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The Gulf region is fast becoming a significant alternative hub for Indian jewellery manufacturing and exports, spurred by rising trade tensions between the US and India. Experts point to the growing challenges faced by Indian jewellers, particularly as American tariffs on Indian imports climb in response to geopolitical factors, including India’s continued oil purchases from Russia.

The latest move by the US, led by an executive order from President Donald Trump, has intensified trade uncertainties. The executive order, signed on Wednesday, introduces a hefty 25 per cent tariff on Indian goods, with specific implications for the jewellery sector. This tariff hike, effective in three weeks, increases the overall tariff burden on Indian imports to 50 per cent—one of the highest rates the US has imposed on its trading partners.

For years, India has been the global leader in jewellery manufacturing, with a robust presence in the international market, particularly in the US. However, the imposition of punitive tariffs has forced many Indian jewellers to rethink their export strategies. The Gulf region, traditionally a key market for Indian gold and precious stones, is now gaining prominence as a strategic manufacturing base, offering a more favourable trade environment.

The decision to shift operations to the Gulf is driven by a combination of factors, including the region’s strategic geographic position and its trade agreements with major markets. Countries like the UAE and Bahrain have long been involved in the jewellery trade, but as tariffs increase on Indian exports to the US, their roles are now being redefined. Experts suggest that the Gulf’s advanced infrastructure, coupled with an array of free trade agreements, makes it an attractive destination for manufacturing and re-exporting high-end jewellery to global markets, including the US.

The Dubai Gold and Jewellery Group, one of the region’s leading jewellery trade bodies, has welcomed the shift, noting the opportunities it presents for growth. The UAE, in particular, has developed an attractive ecosystem for jewellery manufacturers, offering tax incentives, access to advanced technology, and a well-established logistics network. These benefits make it an appealing alternative for Indian jewellers seeking to bypass the punitive tariffs imposed by the US.

India’s reliance on the US market for jewellery exports, particularly in the high-end sector, has been significant. However, as the tariff burden becomes heavier, companies are exploring alternatives that provide both cost-effectiveness and access to lucrative international markets. Several large manufacturers have already established bases in the UAE, with plans to expand their operations further into the region.

A noteworthy trend is the increasing collaboration between Indian and Gulf-based jewellery firms. These partnerships are focused on expanding manufacturing capabilities while reducing reliance on traditional export routes. The UAE, with its business-friendly policies, is proving to be an ideal locale for jewellery production, particularly for smaller-scale businesses that are unable to absorb the full impact of the US tariffs.

One of the key drivers of this shift is the growing US demand for luxury goods, including jewellery. The tariff hike, while discouraging direct exports from India, has not dampened the appetite for high-quality jewellery. Instead, it has prompted companies to explore alternative routes to meet this demand. Experts point out that the Gulf provides a strategic advantage for such businesses, offering them the flexibility to maintain their competitive edge without the added burden of trade barriers.

The Gulf’s importance in the global jewellery trade has long been overlooked in favour of established centres like India. However, as geopolitical tensions continue to shape trade flows, the region’s position as a central player in the jewellery manufacturing process is becoming more evident. Industry insiders predict that over the next few years, the Gulf’s jewellery manufacturing and export capabilities will only grow stronger, reshaping the global jewellery supply chain.

For Indian jewellery manufacturers, the shift to the Gulf represents a broader strategy to diversify their risk exposure. By establishing a presence in markets that are less susceptible to abrupt policy changes, Indian companies are better positioned to mitigate the impact of volatile geopolitical situations. The expansion of Gulf-based jewellery production also ensures that India maintains a foothold in the lucrative US market, even as tariffs continue to escalate.

Mira Developments, a UAE-based luxury real estate developer, has made a significant move into Oman with the acquisition of a one million square foot plot of land in the Dhofar Governorate. This strategic expansion positions the company to tap into the growing demand for luxury properties in Salalah, particularly as the region gains attention for its potential in high-end tourism and residential developments.

The announcement came shortly after Mira Developments hosted a high-profile three-day mastermind retreat that brought together over 100 top-tier real estate professionals. The retreat, which included brokers, architects, and representatives from luxury brands, marked a pivotal moment in the company’s ambitious expansion strategy. The event served as both a networking platform and a launchpad for the company’s upcoming developments in Oman, including the highly anticipated Mira Coral Bay project.

Mira Developments’ decision to enter the Omani market underscores its broader vision to become a leader in luxury branded living across the Gulf Cooperation Council region. With a focus on integrating premium design, sustainability, and lifestyle excellence, the company aims to set new standards for luxury communities in the region. The project will not only contribute to the local economy but also elevate the standards of residential living in Salalah, which is emerging as a prime destination for affluent residents and tourists.

The retreat, which was set against the picturesque backdrop of Salalah’s unique natural landscape and the refreshing Khareef season, proved to be the perfect setting for brainstorming and collaboration. The event featured a series of workshops and strategic roundtable discussions that aimed to push the boundaries of innovation in real estate. Participants explored opportunities for cross-sector collaboration and exchanged insights on future trends in luxury living, from sustainable architecture to cutting-edge smart home technology.

The Dhofar region, known for its lush green landscapes and pristine coastline, offers a distinctive appeal for luxury developments. Salalah, in particular, is poised to benefit from its increasing popularity as a year-round destination. The Khareef season, which attracts tourists with its cool climate and stunning natural beauty, provides an ideal environment for high-end real estate projects designed to offer both comfort and exclusivity.

Mira Coral Bay, the flagship development, is expected to feature world-class amenities, including bespoke residences, upscale retail spaces, and recreational facilities, all designed to cater to the discerning tastes of luxury buyers. The development will incorporate sustainable practices, aligning with Mira Developments’ commitment to environmental responsibility. The company has also indicated that its approach will prioritise creating harmonious, eco-friendly communities that blend seamlessly with the natural surroundings of Salalah.

Real estate experts have noted that the luxury property market in Oman is ripe for development, particularly in regions like Dhofar. With its stunning landscapes and growing infrastructure, Salalah offers an attractive proposition for high-end investors looking for new opportunities outside of the more saturated markets in the UAE and Saudi Arabia. The entry of Mira Developments into the Omani market is seen as a significant endorsement of the potential of Salalah as a luxury destination, and the project is expected to attract both regional and international investors.

While Mira Developments’ focus is on luxury properties, its broader vision extends beyond just creating high-end residences. The company aims to shape the future of luxury living by fostering innovation and collaborating with leading experts across industries. Through its strategic expansions, Mira Developments is positioning itself as a key player in the future of real estate development in the GCC region.

Reliance Industries, one of India’s largest conglomerates, faces significant decisions about its oil sourcing strategy amid increasing pressure from the United States to reduce its reliance on Russian crude. The Indian government, which became a major purchaser of seaborne Russian oil following Moscow’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, is now under mounting diplomatic pressure from Washington to cut its energy ties with Russia. The shift in policy would have substantial implications for the global oil market and India’s refining industry.

Reliance, which operates the world’s largest refining complex in Jamnagar, Gujarat, is central to this decision. With the capacity to process 1.4 million barrels per day, Reliance’s massive refining operation plays a pivotal role in India’s energy landscape. Historically, the company has sourced significant volumes of Russian crude oil, a practice that began in earnest after the geopolitical upheaval caused by Russia’s invasion.

However, as the US ramps up its diplomatic efforts, India faces a delicate balancing act. Although India has repeatedly asserted its right to make independent decisions on energy imports, the US has been clear in its stance, urging the country to align with Western sanctions that limit Russian energy purchases. Washington’s pressure is focused not only on the political ramifications but also on the global strategy to curtail Moscow’s economic resilience through these sanctions.

Energy trade sources indicate that should Reliance cease purchasing Russian crude, the company would likely revert to Middle Eastern suppliers. The Middle East’s geographical proximity to India and its robust oil production capabilities make it an ideal alternative for Reliance’s vast refining operations. As global oil markets fluctuate, the alignment with Middle Eastern suppliers could allow Reliance to maintain its production capacity without significant disruptions.

Industry experts note that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has been adjusting its output to accommodate changing demand patterns. OPEC’s decision to unwind its voluntary cuts has already resulted in increased crude oil production, providing more flexibility to companies like Reliance. This additional supply from the Middle East would likely ease the transition if Reliance moves away from Russian crude, experts suggest.

Nevertheless, shifting reliance back to Middle Eastern oil is not without its own set of challenges. While this move might reduce geopolitical tensions, it would also expose Reliance and other Indian refiners to fluctuations in Middle Eastern production and pricing. Additionally, the cost dynamics could differ, especially given the complexities of supply chain logistics, transportation costs, and currency fluctuations that could affect the price of crude oil sourced from the Gulf.

For India, the implications go beyond just the refiners. The country’s broader energy strategy could come under scrutiny as it seeks to maintain a balance between meeting domestic demand and adhering to international diplomatic pressures. As a major energy consumer, India has long sought to diversify its sources of crude oil to ensure stable supply chains, and the shifting sands of global politics only heighten the complexity of these decisions.

The pushback from Russia, meanwhile, is likely to become more pronounced. Moscow’s strategy in the face of sanctions has been to maintain its role in global energy markets by finding alternative buyers, including India and China, for its oil exports. With the growing Western pressure, Russia is expected to explore additional avenues for securing energy trade relationships, potentially targeting markets in Asia that are less susceptible to US-led sanctions.

DP World has significantly boosted its automotive logistics capacity at Jebel Ali Port with the opening of a new 2.6 million square foot vehicle storage yard at Terminal 4. This expansion is a strategic move to cater to the increasing demand for global vehicle trade and further solidifies Dubai’s position as a leading automotive hub in the region.

The development adds an additional 13,000 car equivalent units to the port’s storage capacity, bringing the total to 75,000 CEUs. This increase comes as Dubai seeks to accommodate the growing flow of vehicles through its primary maritime gateway. The modern facility is equipped to handle a wide range of vehicles, ensuring smoother logistics and faster turnaround times for automobile shipments.

In tandem with the storage space, the upgrade also features an 800-metre quay. This quay is designed to support three roll-on/roll-off vessels simultaneously, improving the port’s efficiency and handling capacity for large-scale vehicle shipments. RoRo vessels are commonly used for transporting automobiles due to their ability to load and unload vehicles quickly and safely. The expanded quay capacity significantly enhances Jebel Ali’s ability to meet the demands of car manufacturers, traders, and logistics companies, both regionally and globally.

Dubai’s Jebel Ali Port has long been recognised as a pivotal trade and logistics hub, playing a crucial role in the region’s supply chain. The port’s strategic location, coupled with its extensive infrastructure, has made it a preferred gateway for trade in the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The automotive sector, in particular, has seen exponential growth, with Dubai acting as a key transit point for vehicles moving between markets in Europe, Asia, and Africa. This new development aims to support the growing needs of global car manufacturers who rely on Dubai’s connectivity and efficiency to reach a broader market.

DP World’s expansion aligns with the UAE’s broader strategy to diversify its economy and reduce dependence on oil revenues by strengthening other sectors such as logistics and trade. The automotive logistics market has witnessed an upward trajectory in recent years, with rising demand for vehicle imports and exports. In response, DP World has invested in this infrastructure to support automotive trade and contribute to the broader economic goals of Dubai and the UAE.

With the automotive trade forecasted to grow, Jebel Ali Port’s enhanced capacity provides a critical edge in a competitive global market. The integration of cutting-edge technology and modern facilities within the new yard also supports the port’s commitment to sustainability and operational efficiency. The facility will implement eco-friendly practices such as energy-efficient lighting, and the quay will utilise advanced mooring systems to ensure safer and faster vessel turnaround.

The expansion also comes at a time when global trade flows are undergoing rapid changes, with new markets emerging in Asia, Africa, and Latin America. Dubai’s strategic location on the Arabian Peninsula offers a unique advantage, acting as a natural conduit for goods moving between these markets. DP World’s investment in Jebel Ali Port ensures that the UAE remains at the forefront of global trade, particularly in sectors like automotive logistics, where speed and efficiency are paramount.

As Dubai continues to enhance its infrastructure and trade capacity, it attracts increasing attention from international car manufacturers, logistics companies, and global shipping lines. The city’s status as a central automotive hub within the region is further cemented with such projects that not only increase capacity but also enhance the overall operational flow, making it a prime location for companies seeking to expand their footprint in the Middle East and beyond.

President Donald Trump is poised to sign an executive order on Thursday that will significantly reshape the landscape of retirement savings in the United States. The new directive will allow a broader range of alternative assets, such as private equity, real estate, and cryptocurrencies, to be included in 401 retirement accounts. This move marks the most substantial attempt by the administration to open up defined-contribution plans to non-traditional investment options, reflecting a growing desire to diversify retirement portfolios and enhance returns for savers.

The executive order is expected to provide American workers with the opportunity to invest in assets that have been historically out of reach for retirement accounts, which traditionally have focused on stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The inclusion of private equity, real estate, and digital currencies aims to offer investors access to higher-yielding opportunities that could potentially outperform traditional investments, especially in times of economic uncertainty. By broadening the range of eligible assets, the administration hopes to increase the financial security of millions of retirees.

One of the key motivations behind this move is the desire to address the gap in retirement savings, particularly for individuals who do not have access to pension plans or other employer-sponsored retirement options. With many workers relying heavily on their 401 accounts for their financial future, this expansion could play a pivotal role in enhancing wealth accumulation over time. By enabling exposure to assets with historically higher returns, the plan aims to encourage long-term investing that may outperform the more conservative strategies currently available in these accounts.

The shift comes amid ongoing debates about the future of retirement savings in the United States. While many financial experts have lauded the potential of these alternative assets to boost returns, others have expressed concerns about the risks associated with their inclusion in retirement accounts. Private equity, real estate, and cryptocurrencies are known for their volatility, which could expose 401 investors to greater risk, particularly those with a lower tolerance for market fluctuations. These asset classes are often less liquid than traditional stocks and bonds, which could complicate the ability of retirees to access funds when needed.

Despite these concerns, proponents argue that expanding access to alternative investments could be a game-changer for retirement savers, especially as traditional investment options provide lower returns in the current low-interest-rate environment. Real estate, for instance, can serve as a hedge against inflation, while private equity has the potential to offer higher returns through early-stage investments in high-growth companies. Cryptocurrencies, on the other hand, have gained popularity as an asset class due to their potential for rapid price appreciation, although their volatility remains a significant factor for consideration.

The administration’s decision to open the door to these alternative assets also aligns with broader trends in the financial services industry, which has seen an increasing number of investment firms offering exposure to private equity, real estate, and cryptocurrencies through exchange-traded funds and other vehicles. These developments reflect the growing recognition that investors want more diverse options for retirement planning, particularly as they seek to maximize their returns and ensure they are prepared for the future.

However, the move is not without its challenges. For one, the Department of Labor and the Securities and Exchange Commission will need to ensure that the inclusion of these alternative assets in 401 accounts is properly regulated to protect investors from fraud and market manipulation. There are also concerns about the administrative complexities involved in allowing retirement plans to invest in assets that may require more sophisticated management and oversight. The broader regulatory framework will likely need to evolve to accommodate the new rules, ensuring that both investors and financial institutions are equipped to handle the unique aspects of these asset classes.

The timing of this executive order also comes at a critical moment, as the U. S. government grapples with broader economic challenges, including rising inflation and concerns about the stability of financial markets. By expanding 401 options to include more alternative investments, the Trump administration hopes to provide American workers with the tools to better weather economic fluctuations and build more robust retirement portfolios.

Dubai’s tourism sector is rapidly diversifying, offering much more than the traditional image of luxury shopping and towering skyscrapers. The city is emerging as a unique blend of culture, history, and sustainability, catering to a growing number of travellers seeking immersive experiences alongside high-end offerings. This transformation is shaping the city’s identity as a global tourism destination and redefining what it means to travel to Dubai.

In 2024, the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism reported that the emirate hosted 18.72 million international overnight visitors from January to December, marking a 9% year-over-year increase from 2023’s record of 17.15 million. This growth is indicative of a broader shift in the city’s appeal, with visitors increasingly drawn to its rich cultural and historical offerings. While Dubai’s luxury shopping malls and ultramodern skyscrapers remain major attractions, the city has made significant strides in integrating cultural heritage, sustainability, and immersive experiences into its tourism strategy.

The rise in visitor numbers aligns with Dubai’s efforts to diversify its tourism portfolio. Beyond its well-established reputation for opulence, the city is now fostering an environment that invites exploration of its heritage sites, art galleries, and cultural festivals. Dubai’s museums, like the Dubai Museum in Al Fahidi Fort, the Louvre Abu Dhabi, and the Museum of the Future, are attracting global attention for their architectural innovation and comprehensive exploration of humanity’s past and future.

The surge in visitors is also a reflection of the city’s continued commitment to sustainable tourism practices. Dubai is investing in eco-friendly infrastructure, including green buildings, public transport, and energy-efficient hotels, all of which align with the city’s long-term vision of becoming a global leader in sustainability. Initiatives such as the Dubai Clean Energy Strategy 2050 aim to reduce the city’s carbon footprint and promote the use of renewable energy sources in tourism-related activities.

Luxury, however, remains at the heart of Dubai’s tourism offering. High-end hotels, resorts, and fine dining experiences continue to draw affluent visitors. Iconic destinations such as the Burj Khalifa, Palm Jumeirah, and the Dubai Marina remain central to the city’s tourism model, offering unparalleled luxury experiences. However, Dubai’s tourism landscape is diversifying further, providing options for a broader range of travellers, from budget-friendly accommodations to more cultural and eco-conscious experiences.

Cultural tourism has emerged as a focal point for growth, with Dubai positioning itself as a crossroads between the East and West. The Dubai Opera, a state-of-the-art venue in Downtown Dubai, regularly hosts international performances, from opera and ballet to contemporary music. The Dubai Arts and Culture Authority’s efforts to promote local art and host international exhibitions have enhanced the city’s cultural offering. Moreover, the Dubai International Film Festival and the Dubai Design Week further solidify the emirate’s role as a key player in the global cultural scene.

Dubai’s transformation into a more multifaceted destination is attracting a growing number of visitors from both established and emerging markets. Tourists from Europe, Asia, and Africa are increasingly seeking a deeper connection to the city’s heritage and culture, beyond its well-known luxury offerings. With a diversified tourism strategy, Dubai is well-positioned to attract these travellers, offering a range of activities that appeal to a variety of interests.

Dubai’s appeal also extends to families, with the city offering family-friendly attractions such as Dubai Parks and Resorts, which includes theme parks like Motiongate Dubai and Legoland Dubai. The emirate’s focus on family-oriented experiences is strengthening its position as a year-round destination, attracting tourists from across the globe who seek a blend of entertainment, culture, and relaxation.

The Dubai Expo 2020, although postponed to 2021 due to the pandemic, played a significant role in the city’s tourism resurgence. The event highlighted Dubai’s potential to host large-scale international events, showcasing the city’s modern infrastructure and its ability to welcome diverse cultures. It also set the stage for long-term growth in cultural and eco-tourism by bringing together innovators, thinkers, and influencers from around the world.

The city’s ongoing expansion of public and private sector collaborations is bolstering Dubai’s appeal as a hub for business tourism. International conferences, expos, and corporate events have become a significant part of the city’s tourism strategy. Dubai’s state-of-the-art conference venues, such as the Dubai World Trade Centre, offer cutting-edge facilities that make the city a prime destination for business travellers.

The tragic death of a Dubai-based businessman aboard the Titan submersible could have been prevented, according to a detailed report. The incident, which occurred during a voyage to the wreck of the Titanic, saw all five passengers on board perish when the submersible suffered a catastrophic implosion in the North Atlantic. Among the victims was Shahzada Dawood, a well-known Pakistani-British businessman with deep ties to the Middle East. The new findings from investigations suggest critical lapses in the safety measures that led to the fateful disaster.

The Titan submersible, operated by the OceanGate company, was designed for deep-sea exploration and had made several successful expeditions before its ill-fated journey. On June 18, 2023, the vessel, with five people onboard, embarked on a mission to survey the wreck of the Titanic, located approximately 3,800 metres beneath the surface. However, less than two hours into the descent, the submersible lost communication, prompting immediate search and rescue operations. Tragically, the submersible was confirmed to have imploded, likely due to the immense pressure at that depth. No survivors were found.

In the aftermath of the incident, a comprehensive investigation was launched by the US Coast Guard, with the support of OceanGate and other stakeholders. The report issued highlights several disturbing safety concerns that may have contributed to the loss of life. One of the key findings revealed that the design of the submersible was flawed, especially in terms of its pressure resistance. Titan’s hull, made of carbon fibre and titanium, was found to be particularly vulnerable to the crushing pressures encountered at the extreme depths of the ocean.

The report also raises alarms over the lack of sufficient safety protocols. Despite previous warnings from experts and engineers about the potential risks of operating the submersible at such depths, OceanGate proceeded without addressing these concerns adequately. Furthermore, it was discovered that the company had a limited track record of using its submersible for commercial passenger voyages to the Titanic wreck, with only a few successful trips before the disaster. This limited experience, paired with a lack of comprehensive safety testing, created a dangerous combination.

Family members of those who perished in the incident have demanded accountability from OceanGate. Dawood’s family, in particular, expressed deep anguish, questioning whether the submersible was subjected to the rigorous safety checks expected of high-risk deep-sea vehicles. They have since called for more stringent regulations surrounding private submersible expeditions, pointing to the inadequacies in the oversight of such ventures.

OceanGate, in its defence, has acknowledged the tragic outcome of the mission, yet maintained that its technology was sound. However, the company’s CEO, Stockton Rush, who also perished in the implosion, had been previously warned about the unorthodox approach to safety that the firm followed. Rush reportedly ignored concerns from industry professionals and regulators, focusing instead on meeting the growing demand for expeditions to the Titanic wreck. This pursuit of speed and innovation, while admirable, ultimately cost lives.

The findings have sparked wider conversations about the regulation of private deep-sea expeditions. While the ocean exploration industry continues to grow, the Titan tragedy has underscored the need for a more robust framework to ensure the safety of passengers and crew alike. Calls for stricter regulatory oversight, including the requirement of more frequent and detailed safety checks, have gained momentum. There is growing consensus among marine engineers and experts that submersibles should undergo rigorous independent inspections before embarking on any mission.

The Indian real estate market is under increasing pressure, with housing sales plummeting by 20% in major metropolitan areas. Data from ANAROCK reveals that only 96,285 homes were sold in Q2 2025, a sharp decline from 120,335 sales recorded in the same period the previous year. The downturn highlights a growing sense of buyer hesitancy, fuelled by external factors like tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which have disrupted market stability.

A significant driver of the decline is the mounting uncertainty surrounding global trade dynamics, particularly the new 25% tariffs on key imports. These tariffs are expected to have a ripple effect on several sectors, including real estate, with the affordable housing market feeling the brunt. The tariffs impact micro, small, and medium enterprises —a key demographic for the affordable housing segment—further limiting purchasing power in this sector.

The sharp drop in home sales comes amid skyrocketing property prices. According to ANAROCK, the average price of residential properties in the seven largest Indian cities has increased by 39% over the past two years. Prices jumped from INR 6,470 per square foot in Q2 2023 to INR 8,990 per square foot in Q2 2025. The rapid price surge is another contributing factor to the decline in transactions, as many potential homebuyers are now priced out of the market, especially in the affordable housing sector.

Amid this turbulence, the Reserve Bank of India has opted to maintain its current repo rate at 5.5%, a move that has been closely scrutinised by both the real estate and finance sectors. Analysts had speculated that a rate cut could help rejuvenate the housing market by lowering mortgage rates, especially for those looking to buy within the affordable segment. However, the RBI has opted for caution, mindful of the ongoing global trade tensions and the potential ripple effects on the Indian economy.

Despite the market challenges, there is still hope that long-term confidence in the Indian real estate sector may prevent further deterioration. While short-term factors like interest rates and tariffs play a critical role, a segment of buyers continues to prioritise long-term investment in property. Experts suggest that the market may see a resurgence, particularly if developers introduce more flexible payment schemes and attractive offers during the upcoming festive season. These strategies could help ease affordability concerns and stimulate demand, especially in an environment where many buyers are seeking stability rather than short-term savings.

For developers, the key to weathering the current storm lies in balancing price sensitivity with buyer confidence. Offering more affordable housing options, particularly in emerging suburbs and tier-2 cities, may provide a strategic path forward. As large-scale developers attempt to retain buyer interest, creative financing options, including extended payment plans and discounts, could be key in sustaining sales. However, the central government and the RBI’s policy decisions in the coming months will remain critical to shaping the trajectory of the sector.

Geopolitical uncertainties and escalating regional tensions have continued to dampen growth in the UAE’s non-oil sector, with July’s Purchasing Managers’ Index marking its lowest point in four years. The S&P Global UAE PMI dropped to 52.9 from 53.5 in June, highlighting a slower pace of expansion in the country’s non-oil business activity. The decline indicates that the rate of growth has weakened, falling below the long-term trend observed in past months.

The report, based on a survey of businesses across the UAE, signalled the weakest growth in the non-oil sector since June 2021. It outlined several key factors contributing to the slowdown, most notably the lingering geopolitical uncertainties affecting both domestic and regional market conditions. Sales, in particular, have been impacted, with companies facing challenges in securing new business. The survey revealed that a cautious approach was being adopted by clients, with many hesitant to commit to new expenditures due to the prevailing uncertain environment.

The survey found that new business growth had slowed further, with firms reporting reduced client demand across various sectors. This has led to a decline in both hiring and purchasing activity, further underscoring the strained business conditions. Companies appear more reluctant to invest in workforce expansion or in the procurement of goods and services.

Despite these setbacks, there was a notable increase in output levels, as firms worked to manage their backlogs of work. To ensure that delivery times were met and customer satisfaction remained high, businesses opted to accelerate their production. This uptick in output was a response to the mounting pressures caused by increased demand from existing orders, with firms aiming to prevent a further buildup of work left unfinished.

According to the PMI report, the services sector, a key pillar of the non-oil economy, showed signs of stagnation in growth. This is in contrast to other periods of relative expansion, where the sector had experienced more robust gains. The impact of external factors, such as regional tensions and fluctuating demand, has been particularly noticeable in the services sub-sector, which includes industries like hospitality, tourism, and business services.

Notably, the survey’s findings also revealed that UAE businesses were still grappling with a cautious economic outlook. Many are navigating the ongoing challenges posed by global economic conditions, including inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions. While some sectors have managed to adapt, the overall sentiment among businesses remains one of caution.

Another contributing factor to the sector’s struggle has been the steady rise in costs. With inflationary pressures mounting, firms have faced higher input costs, which they have had to balance against the slower growth in demand. Despite these challenges, many companies are opting to absorb the additional costs to maintain competitive pricing in the marketplace, though the sustainability of this approach is under scrutiny as conditions persist.

While the non-oil sector’s growth has been muted, there have been some positive indicators in the form of continued investment in infrastructure projects and the government’s commitment to diversifying the economy. The UAE’s Vision 2030, which focuses on reducing dependence on oil revenues, remains a long-term blueprint for economic transformation. However, the road ahead appears uncertain, with regional tensions and external pressures acting as major headwinds to the UAE’s ambitious goals.

In terms of employment, the outlook is mixed. While there has been a decline in hiring across some sectors, others continue to experience demand for skilled workers, particularly in industries aligned with the country’s long-term economic diversification plans. However, businesses have also been cautious in their hiring practices, mindful of the fluctuating economic environment and the potential for further uncertainties in the coming months.

India’s efforts to strengthen ties with the United States are facing significant hurdles due to key staffing gaps within President Donald Trump’s administration. Diplomatic engagement between the two countries has been hindered as vital foreign policy roles in Washington remain vacant, impacting India’s ability to effectively navigate the US political landscape.

Over the past few months, Indian officials have expressed concerns regarding the lack of permanent appointments in crucial diplomatic positions, including roles at the Department of State and the National Security Council. The vacancies have caused delays in ongoing discussions on key issues such as trade, defence cooperation, and counterterrorism. Despite a shared interest in expanding bilateral relations, the absence of key decision-makers has created a diplomatic impasse, making it increasingly difficult for Indian diplomats to secure face-to-face meetings with senior US officials.

The US has traditionally relied on a network of ambassadors and senior officials to manage foreign policy and maintain smooth relations with global partners. However, under the Trump administration, numerous diplomatic posts remain unfilled, including positions critical to managing India-US relations. These gaps have left many key policy decisions in limbo, complicating efforts to address pressing global challenges, including the Indo-Pacific security framework and trade negotiations.

India, in particular, has been affected by this lack of political continuity. For instance, while the US has reaffirmed its commitment to strengthening defence and economic ties with India, the absence of a US ambassador to India and a permanent Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central Asia has made it difficult to reach concrete agreements. Without these senior officials in place, policy coordination becomes more fragmented, forcing Indian officials to engage with temporary appointees who lack the authority to make significant policy changes.

Indian diplomats have found it especially challenging to build rapport with the Trump administration, which has demonstrated a preference for unconventional approaches to diplomacy. The absence of a steady stream of high-level communication has left gaps in the continuity of US policy towards India, further complicating efforts to resolve existing tensions, such as trade disputes and visa restrictions.

While India has attempted to address these challenges through alternative channels, such as the strategic dialogue and consultations with lower-ranking officials, these engagements have failed to produce the desired outcomes. For example, discussions aimed at resolving trade imbalances and the reduction of tariffs have stalled, with both sides unable to reach an agreement due to a lack of dedicated leadership on either side.

The Indian government, under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has worked to bolster its position in the global order by forging closer ties with the US. However, without the necessary diplomatic infrastructure in place, India has been forced to wait for the completion of staffing appointments in the Trump administration before advancing critical bilateral agendas. While there has been progress in areas such as defence cooperation, the lack of substantive discussions on trade and technology has caused frustration in New Delhi.

At the heart of this diplomatic challenge is the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the US administration’s foreign policy direction. As key positions remain vacant, the White House’s ability to provide a cohesive strategy on international affairs has been compromised, particularly in its dealings with major global powers like India. This vacuum has also complicated the Trump administration’s broader efforts to pivot its foreign policy towards the Indo-Pacific region, an area of strategic interest to both the US and India.

India’s strategic priorities have been clear: maintaining a robust relationship with the US while balancing its growing ties with China and Russia. As India seeks to navigate these complex geopolitical waters, the Trump administration’s staffing issues continue to be a major stumbling block. The lack of clear leadership in critical areas of US foreign policy has left many in India questioning the future trajectory of their relationship with Washington.

The growing importance of economic and technological collaboration between the two countries has intensified the urgency for resolution. As the US and India aim to establish a more comprehensive partnership, delays in staffing appointments are causing significant setbacks in addressing mutual concerns in areas such as cybersecurity, trade, and investment.

Hong Kong has escalated its pressure on pro-democracy activists based abroad by cancelling the passports of most of the 16 individuals it has accused of endangering national security. Alongside this, authorities have imposed a ban on any financial assistance reaching these individuals. This is the latest move in a series of stringent measures that aim to clamp down on critics of the Chinese government’s policies and protect what it considers its national security interests.

The activists, many of whom played significant roles in the 2019 protests against the Hong Kong government, have faced increasing challenges since Beijing’s imposition of a sweeping national security law in 2020. The law has been used to target opposition figures both inside Hong Kong and abroad, limiting free speech and expanding the scope of punishable acts under the law. These individuals have been accused of orchestrating protests, inciting unrest, and advocating for foreign intervention, charges which they and international human rights organisations have widely condemned as politically motivated.

Hong Kong’s decision to cancel passports and freeze financial channels for these exiled activists is being seen as a further attempt to suppress dissent outside its borders. The move targets individuals who had been offered bounties by the government for their arrest, as part of an ongoing effort to neutralise what it describes as threats to its sovereignty. As a result, the activists are now unable to return to Hong Kong or engage in overseas political activities openly, as their passports are deemed invalid under Hong Kong’s new restrictions.

The action is part of a broader strategy by Hong Kong authorities to deter any foreign support for their critics, both financial and moral. The decision to restrict access to funds is particularly notable, as it not only affects activists’ ability to mobilise resources for their causes but also impacts groups and individuals abroad who have supported the activists in the past. For many of the exiled activists, this move underscores the ongoing pressure they face, even when far from Hong Kong’s jurisdiction.

These measures have sparked concerns over the increasing reach of China’s policies, with many viewing the actions as an infringement on freedoms globally. Human rights groups and foreign governments have condemned Hong Kong’s national security law, arguing that it violates fundamental freedoms guaranteed under international law and erodes the autonomy promised to Hong Kong under the “one country, two systems” framework.

Hong Kong’s position is that these activists’ actions have undermined national stability and the rule of law, which the government claims it is constitutionally bound to protect. Authorities argue that those targeted have actively contributed to foreign interference in Hong Kong’s internal affairs, which they view as a direct challenge to their sovereignty.

The authorities have previously taken steps to limit the activities of exiled dissidents by pressuring foreign governments to either deport activists or bar them from entering their countries. With the new sanctions, including passport cancellations and the disruption of financial support, Hong Kong is signalling that it is willing to extend its crackdown beyond its borders, reinforcing its control over dissidents wherever they are located.

The move has raised alarm within the international community. Several countries, particularly those with a history of supporting Hong Kong’s pro-democracy movements, have voiced concerns about the long-term implications of such actions. These measures could further strain relations between Hong Kong, its international partners, and human rights organisations, which already condemn the erosion of democratic freedoms in the region.