinforces logistical synergy, while the nascent Virtual Trade Corridor, fintech sandboxes and experiments such as India’s MagRail pilot demonstrate growing interoperability in digital trade and compliance systems.

At the political level, the CEPA enters its third year this February. Al Zeyoudi noted that India remains the UAE’s second-largest non-oil export destination, accounting for 13.5 per cent of total non-oil exports in 2024—a 75.2 per cent rise year-on-year. Conversely, the UAE is India’s third-largest trading partner and a major investor, illustrating the strategic depth CEPA has added to bilateral ties.

A quarter of white‑collar professionals in the UAE express concern that artificial intelligence might one day replace their roles, yet more than half acknowledge that AI tools have made their work noticeably easier—presenting a complex picture of apprehension tempered by appreciation.

LinkedIn data shows that 80 per cent of professionals in the UAE now use AI tools “regularly,” a significant increase from 56 per cent in 2024. This puts the UAE second globally in AI adoption behind only India, where the figure stands at 85 per cent. Confidence in experimenting with AI is high, with 81 per cent of local professionals saying they enjoy exploring AI tools, and 73 per cent reporting more frequent and confident usage compared with the previous year. Many describe learning AI as “a second job.”

A survey by The National found that roughly 25 per cent of the 200 respondents worry about AI’s future impact on their jobs. Yet more than half affirm that AI has made their current tasks easier, and 7 per cent report that their roles have already been replaced—though they emphasise this is based on a small sample. Roles in media, advertising and marketing appear particularly vulnerable to automation. Nevertheless, David Mackenzie of recruitment firm Mackenzie Jones Middle East maintains that, at present, AI lacks the sophistication to supplant senior professionals in white‑collar roles.

Broader sentiment in the UAE workforce is largely optimistic. A Korn Ferry workforce report indicates that 82 per cent of employees in the UAE feel positive about AI’s potential—a stance mirrored in neighbouring Saudi Arabia. Moreover, a survey reveals only 7 per cent of UAE professionals would resist working alongside AI as a colleague, compared with 21 per cent globally. There is, however, cautious pragmatism: 35 per cent support limiting automation in sensitive sectors such as healthcare and education, and 61 per cent would endorse full automation only if accompanied by a universal basic income or welfare compensation, compared with 40 per cent worldwide.

These mixed perspectives take shape against a backdrop of national ambition and infrastructural investment. The UAE has broadened its Golden Visa programme to attract global talent in AI, climate technology and advanced digital industries—a strategic move to make itself a hub for technological innovation and sustainable growth. The country’s AI strategy also includes the establishment of dedicated institutions and leadership structures, such as the Ministry of State for Artificial Intelligence, Digital Economy and Remote Work Applications, led by Omar Sultan Al Olama, who was appointed in 2020 as the world’s first minister for artificial intelligence.

Academic insights reinforce the nuanced impact of AI across sectors. A recent study of creative professionals—including journalists and filmmakers—reveals that while AI enhances operational efficiency and reduces costs, it also raises concerns about authenticity, cultural integrity and skill erosion. The absence of sector‑specific guidelines leaves individuals to navigate AI adoption on their own.

On a global scale, developments are shaping discourse on AI’s real effects. A Stanford‑led study has documented a 16 per cent decline in employment among workers aged 22–25 in sectors vulnerable to automation, such as customer service and software development, between late 2022 and mid‑2025. Experienced workers remain comparatively shielded as AI takes over repetitive tasks. The report emphasises the importance of policies that favour human‑AI collaboration rather than outright replacement. Microsoft’s AI chief Mustafa Suleyman urges professionals not to fear job loss, but rather stagnation—championing reskilling, collaboration, and a growth mindset.

These threads converge as the UAE continues to pursue its goal of becoming an AI leader by 2031—anchored in education, infrastructure, investment and workforce transformation. Yet the responses of professionals remain varied: a blend of anxiety, adaptability and optimism defines the evolving relationship between AI and work in the UAE.