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By Nantoo Banerjee Trade unionism seems to have lost focus in India. It has failed to reform itself to keep pace with economic reforms and globalisation, and changing job scenarios. It is also facing the biggest leadership crisis. The poor public and industry response to the nationwide strike call by 10 central trade unions on […]

Three of the largest integrated resort‑casino operators in the Philippines have reiterated their commitment to legal compliance and responsible gaming, asserting that their online offerings remain firmly regulated under national laws. Their statement arrives amid heightened scrutiny of online gambling platforms by the national government, underlining the intensifying policy debate over the sector’s societal impact. At the heart of the declaration are Solaire Resort, Newport World Resorts […]

High‑resolution images from orbiting spacecraft have revealed an extraordinary network of over 15,000 km of fluvial sinuous ridges—also known as inverted channels—spanning Noachis Terra in Mars’s southern highlands. This vast system, identified using data from Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter’s HiRISE, CTX and MOLA instruments, indicates long‑lasting surface water activity shaped by precipitation roughly 3.7 billion years ago, reshaping scientific views of Mars’s climate evolution. The ridges formed when river sediments […]

BANGKOK, THAILAND – Media OutReach Newswire – 14 July 2025 – Gother, a tourism service platform, operated by Search Engine Optimization, a joint venture between Beacon Venture Capital (venture arm of Kasikornbank) and Krungthai Ventures (venture arm of Krungthai Bank) is showing strong upward momentum following a 300% business growth in just seven months since launch in the past year. Aimed at upgrading its platform, Gother is […]

digiKam’s 8.7.0 update foregrounds artificial intelligence enhancements, integrating tools that tackle everyday pain points in photo management. Key features include bolstered facial recognition workflows, hardware‑accelerated processing, and a novel AI‑driven image auto‑rotation utility — moves that position digiKam as a free contender in the AI photo management space. Face recognition has undergone targeted refinement. The system now initiates automatic scans when a user confirms or tags a […]

Dubai authorities have issued a warning after a surge in phishing emails impersonating companies such as McAfee Security and PayPal. These messages falsely claim that debit transactions of around AED 1,400 or AED 2,200 have been processed, instructing recipients to cancel the payment within 24 hours. The ruse prompts panicked victims to call a provided number, where scammers gain remote access to their computers and harvest sensitive personal and financial data.

Law enforcement agencies in the emirates highlight this scam as a sophisticated iteration of classic technical support fraud. Dubai Police reported nearly 500 arrests related to phone-based fraud last year, while Sharjah Police uncovered another gang that misused remote-access prompts to defraud residents of AED 3 million via 173 bank accounts. Cybercrime units from across the UAE have reiterated that legitimate companies never solicit remote access, issue invoices from personal accounts, or demand immediate cancellation via unsolicited calls.

Cybersecurity experts confirm that such scams operate by embedding urgency and trusted branding within fraudulent invoices. In some cases, genuine McAfee or PayPal logos are used, with phishing emails exploiting official domains like “@paypal. com” to evade security filters. Most alarmingly, McAfee Labs noted that PayPal-related phishing attempts have spiked sevenfold compared to a month earlier, indicating that cybercriminals are increasingly refining their tactics.

These email scams typically follow a multi-stage process. Victims first receive a customised invoice claiming unauthorised charges. Alarmed by the sum, recipients are directed to call a phone number that leads to a scam call centre. Once connected, scammers initiate remote access software—such as AnyDesk—using the pretext of ‘fraud prevention’, and subsequently extract bank details, personal data and in some cases install malware.

Anecdotal evidence from victims underscores the psychological impact of the scam’s design. One government employee from Dubai reported receiving an email from someone named “Jarred” bearing a McAfee invoice. Convinced that she had skipped a subscription renewal, she reached out via the provided number to cancel. Similar stories have surfaced across the UAE, often involving the extraction of remote passwords and sensitive credentials.

Authorities emphasise vigilance. They advise members of the public to verify any invoice or billing-related email by visiting official websites or contacting customer support via verified communication channels. Users should never allow remote access in response to unsolicited calls.

Globally, this scam mirrors trends seen in the UK and North America. Consumer watchdog Which? identified parallel phishing campaigns wherein emails purporting to be from McAfee or AVG warned of antivirus renewals. These messages aimed to persuade users to scan QR codes or download malicious software to seize device control. York University’s Information Security team also identified fake McAfee renewal notices that claimed subscription charges had been processed, urging recipients to call to reverse the transaction, only to be prompted for remote access.

PayPal’s system has also been exploited via its official invoice and address‑confirmation tools. Scammers can trigger legitimate PayPal alerts by entering a user’s email, bypassing email filters and lending credibility to the scam. Subsequent messages urge recipients to call fake “support” phone numbers, leading to remote-control software installation under the guise of account verification.

Security specialists recommend the following countermeasures:
Always verify invoices by logging into the official company site or app rather than interacting with email links or phone numbers.
Inspect email senders carefully to ensure they match legitimate company domains.
Avoid granting remote access or installing software when prompted by unsolicited callers claiming to represent vendors.
Register suspicious emails with relevant authorities—PayPal’s phishing email forwarding service, and McAfee’s scam reporting email addresses are official avenues.

Email marketing firms and cybersecurity analysts also note that the sharp rise in such scams reflects a broader shift by criminals towards hybrid phishing campaigns that combine urgency, trusted branding and remote access elements. Authorities across the UAE continue to intensify public awareness efforts, urging residents to scrutinise any invoices involving unfamiliar charges above AED 1,000.

President Donald Trump has revealed plans to provide Ukraine with additional Patriot air-defense systems, a move aimed at bolstering Kyiv’s efforts to defend itself against Russian aerial assaults. The announcement, made during a public address, highlights the growing US commitment to supporting Ukraine’s military capabilities amidst ongoing tensions in the region. The decision to send more advanced missile defence systems comes at a critical juncture in the […]

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OpenAI is preparing to unveil a web browser embedded with its flagship ChatGPT interface and “Operator” AI agent, marking a strategic shift directly targeting Google’s Chrome dominance. The forthcoming browser, expected within weeks, promises to streamline browsing by enabling conversational queries, task automation and form-filling without navigating multiple sites, according to Reuters. The browser is built atop Chromium, the open-source foundation behind Chrome, Edge and Opera, ensuring […]

Rumble has unveiled its new “Rumble Wallet” in collaboration with crypto‑payments specialist MoonPay, designed to empower content creators by enabling them to monetise and manage earnings with Bitcoin and other digital assets directly on the platform. The wallet, slated for launch in the third quarter of 2025, will feature seamless on‑ and off‑ramps for buying, selling and swapping cryptocurrency—a move aimed at reducing dependence on traditional banking […]

Tokyo-listed Metaplanet has bolstered its treasury by buying 797 additional bitcoins, worth approximately $96 million, raising its total holdings to 16,352 BTC—valued near $2 billion—as Bitcoin surged past $120,000. The move mirrors the blueprint of US-based Strategy: leverage equity and debt issuance to accumulate crypto assets, which can then be used as collateral for broader expansion.

CEO Simon Gerovich reiterated that Metaplanet intends to use its growing Bitcoin reserves not for trading or liquidation, but to underpin financing for acquisitions in cash-generating sectors—particularly digital banking and financial services. The company plans to tap into traditional financing channels, including zero-interest bonds and preferred-share issuance, while steering clear of convertible debt. This purchase follows a series of substantial bond financings: earlier this month, Metaplanet issued 30 billion yen in zero‑coupon bonds to acquire an additional 1,005 BTC, bringing total holdings to around 13,350 BTC.

Industry analysts say Metaplanet now ranks as Asia’s largest and the world’s fifth-largest corporate Bitcoin holder, outranking companies such as Tesla, Coinbase, and Block Inc.. The firm has set ambitious targets: 100,000 BTC by end‑2026 and 210,000 BTC by end‑2027—accounting for nearly 1% of the global Bitcoin supply.

Boosted by these strategic shifts, the company’s market capitalisation surpassed ¥1 trillion, and its stock has climbed more than 345% this year. The pivot, originally a hotel chain, to a Bitcoin treasury vehicle began in 2024 and has drawn parallels to MicroStrategy’s transformation into a crypto-centric enterprise.

While bitcoin-backed financing is still in its infancy among mainstream banks, select institutions—such as Standard Chartered and OKX—have begun piloting crypto as collateral. Gerovich emphasised that once accumulation reaches “escape velocity,” Metaplanet’s holdings could be leveraged similarly to traditional assets to secure financing for acquisitions.

Sceptics voice concerns around volatility and the sustainability of the “bitcoin yield” model. Veteran short-seller Jim Chanos dismissed these valuations as “financial gibberish,” yet Gerovich welcomes critics, stating he invites them to short the stock if they are not convinced of the strategy.

Metaplanet is exploring acquisitions of digital banks and financial services companies that align with its strategy. The company is also aiming to strengthen its treasury infrastructure through asset-backed financing, including bond issuances, preferred equity deals and a planned $5 billion capital raise targeting expansion into its Florida subsidiary.

The Indian rupee weakened further against the UAE dirham, trading at approximately ₹23.36-23.40 per dirham amid a stronger US dollar and heightened global trade tensions. This decline continues the trend from earlier in the month, providing a beneficial window for expatriates in the Gulf remitting funds home.

Market pressures stemmed from fresh US tariff threats under President Trump, triggering broader dollar appreciation and weighing on emerging-market currencies. The dollar index hovered near 98, while US non-deliverable forwards priced in a rupee rate around ₹85.90-86 per dollar.

Currency exchange houses in Dubai report a steep drop in the rupee–dirham rate. It has fallen from around ₹23.29-23.30 recently to lows of ₹23.36-23.40. Analysts suggest the trend may extend to ₹23.50 or possibly ₹23.60, especially if additional US tariffs are imposed on broader trade partners without a trade deal with India.

Financial managers in Dubai believe that non‑resident Indian workers are taking advantage of these levels. One treasury manager anticipates further rupee weakness until India finalises any trade arrangements with the US. Exchange-house sources confirm a decline in remittances during July—attributed partly to summer holidays—but note an uptick in transfers as expatriates act on the current exchange rates.

The backdrop of US trade policy remains a significant influence. US announcements of 30% tariffs on EU and Mexico imports effective August 1, and potential large levies on BRICS nations, have contributed to dollar strength and weighing on Asian currencies including the rupee. Although India has not yet received formal tariff notices, market participants are interpreting ongoing trade rhetoric as negotiating tactics, cushioning immediate currency volatility.

A weakened rupee benefits remitters, who can convert savings at more favourable rates. Gulf-based exchange officials report NRIs are actively sending funds home wherever possible. One senior official described a notable spike in AED‑INR transactions when the rate hit ₹23.50, marking the lowest point since early April.

Typically, remittance volumes dip in summer due to travel and expenses, yet this year’s trend bucks the seasonal norm. An Economic Times analysis notes a sustained surge in fund transfers since mid‑June, with industry sources commenting: “Last Thursday was one of the best days in recent weeks for AED‑INR remittances”.

Analysts emphasize that the current remittance window aligns with forex volatility and the dollar’s rally—driven by global trade uncertainty and safe‑haven demand. Surprisingly, gold, not the dollar, has been the primary beneficiary of geopolitics in recent weeks, offering an unusual twist in safe‑asset flows.

Looking ahead, significant factors likely to influence the rupee–dirham rate include the trajectory of US-India trade talks, the rollout of any new American tariffs, and global investor risk appetite. Should a US‑India agreement emerge, the rupee could stabilise or recover; however, absent any deal, dollar strength may persist.

For expatriates in the Gulf, the current divergence between weaker rupee and firmer dollar represents a strategic opportunity. With the potential for rupee to decline further, remittances increase the value of transfers sent home in the near term.

Linux users can now install Mozilla VPN via Flatpak on Flathub, opening the way for seamless cross‑distribution deployment. The move elevates the privacy-centric VPN’s reach beyond Debian-based systems, where it was previously limited by Debian packages, addressing long-standing accessibility challenges. Bringing Mozilla VPN to Flatpak aligns with growing demand for universal packaging solutions across diverse desktop environments. Previously, users on distros like Fedora, Arch and openSUSE had […]

Emergency crews have paused operations in Kerr County today following a new surge of torrential rain across Central Texas that renewed flood risks and prompted evacuations. Authorities withdrew search teams from river corridors, citing a high likelihood of flash flooding. The decision came as weather alerts signalled up to two inches of rainfall per hour in parts of Kerrville and along the Guadalupe River, overwhelming swollen tributaries […]

DP World has finalised a 30‑year concession worth US $800 million to modernise and operate the port of Tartus on Syria’s Mediterranean coast, as per official statements issued on 13 July 2025. The agreement, inked in Damascus between DP World and Syria’s General Authority for Land and Sea Ports, was witnessed by Syrian President Ahmed al‑Sharaa, along with DP World’s Chairman and Group CEO Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem and Qutaiba Ahmed Badawi, […]

Cybersecurity firm Darktrace has revealed a sophisticated social engineering campaign targeting cryptocurrency users on Windows and macOS. The scheme employs fake start‑up companies themed around AI, gaming, Web3, video conferencing, and social media to trick individuals into downloading malware disguised as legitimate software. Darktrace’s analysis shows threat actors are establishing plausible digital identities using compromised or spoofed X accounts—sometimes verified—for both companies and employees, hosted on platforms […]

A growing number of market analysts predict Ruvi AI’s RUVI token will outperform speculative memecoins like Shiba Inu in the forthcoming crypto bull cycle. They highlight RUVI’s audited smart contracts, real-world AI and blockchain utility, robust presale metrics, and VIP incentives as evidence of its potential to deliver returns far beyond meme-driven tokens.

RUVI recently secured an independent audit from CyberScope, addressing smart-contract vulnerabilities and enhancing investor confidence. The project has also onboarded WEEX Exchange to ensure post-presale liquidity, further bolstering trust among institutional and retail backers. With $2.2–$2.3 million raised and approximately 180–185 million tokens sold to over 2,100 holders in Phase 2, analysts suggest the foundation has been laid for a significant market debut.

RUVI’s utility-first design distinguishes it from memecoins. Integrated AI tools aim to improve marketing campaign efficacy, while blockchain-secured payments support content creators. In finance, the token underpins fraud detection and cross-border payment services. This multifaceted approach suggests sustained demand beyond speculative interest.

Analysts anticipate an increase from the presale price of $0.015 to $0.07 upon listing, yielding an initial ~5× gain. Post-listing projections place RUVI at $1—implying a 66× return from current prices. Some estimate upside reaching 13,500–13,800% over a full bull cycle—figures drawn by comparing RUVI to early-stage tokens like Ripple’s XRP and Cardano’s ADA.

RUVI’s VIP tiers amplify these potential gains. A $750 investment yields 70,000 tokens; a $2,100 stake offers 224,000 tokens; and a $9,600 commitment doubles token allocation with a 100% bonus. At a $1 valuation, these tiers could translate into $70,000, $224,000, and $1.28 million respectively.

Critics caution against early-stage token exuberance. They note reliance on bull market conditions and warn that memecoin popularity can surge unpredictably. Shiba Inu, though lacking intrinsic utility, has navigated volatile market cycles before. Sustainable success for RUVI will depend on seamless platform deployment, AI adoption across industries, and execution of its roadmap.

That said, analysts emphasise RUVI’s structured growth path—completed audits, exchange partnerships, utility-based ecosystem—and contrast it with the hype-centric nature of memecoins. Drawing parallels with Ripple’s early journey, they see RUVI carving out a role among next-gen crypto major players.

As global attention shifts from memecoins to purpose-built crypto infrastructure, RUVI is gaining traction among sophisticated investors seeking risk-reward clarity. With its presale in full swing, the token’s performance will show whether the project can translate early promise into lasting market impact.

Oil traded in a narrow range as tariffs and sanctions threats unsettled global markets, weighing heavily on the outlook for energy demand. Brent hovered just above $70 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate stayed above $68. Futures markets weakened as U. S. equity-index futures dropped following fresh trade tensions between Washington and key global partners.

U. S. President Donald Trump escalated tariff threats, targeting both the European Union and Mexico with 30 per cent duties and flagging potential levies against Brazil, the Philippines, Japan, South Korea and others. Markets interpreted this as a risk to economic momentum, especially in energy‑sensitive regions of Asia, denting crude demand expectations. At the same time, Asian buyers adopted a cautious stance, amplifying downward pressure on oil.

Against this backdrop, investors are eyeing a scheduled “major statement” from President Trump concerning Russia. Anticipation of new sanctions against the country, a major oil producer, lent modest support to prices that might otherwise have fallen further. Still, this support was checked by rising output from OPEC+ and a pause in geopolitical flare-ups in the Middle East.

Data from the International Energy Agency signals that global oil markets remain relatively tight. Summer driving seasons and increased refinery activity have buoyed demand, although analysts note that elevated output from Saudi Arabia—above its OPEC+ quota—puts a dent in any sustained rally. The kingdom disputes claims of non‑compliance, stating marketed crude remains within agreed limits.

Market watchers also flag OPEC+ plans to hike production by approximately 548,000 barrels per day in August, potentially followed by another boost in September. ING warns these moves could put the market into surplus in the final quarter of 2025. Additionally, the group revised its global demand forecasts downward for 2026–29, citing weakening growth in China.

Further clouding the outlook, heightened tariff uncertainty is exerting macroeconomic drag. The IEA forecasts a meaningful drop in global oil consumption growth for 2025, down a third from earlier projections, due in part to Trump’s tariff measures. Analysts stress that inflationary pressures and slower global trade would dampen energy demand.

From a logistical standpoint, renewed Houthi tensions in the Red Sea have introduced another variable, interrupting shipping and supporting prices marginally. Still, Middle East volatility has largely receded compared with levels seen earlier this year.

Looking ahead, market players are set to digest a blend of geopolitical and macroeconomic signals. Key Chinese trade figures due soon may reveal shifts in demand. OPEC+ decisions on output will be scrutinised closely, as will the next moves in Washington’s trade and sanctions policy. Meanwhile, U. S. gasoline consumption remains robust, with the Energy Information Administration reporting a 6 per cent increase to 9.2 million barrels per day—signalling that underlying demand has not yet faltered.

Oil markets are caught between supportive fundamentals—such as strong summer demand, supply constraints from Russia and geopolitical flare‑ups—and sobering headwinds from proposed tariffs, elevated output and macroeconomic uncertainty. Traders remain cautious, awaiting concrete policy developments from Washington, data releases from China, and steps by OPEC+ to navigate a market landscape that is anything but stable.

UAE’s new Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement with Azerbaijan has catapulted bilateral non‑oil trade to unprecedented levels, now accounting for half of Azerbaijan’s commerce with Gulf Cooperation Council countries. This landmark pact promises to mould economic trajectories for both nations by 2031.

Dr Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi, UAE Minister of Foreign Trade, revealed that non‑oil trade surged by 36.2 percent in 2024, reaching US $2.24 billion—equivalent to 50 percent of Azerbaijan’s trade with the GCC. This accomplishment is underpinned by a robust 4.1 percent expansion in Azerbaijan’s overall GDP and a 6.3 percent rise in its non‑oil sector.

Signed in Abu Dhabi with the presence of UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, CEPA is expected to inject US $680 million into UAE GDP and US $300 million into Azerbaijan by 2031. It further cements the UAE’s status as Azerbaijan’s top Arab investor, with cumulative UAE investments now exceeding US $1 billion.

The CEPA supports strategic priorities in manufacturing, automotive, agriculture, logistics, and financial services, with planned expansion of UAE investments in energy and renewables via state-owned giants ADNOC and Masdar. Masdar’s portfolio in Azerbaijan is set to exceed 1.2 GW by 2027 following a 4 GW renewables agreement including solar and hydrogen projects.

This accord also aligns with broader UAE ambitions under its CEPA programme, aimed at achieving US $1.1 trillion in non‑oil trade by 2031. Already, the initiative delivered a record US $816 billion in 2024, marking a 14.6 percent year-on-year increase, and positions the UAE as having 27 CEPA agreements with markets comprising over one‑quarter of global population.

Beyond trade figures, CEPA signifies a strategic push to diversify UAE exports and deepen supply‑chain resilience. It enables Azerbaijani goods access to Gulf and global markets, while encouraging UAE capital deployment in Eastern Europe via Azerbaijan’s Gateway logistics advantage. Sectors like food security, real estate, and logistics are flagged for development across both economies.

Financial cooperation is gaining momentum too. Talks between Azerbaijan’s Central Bank and Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange may lay groundwork for capital-market linkages. Additionally, Azerbaijani remittances to UAE saw a 52.1 percent rise in Q1 2025, reaching US $18.8 million.

Humanitarian and environmental collaboration with CEPA includes UAE support for demining through Azerbaijan’s Mine Action Agency and joint efforts during COP summits.

CEPA is poised to enrich private‑sector ties, particularly for SMEs, while also strengthening tourism links—highlighted by over 185 monthly flights connecting the UAE and Azerbaijan. Earlier cooperation has boosted non‑oil trade 43 percent in 2024 to about US $2.4 billion.

In the energy domain, strategic joint ventures have been flourishing. ADNOC holds a 30 percent stake in Azerbaijan’s Absheron project, and SOCAR reciprocated with oil‑field stakes in UAE territory. Renewable efforts include a 445 MW solar plant in Bilasuvar and a 315 MW installation in Neftchala under Saudi-UAE investment.

Oman has become the first Gulf Cooperation Council nation to legislate a personal income tax, with a royal decree introducing a flat 5% levy on residents earning above OMR 42,000 per year. The law takes effect on 1 January 2028 and is expected to impact roughly the top 1% of earners. The decree, Royal Decree No. 56/2025 issued by His Majesty Sultan Haitham bin Tariq, forms part of Oman’s […]

Greenlogue/AP UAE health and finance leaders have been urged to expedite air quality improvements, with a new report estimating annual savings of $596 million if pollution levels align with World Health Organization guidelines. The projected gains stem from fewer hospital admissions, drops in respiratory illnesses such as asthma, and reduced premature mortality. The study, led by Economist Impact, highlighted over 94 per cent of the global population lives in areas […]

UAE’s Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure has restated its unwavering aim to lift crude oil production capacity to five million barrels per day by 2027 amid shifting global energy demand. The clarification from Abu Dhabi follows remarks from the Energy Minister indicating potential capacity growth beyond that goal.

Aligned with its declared strategy, the nation insists the 5 million bpd target remains intact. Energy Minister Suhail Mohamed al‑Mazrouei, speaking at the Opec International Summit in Vienna, emphasised the UAE could scale up to six million bpd if global markets required—while making clear this figure is not an official target.

Presently, UAE’s production capacity stands at around 4.85 million bpd. The ministry’s public affirmation underscores long‑established plans by Abu Dhabi National Oil Company to align with wider economic imperatives, including state‑led diversification and responsible growth.

On the sidelines in Vienna, Minister al‑Mazrouei pointed to oil inventories that have not surged, interpreting it as evidence of sustained market demand. He characterised the additional million barrels potential as a proactive choice, contingent on demand, rather than a binding pledge.

Opec+ has already increased the UAE’s production quota this year, acknowledging its heavy investment in expanding capacity from 3 million to 4.85 million bpd. That quota adjustment reflects a bid to balance output with capacity and avoids penalising investment-led increases.

Global energy forecasts cited at the summit envision oil demand climbing by nearly 19 percent to 123 million bpd by 2050, driven by economic growth, urbanisation, and energy‑intensive industries such as artificial intelligence. Despite this, Opec has revised its short‑term forecast downward amid signs of slowing demand in China. Long‑term growth, however, is expected from regions including Asia, the Middle East and Africa.

ADNOC’s accelerated expansion plan—bringing forward its 5 million bpd capacity objective from 2030 to 2027—was endorsed by the board under the leadership of His Highness Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, supported by CEO Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber. The strategy forms part of a broader state-led drive combining energy security with economic diversification and sustainability.

While bolstering its crude oil output, ADNOC is also investing heavily in low‑carbon solutions. It allocates about US $5 billion annually to clean energy and has set a net‑zero emissions ambition for 2045. The company is integrating solar and nuclear power into offshore fields and is implementing carbon‑capture technologies in major developments.

ADNOC’s low-carbon division recently acquired Germany’s Covestro for US $16 billion, signalling a move to diversify into value‑added petrochemicals such as plastics, foams and ammonia. Its strategy foregrounds gas, chemicals and downstream operations alongside oil capacity growth, in anticipation of structural shifts in global energy use.

The UAE is poised to become the world’s fourth-largest oil and liquids producer if the anticipated expansion is achieved, trailing only the United States, Saudi Arabia and Russia. At six million bpd capacity, it would surpass producers such as Canada, China, Iraq and Iran in scale.

However, uncertainties remain. The pace of global energy transition, the adoption of renewables, and potential peaking of oil demand—especially in China—pose risks to long-term strategy. But the UAE appears ready to hedge by maximizing flexibility: build for five million bpd, yet leave room to stretch if markets demand.

The public reaffirmation by the ministry serves both domestic and international audiences: showcasing earnest delivery of targets, reassuring investors on energy stability, and reinforcing the UAE’s position as a stabilising force within Opec+.

Oil prices have shifted sharply this week, with demand forecasts now under pressure from escalating trade tensions fuelled by fresh tariffs. Brent crude is trading in the high‑60s per barrel, while benchmark WTI hovers around mid‑60s, reflecting growing investor caution. Analysts point to revised supply and demand projections as indicators of a changing market landscape.

An International Energy Agency monthly report has cut its global oil‑demand growth forecast for 2025 to 700,000 bpd, the slowest pace since 2009 outside the pandemic, down from 720,000 bpd last month. The downgrade reflects weaker consumption in emerging markets and a cooling US‑China trade outlook. Supply continues to outpace demand as OPEC+ ramps up production; global output in June rose by about 950,000 bpd to reach 105.6 mbpd.

The IEA notes the oil market remains technically in surplus, with inventories building globally—even as regional stock draws persist. Oil runs at refineries have slowed, particularly in the US and China, enabling downward revisions in demand projections. Enverus Intelligence Research offers a counter‑view, pointing to balanced OECD inventories and sustained summer demand north of 1 mbpd, which may support higher prices.

The US Energy Information Administration expects US crude oil production to plateau at roughly 13.4 mbpd in 2025, dropping modestly later this year as lower prices curb drilling activity. Despite this, producers remain vulnerable to profit erosion unless prices stabilise in the $65–70 range.

President Trump’s trade moves have reignited fears of another global trade war, with new tariff letters dispatched to Brazil, South Korea, Japan, the Philippines and others this week. Threats of 50% duties on exports such as copper, semiconductor components and auto parts are weighing heavily on commodity‑linked equity markets and raising recession risk concerns. Oil prices dropped more than 2% on Thursday as benchmark futures responded to the potential hit to economic growth.

While some market participants remain in “wait‑and‑see” mode, given Trump’s unpredictability and history of policy reversals, the overarching effect is to dampen demand forecasts. Onyx Capital’s head of research, Harry Tchilinguirian, cautions against overreaction but acknowledges that tariffs are adding to inflationary pressures and may reinforce Federal Reserve caution.

Geopolitical flashpoints in the Middle East continue to influence sentiment. Oil surged in June as Iran threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, which handles almost 20% of world oil shipments, but prices eased once the waterway remained open. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia raised official prices to consumers, citing strong demand in China’s post‑pandemic recovery, though refiners are reporting margin squeezes.

Financial institutions have started to reflect this shifting environment in their projections. A Reuters‑polled group of 40 analysts revised Brent average forecasts for 2025 to $67.86 per barrel—up marginally from May—while predicting demand growth of only around 730,000 bpd. JP Morgan cut its annual Brent estimate to $66, citing rising OPEC+ output and sluggish consumption. TD Economics trimmed its forecast further, expecting 2025 WTI to average near $62, warning of sustained downward pressure from trade risk and oversupply.

Two factors loom large over the coming months. First, the path of trade tensions: further tariff escalations or retaliatory actions could erode industrial activity and fuel sales. Second, OPEC+ strategy: with the bloc unconstrained in raising output, additional production could overwhelm tepid demand, pushing prices below current levels. The IEA projects supply growth for 2025 at 2.1 mbpd, while demand is seen rising just 700 kbpd.

On the financial front, hedge fund positioning has turned cautious, registering the sharpest drop in bullish sentiment since February. Traders are forecasting narrower price ranges ahead, with elevated volatility as tariff developments hit market headlines.

Forward‑looking forecasts remain mixed. EIA projects Brent to average $68.89 in 2025 and $58.48 in 2026, marking a seasonal decline. Enverus suggests the upside remains intact if demand holds steady, especially with summer driving season underway. Market watchers also note that rising gas‑to‑oil switching costs, refinery restarts and diminished spare capacity could temper price declines.

China’s consumption is also under scrutiny. While Beijing seeks to stimulate growth through fiscal and monetary tools, investor sentiment remains fragile. Saudi’s decision to push prices higher was based on perceived strengthening in Chinese demand, but many analysts caution that any slow‑down could rapidly tip the balance.

Emerging long‑term trends offer some balance. IEA’s long‑term outlook suggests oil demand will continue rising through the late 2020s, driven by non‑OECD economies and slower clean‑energy adoption, delaying peak demand beyond 2030. Nonetheless, short‑term price direction seems firmly tied to macroeconomic risks and geopolitical dynamics.

Goldman Sachs has begun deploying “Devin,” an autonomous coding agent developed by London-based startup Cognition, as part of its technology workforce, Chief Information Officer Marco Argenti confirmed to CNBC. The bank plans to roll out hundreds, potentially thousands, of Devin instances working alongside its approximately 12,000 human software engineers. Argenti described Devin as a “new employee” that will augment rather than replace human programmers, forming what he […]

Perplexity this week introduced Comet, an AI-driven web browser designed to merge search, task automation and seamless browsing into a single interface. Initially accessible to subscribers of its $200‑a‑month Max tier, Comet promises to challenge Chrome and Edge by turning browsing into conversation-led workflows. Built on Chromium, Comet offers familiar browsing mechanics—tabs, navigation bar and extension support—yet stands apart through its sidebar-based “Comet Assistant,” powered by Perplexity’s […]

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