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By K Raveendran It was a week of contradictions for India’s image on the world stage, marked by a curious interplay of critique, affirmation, and manoeuvring. Rahul Gandhi, in his address at Columbia University, painted a picture of India that was dark and distressing, describing the country’s democratic decline in sweeping terms. At the same […]

The article A Week Marking The Worst And Best For India On Global Stage appeared first on Latest India news, analysis and reports on Newspack by India Press Agency).

Saudi Arabia confronts mounting fiscal headwinds as oil revenues falter and large-scale investments under its Vision 2030 agenda intensify strain on the state’s budget, a fresh analysis by Fitch Ratings warns. Fiscal consolidation efforts are threatened by rising expenditures, volatile energy markets and valuation setbacks to flagship development projects.

Fitch anticipates the kingdom will record a fiscal deficit equivalent to 5.3 percent of GDP in 2025—more than double earlier forecasts of 2.3 percent—and projects a narrowing to 3.3 percent in 2026. That trajectory, the ratings agency argues, rests on fragile assumptions about revenue rebound and disciplined spending cuts. The downgrade in oil income, combined with persistent capital outlays, introduces high risk to Saudi’s consolidation plans.

The Public Investment Fund, corner-stone of Vision 2030, channels vast investment into infrastructure, technology, tourism and real estate. But it has also borne losses: in 2024, the PIF recognised an $8 billion writedown of its “gigaprojects,” including NEOM, reflecting cost overruns and market volatility. That impairment eroded some of the cushion these high-profile ventures were meant to provide.

Fitch treats PIF as a government-related entity, equating its credit profile with that of the sovereign given its central role in state economic strategy and the expectation of ongoing state support. However, Fitch cautions that heavy spending commitments in the pre-budget statement expose weaknesses in the consolidation path. The agency notes that worsening oil market dynamics and delays in translating megaprojects into stable returns heighten exposure.

Saudi Arabia’s finance ministry projects 2026 revenues of 1.14 trillion riyals against expenditures of 1.31 trillion, signalling an ambition to shrink deficit to 3.3 percent. The government anticipates revenue growth of 5.1 percent and spending reductions of 1.7 percent relative to 2025 projections. But achieving that will depend heavily on improved non-oil income and restrained capital outlays.

Crude price downturns have compounded pressure. With oil income constituting roughly 60 percent of Saudi’s state revenue, any softness in the energy market imposes acute stress. Analysts say the kingdom is caught in a bind: it must maintain investment momentum to stay on track with Vision 2030, yet it must also restrain spending lest debt and deficits spiral.

Investors and economists point to NEOM as a test case. Massive in scale and ambition, NEOM has come under scrutiny following the substantial writedown. Critics suggest that the project’s capacity to generate returns fast enough to justify its cost is increasingly in question. That, in turn, weakens one of the main pillars of the kingdom’s diversification rationale.

To mitigate risks, Saudi authorities are leaning on non-oil revenue sources, including taxes, fees and state levies, which remain robust. Public consumption and private sector growth also play supportive roles. But these revenue streams may not suffice to offset deep slippage in oil proceeds.

Bitwise has launched a new exchange-traded product on Deutsche Börse Xetra under the ticker AVNB, offering regulated exposure to Avalanche’s native token AVAX along with integrated staking rewards.

The ETP is physically backed and domiciled in Germany, aiming to deliver price-tracking performance plus yield, while eliminating the need for investors to manage staking infrastructure or custody themselves. Staking rewards are credited daily and automatically reinvested. The product references the “CF AVAX Staked Return Index” as its benchmark.

Bitwise positions the AVAX staking ETP as part of its growing European suite of institutional crypto products. Earlier offerings in its staking line-up include Ethereum and other digital assets. The firm emphasizes that this launch addresses demand from institutional and professional investors seeking yield-bearing digital asset exposure within regulated frameworks.

Under the terms, the ETP carries a total expense ratio of 0.85 per cent annually. Bitwise retains roughly one-third of the staking rewards generated, as a staking service fee to cover operational costs including validator services and infrastructure. The remainder is passed to investors, net of protocol fees and slashing risk.

Bradley Duke, Head of Europe at Bitwise, stated that AVNB “opens the door for investors to access price movements in AVAX coupled with staking rewards through an exchange-traded total return product.” He noted that its regulated structure and transparency aim to bridge the traditional capital markets with crypto infrastructure. John Wu, President of Ava Labs, welcomed the development, saying that offering access through established market systems expands participation in Avalanche’s ecosystem.

Avalanche has gained traction as a scalable, energy-efficient layer-1 blockchain capable of supporting subnetworks tailored for compliance, governance and performance. Its adoption extends across tokenisation, decentralised finance, gaming and payment systems. The ability to stake AVAX is an integral feature of the network’s consensus, making yield products a natural extension for investors.

Oil prices are sliding as traders cite mounting unsold Middle Eastern crude and weakening demand from key importers. This shift raises prospects of a global oversupply even as OPEC+ debates its next policy move.

Estimates from trading houses place unsold crude cargoes for November loading in the Middle East between 6 million and 12 million barrels. These volumes represent a departure from usual patterns where discount-seeking buyers quickly absorb surplus cargoes. Market participants point to a combination of subdued Chinese demand and logistical bottlenecks as contributing factors.

Spot premiums on benchmark grades such as Oman, Dubai and Murban have plunged below $2 per barrel, reflecting the discounts sellers are forced to offer to entice buyers. One trading analyst noted that the drop in premiums signals heightened desperation amid a buyer’s market for Middle Eastern crude.

China, a traditional backstop for surplus exports, is showing signs of pulling back. In May, China recorded a crude surplus of 1.4 million barrels per day—indicating that imports significantly outpaced refinery throughput. That accumulated surplus suggests refiners are prioritising inventory building over active processing, perhaps in anticipation of future market volatility.

Iran adds another layer of complexity. Tanker-tracking firms estimate that between 23 million and 33 million barrels of Iranian crude are currently held in floating storage. While Iran’s oil minister has denied any unsold inventory, satellite and maritime data paint a different picture. Analysts say the discrepancy reflects the country’s use of ship-to-ship transfers and “ghost fleet” operations to obscure the origin and movement of crude, especially in shipments headed for China.

These movements coincide with a broader recalibration in OPEC+ strategy. Some member states, notably Iraq, have increased destination-free exports, signalling an intent to saturate markets and regain influence with trading partners. Iraq’s shipment of Basrah Medium crude is projected to rise significantly in the coming month, following a period in which pledged output increases by coalition members have lagged deliveries.

Many analysts believe that OPEC+ will proceed cautiously in its production decisions. A sudden output cut might stoke accusations of market manipulation, while continued supply expansion could exacerbate falling price trends. Ahead of its upcoming meeting, the group faces the dilemma of balancing the need to safeguard revenue against the risk of triggering a price collapse.

Meanwhile, U. S. domestic supply is contributing to uncertainty. The Energy Information Administration reports that U. S. output has strengthened marginally, offset by curtailed imports of Russian crude under tightened sanctions. But some industry observers warn that U. S. production may have peaked. One petroleum engineer pointed to a 12 percent decline in output from October 2024 to June 2025, citing state-level data that may undercut EIA projections.

Oil futures reflect growing anxiety. Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate have posted their steepest weekly drops since June, falling over 8 percent in some benchmarks amid concerns that global inventories will build significantly. Traders increasingly view OPEC’s next move as critical in determining whether markets stabilise or cede ground to excess supply.

In this environment, floating storage becomes a more active tool. The accumulation of oil held offshore is not just a symptom of imbalance but a way to temporally manage supply pressure. Floating oil reserves enable sellers to delay deliveries until market conditions improve—or until buyers return.

Refiners in Asia and Europe are approaching capacity constraints. Some are cutting processing rates or entering maintenance periods, reducing appetite for new crude. Because many surplus cargoes are being offered on destination-free terms, they face competition across regions—and the lack of clear demand is forcing suppliers to lengthen delivery offers or scale back premiums.

If the pricing squeeze deepens, some producers may respond by cutting output unilaterally. Others might seek to promote further cooperation on coordinated supply restraint, though such moves carry reputational risk if markets judge them as manipulative. Meanwhile, importers in developing markets—particularly in Africa and Southeast Asia—could benefit from cheaper crude. But those gains may not offset pressure on oil-producing economies that rely heavily on export revenue to fund budgets and social programmes.

China’s largest state banks have committed over $3.75 billion in debt financing to Saudi Aramco’s Jafurah gas project, while Chinese investment funds have declined to take equity stakes in the venture, sources told Reuters.

The bulk of this funding comes from Bank of China, ICBC and China Construction Bank, each contributing around $1 billion, and Agricultural Bank of China adding roughly $750 million. This debt financing accounts for more than one-third of the total capital sought for what is expected to be the largest shale gas development outside the United States.

Aramco’s deal involves an $11 billion lease-and-leaseback agreement signed in August with a consortium led by Global Infrastructure Partners, an arm of BlackRock. Under the arrangement, a new entity called Jafurah Midstream Gas Company will lease processing assets to Aramco for 20 years. Aramco retains a 51 per cent stake, while the consortium holds the remaining 49 per cent.

Despite the opportunity to join the equity syndicate, several Chinese state-linked funds declined to participate, a move that sources attribute to heightened U. S.–China tensions. Beijing is said to have discouraged fund-level engagement with U. S.-affiliated private capital firms, even when such firms do not have overt U. S. exposure.

The Chinese banks’ decision to provide senior debt but avoid equity signals a calibrated strategic posture: backing the project financially without direct governance alignment with U. S.-linked investors.

Aramco’s broader ambition is to expand its gas production capacity by 60 per cent over 2021 levels by 2030. The Jafurah basin is estimated to contain 229 trillion standard cubic feet of raw gas and 75 billion stock tank barrels of condensate.

The BlackRock-led consortium is also negotiating additional capital of around $10.3 billion with a mix of debt instruments; participants in those talks include JPMorgan and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation. Those financial structures are intended to support the lease-and-leaseback model without ceding control of core infrastructure assets to external parties.

Within the Gulf, Chinese lenders’ prominent involvement in Jafurah’s financing echoes a broader trend. Analysts note that China is repositioning its role in Gulf energy infrastructure by leveraging its strengths in project debt and export credit rather than co-investment in U. S.-sponsored equity schemes.

Saudi Arabia is concurrently expanding its gas network. It has signed over $25 billion in contracts for the second phase of Jafurah development and further gas-network enhancements, including pipeline extensions of 4,000 km to increase capacity by 3.2 billion standard cubic feet per day. Chinese firms, such as Sinopec, are among the contractors participating in these projects.

For Aramco, the dual approach of securing large-scale debt from Chinese banks while partnering with international investors via the leaseback model helps it mobilise capital without relinquishing decisive control. The arrangement offers investors predictable tariff-based returns.

Chinese banks’ exposure gives them influence over covenant terms, loan pricing and repayment schedules. That leverage, without the burdens or political friction associated with equity, aligns with Beijing’s financial diplomacy toward strategic energy corridors.

The full constellation of debt and equity deals around Jafurah—and the dynamics among Gulf producers, Chinese state capital, and U. S.-linked private investors—will be among the key nodes shaping the next wave of energy infrastructure financing.

Bitwise has rolled out the Bitwise Avalanche Staking ETP on Deutsche Börse Xetra, offering investors regulated access to AVAX price movements along with integrated staking income. The product is fully backed by physical AVAX, with staking rewards credited daily and reinvested.

The Avalanche staking ETP joins Bitwise’s suite of index-linked staking vehicles in Europe, designed to cater to institutional demand for yield-bearing crypto exposure through familiar capital markets structures. Listing documents show that the ETP carries an annual management fee of 0.85 per cent and that approximately a third of staking rewards will be retained as a service fee to cover operational costs.

Deutsche Börse’s listing announcement notes that AVNB is tradable in both euros and US dollars and that all staking income is automatically reinvested to boost underlying token holdings. The product is being presented as a way to participate in Avalanche’s ecosystem without having to manage technical staking infrastructure, custody, or validator responsibilities.

Bradley Duke, Head of Europe at Bitwise, said the launch “opens the door for investors to access exposure to price movements in AVAX coupled with staking rewards through an exchange-traded total return product.” He emphasised Bitwise’s mission to make digital assets accessible to institutional investors via regulated, transparent instruments. John Wu, President of Ava Labs, welcomed the development, saying that access through established market structures broadens participation in the Avalanche network.

Avalanche operates as a high-throughput, energy-efficient layer-1 blockchain that enables subnetworks tailored for compliance, governance, and performance use cases. Its growing adoption in tokenisation, decentralized finance, gaming, and payments has made it increasingly of interest to institutional players. The ETP references the “CF AVAX Staked Return Index” benchmark to track performance net of costs and staking fees.

Regulators and exchanges across Europe have gradually warmed to crypto staking products, particularly as demand rises for yield-oriented digital assets within regulated frameworks. Bitwise has already launched similar staking ETPs in the region, including for Ethereum, and says its European product line is domiciled in Germany under oversight by BaFin. Critics caution, however, that staking rewards are subject to network conditions, validator performance, slashing risk, volatility, and protocol governance changes, meaning returns are not guaranteed.

A wave of investor appetite lifted the combined market cap of the top 15 public bitcoin miners to $58.1 billion in September, up from $41.6 billion in August and nearly three times the March low of $19.9 billion. That gain vastly outpaced bitcoin’s six-month rise of 21 per cent.

Iris Energy delivered a standout return of +624 per cent, while Applied Digital jumped +345 per cent and Cipher Mining rallied +321 per cent. Other strong performers included TeraWulf, Hut 8 and Bitfarms, up between +179 and +280 per cent; Riot Platforms added +147 per cent, HIVE rose +133 per cent, and Core Scientific gained +105 per cent. Even industry heavyweights such as CleanSpark, Bitdeer and Mara Holdings posted returns well above bitcoin’s own gain.

The bullish momentum coincided with accelerating pivots by mining firms into high-performance computing and AI infrastructure. Cipher Mining secured a 10-year colocation deal with AI cloud provider Fluidstack worth $3 billion, supported by $1.4 billion in backing from Google for lease obligations in return for share warrants. This deal boosted investor confidence and underscored the strategic shift beyond raw bitcoin mining.

Analysts note that miners with credible AI/HPC pivots posted average gains of roughly 57 per cent over the past month, significantly beating more traditional or “pure-play” miners. Those gains also outstripped bitcoin’s roughly 9 per cent rise in the same period.

At the same time, the bitcoin network’s hash rate jumped 9 per cent month on month, reaching an average of about 1,031 exahashes per second. That increase intensified competition and compressed margins: daily block reward revenue fell 10 per cent, and gross profit dropped 17 per cent compared to August.

Although elevated valuations reflect renewed investor faith in the mining sector, concerns about sustainability persist. The widening gap between equity valuations and operating revenues prompts questions about whether mining operators can sustain growth amid rising electricity costs, regulatory risks and hardware supply constraints.

Several firms are doubling down on their diversification efforts. Iris Energy has expanded into cloud services, while Core Scientific is pushing deeper into enterprise AI hosting. TeraWulf recently announced multi-year AI hosting contracts backed by Google and leased deployment capacity across its sites.