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Air India and IndiGo have recommenced services to the UAE after a suspension triggered by airspace closures amid the Israel–Iran conflict. Airlines halted operations on Monday following triggered restrictions from missile strikes on the U.S. Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. With Gulf skies now reopening, the carriers have initiated phased resumption of flights, prioritising passenger safety and adjusted routing measures.

Reinstatement efforts began on Tuesday, with most Air India flights to and from the Middle East set to resume by 25 June. The airline confirmed European routes would also come back online, and services to the U.S. East Coast and Canada are slated to recommence “at the earliest opportunity”. IndiGo echoed this approach, stating operations through Gulf countries had “stabilised”, albeit with some flights rerouting around closed Iranian airspace, which may cause extended journey times. Air India Express has similarly resumed select West Asian routes, including those from Delhi and Mumbai to Muscat, Riyadh, Jeddah and key UAE destinations.

The sudden airspace closure followed Iran’s missile assault on Qatar’s Al Udeid base in retaliation to U.S. bombings of Iranian nuclear sites. Multiple states, including the UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain, Iraq and Qatar, sealed their skies, incurring over 160 flight diversions. Airlines including Air India, IndiGo, Gulf carriers, and major European operators were forced into rerouting, cancellations and prolonged airborne holds.

In Bengaluru, Kempegowda International Airport experienced significant disruption on Monday, as 21 international flights were either cancelled or diverted. Six incoming flights and ten departures were scrapped, while five services arriving from the Middle East were rerouted to Bengaluru. The affected flights included services from IndiGo, Air India, Akasa Air, Kuwait Airways and Gulf Air, connecting destinations such as Doha, Abu Dhabi, Jeddah, Kuwait, London, Dubai, Dammam and Bahrain. IndiGo has since issued advisories encouraging passengers to verify their itineraries via the airline’s app or website.

Airspace closures prompted widespread disruptions across India. At Delhi’s Indira Gandhi International Airport, 48 flights were cancelled. The closures also affected routes beyond the Gulf, with Air India suspending services to Europe, the East Coast of North America and Canada. Such decisions followed safety concerns reminiscent of past incidents involving civilian aircraft in conflict zones.

Air India’s messaging emphasised the phased nature of the restoration plan. The airline noted that most flights to the Middle East would resume by 25 June and affirmed regular updates to passengers via official channels. Delays and reroutings may continue temporarily as the network stabilises. The airline pledged to avoid airspace deemed unsafe by international aviation authorities. IndiGo’s CEO framed the resumption as “prudent and progressive”, committed to using the safest routes amid ongoing monitoring.

Industry experts highlight the additional burden on airlines due to these disruptions. Longer flight paths translate to higher fuel consumption and operational costs. Rival carriers in Europe and the Middle East have already adopted detours to bypass Israeli, Iraqi and Jordanian airspace, citing financial impacts and tighter margins. Brent crude oil briefly climbed to around $70.80 per barrel following the regional skirmishes, adding strain on airline fuel budgets.

Passenger advocacy groups have urged transparency from carriers during this phase. With unforeseen diversions and cancellations, travellers seek clarity on compensation, rerouting options and timely notifications. Airline platforms are now investing in real-time advisory systems to minimise frustration and smooth operational turbulence.

The current easing of tensions appears tied to a ceasefire agreement brokered by the United States, accepted by both Israel and Iran. Although hostilities continue in limited form, the reopening of Gulf airspace indicates improved conditions for aviation. Travel experts caution, however, that volatility may persist if diplomatic progress stalls or military exchanges recur.

For Indian travellers, the resumption of Middle East routes is particularly timely. The Gulf region is a major employment and transit hub, hosting millions of Indian nationals. Restored connectivity affects not only personal travel but also supply chains, cargo links and business routes vital to India’s economic relations with Gulf partners.

Looking ahead, most Indian airlines face a dual challenge: restoring pre-conflict schedules while preparing contingency plans for renewed tensions. Many are exploring additional over-water routes, flexible flight planning and enhanced coordination with aviation regulators. These efforts aim to ensure that in the event of future disruptions, passenger inconvenience is minimised and safety remains paramount.

U.S. President Donald Trump has announced a “complete and total” ceasefire between Israel and Iran, set to begin within hours, marking what he described as the end of a 12‑day war. The plan envisages Iran initiating a 12‑hour ceasefire, followed by a reciprocal Israeli hiatus, concluding with a full cessation of hostilities.

Trump’s statement on his social media platform outlined a phased process: Iran will commence the ceasefire after winding down its final missions, followed by Israel 12 hours later, and after 24 hours the war will be declared over. He praised both nations for their “stamina, courage, and intelligence” and characterised the agreement as a significant step towards lasting peace.

The announcement follows a dramatic escalation in regional tensions. Israel launched military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in response to Iran’s uranium enrichment activities. Tehran retaliated by firing up to 14 missiles at the U.S.-operated Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. While 13 were intercepted and one deviated off course, no U.S. personnel were harmed—a fact President Trump described as a “very weak response.”

Despite global concerns over escalation, including warnings from France and other Western capitals, market responses have remained muted. Oil prices dropped approximately 7% in anticipation of de‑escalation, while equity markets posted modest gains.

Though the ceasefire announcement has generated optimism, it remains unverified by Israeli or Iranian leaders. As of now, neither government has publicly confirmed their commitment to the arrangement. Al Jazeera noted the absence of official statements from both sides.

The U.S. role in brokering this agreement highlights Trump’s assertive posture. He denied prior suggestions that France’s Emmanuel Macron had brokered such a deal, countering that the ceasefire plan was “much bigger than that.” Analysts warn that trust between Israel and Iran remains fragile, requiring robust verification mechanisms and potentially third-party monitoring to sustain the fragile peace.

European diplomats, including those from France, Germany and the UK, have previously urged for de‑escalation after U.S. strikes, facilitating a clash of diplomacy and military brinkmanship. Trump has also floated the prospect of regime change in Iran under the slogan “Make Iran Great Again,” sparking concerns about the endgame and durability of U.S. involvement.

In Washington, debate has emerged regarding U.S. aims. Trump’s advisors say the administration does not seek regime change, yet the use of the slogan and his rhetoric suggests otherwise. Critics warn that pushing Iran into further isolation could spark domestic instability in Tehran.

Regions across the Gulf remained on high alert during the conflict. Airspace closures in Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait affected international travel. Qatar has since reopened its skies following coordination with regional authorities. Countries in the region—Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and France included—expressed deep concern and reinforced calls for dialogue and restraint.

Security analysts note that the potential for a broader conflagration, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz, persisted until the ceasefire announcement. Iran’s parliamentary body had discussed strategic deterrents, including the possibility of closing the strait, a move that could severely disrupt global oil supplies. The upcoming hours will be decisive in determining whether the ceasefire is respected or if underlying tensions reignite.

The absence of casualties on either the U.S. or Israeli side contrasts with reported losses in Iran and Israel. Israeli strikes reportedly killed several hundred Iranians, including Revolutionary Guard members, while Iran was testing its limited retaliatory capabilities.

Infrastructure damage in both nations has been notable though not crippling. On the Iranian side, Tehran’s Evin prison and Revolutionary Guard sites bore the brunt of Israeli air raids; on the Israeli side, civilian infrastructure has remained largely intact, shielded by missile defence systems such as Iron Dome.

Stock markets and global commodity prices will closely monitor the ceasefire’s implementation. Should it hold, analysts suggest stability may regain foothold and prices may further retreat. However, any violation could push markets back into turmoil.

Diplomatically, Europe appears keen to reaffirm diplomatic channels. The EU and UN are reportedly preparing statements urging verification and offering mediation. Russia and China have also urged parties to uphold the ceasefire and avoid widening the conflict.

The next 24 hours are critical. The phased ceasefire hinges on mutual restraint and credible enforcement measures. U.N. observers or allied forces may be deployed to Tehran and Tel Aviv to verify compliance. Confirmation of Iran’s opening of its airspace and Israel’s military stand‑down orders will be key signals.

Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, hosting around 10,000 U.S. and allied personnel, was struck on 23 June 2025 by a volley of short- and medium-range ballistic missiles launched by Iran in apparent retaliation for American airstrikes on its nuclear facilities. Qatar’s air defences intercepted the incoming salvo, reported as six missiles by Iran and fourteen by U.S. sources, with no casualties or significant damage recorded.

Tehran described the strike as a calibrated response, matching the number of missiles to bombs used in the U.S. assault on Natanz, Fordow and Esfahan, suggesting a bid to avoid civilian harm. Iranian state media dubbed the action “Operation Glad Tidings of Victory” and stressed it was carried out away from populated areas. U.S. President Donald Trump, characterising the barrage as “very weak,” acknowledged that Iran provided advance notice, enabling effective interception and preventing casualties.

Qatar issued a forceful denunciation, condemning the barrage as a “flagrant violation” of its sovereignty and international law. Dr Majed bin Mohammed Al Ansari, spokesperson for Qatar’s Foreign Ministry, warned that the country reserves the right to respond proportionally and reiterated calls for a return to genuine diplomacy. Qatar Airways temporarily suspended flights amid the airspace closure, and India’s embassy in Doha advised nationals to remain cautious amid the unfolding tensions.

The United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia also condemned the violence. The UAE described the missiles as a breach of Qatari sovereignty and called for an immediate halt to military escalation. Riyadh echoed this stance, expressing full support for Qatar and branding the strike “unjustifiable,” warning of broader destabilisation. The Arab League, Jordan, Bahrain and Oman joined the chorus, denouncing the attack and urging restraint.

Western capitals emphasised caution. France and Germany condemned the missile salvo but underscored the necessity of diplomacy. The United Nations and European Union called for urgent de-escalatory measures and a return to negotiations, with António Guterres warning of the risk of “regional conflagration”. Beijing and Moscow echoed appeals for a diplomatic resolution.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei stated that Iran would not succumb to aggression and that its missile barrage equalled the U.S. assault. Tehran also hinted at further measures if U.S. actions persist. Meanwhile, Israel unleashed its most extensive air campaign yet on Tehran, striking sites including Evin Prison and Fordow enrichment facility.

The strikes on Qatar and also U.S. bases in Iraq—though unconfirmed beyond Qatar—have prompted airspace closures over Gulf nations including Kuwait, Bahrain and the UAE. Commercial carriers like IndiGo and Air India Express issued advisories or rerouted flights, contributing to widening disruptions in travel.

Global financial markets reacted nervously, with oil prices briefly spiking over fears of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage for global energy shipments. The International Atomic Energy Agency, meanwhile, voiced anxiety about the security of Iran’s nuclear sites following the U.S. bombardment.

Analysts suggest Iran’s approach was designed to recalibrate the balance of deterrence without provoking full-scale war. The matched missile count, pre-warning, and focus on a remote military target indicate a calculated effort to signal strength while avoiding mass casualties.

Diplomats across Europe, the U.N. and the Gulf pressed for an immediate halt to further strikes and for major powers to step up mediation. Qatar, a longstanding facilitator of regional talks, is uniquely positioned to spearhead efforts. Both Iran and the U.S. have acknowledged potential for dialogue: Trump spoke of the prospect of “peace and harmony,” echoing Tehran’s assertions that the strike completed its “symbolic” objectives.

But with tensions now inflamed between Iran, Israel and the U.S., and Gulf states on alert, diplomatic channels face a critical juncture. Any miscalculation could unleash renewed conflict across the region.

Bitcoin continues to hover above the US $100,000 mark, yet the network’s on‑chain activity tells a contrasting story. Overall transaction counts have declined sharply—from over 730,000 daily in 2023–24 to between 320,000 and 500,000 so far in 2025—while average transaction values surge, indicating that large investors are driving activity.

Despite fewer overall movements, the economic weight of each transaction remains high. Daily on‑chain settlement averages around US $7.5 billion, peaking at US $16 billion when Bitcoin briefly pierced its all‑time high of US $111.7 thousand. That amounts to an average transaction value of about US $36.2 thousand—dramatically higher than before.

The evidence points to a concentration in high‑value transfers. Transactions exceeding US $100,000 now account for nearly 89 percent of on‑chain volume—a stark increase from around 66 percent in late 2022—while transfers under that threshold have dwindled. Smaller wallets and lower‑value senders are increasingly absent from the blockchain.

Transaction fees are also bucking historical trends. In previous bull markets, network congestion drove fees higher. Now, with Bitcoin nearing all‑time highs, miner fee revenue has dropped to just US $558,000 per day—markedly low in comparison to past cycles. This divergence demonstrates muted block‑space demand despite soaring prices.

Meanwhile, trading activity is shifting decisively off‑chain. Centralised exchanges now dominate, with combined spot, futures and options volumes estimated at seven to 16 times greater than on‑chain settlement values. Futures markets alone trade roughly US $57 billion per day on average, peaking at US $122 billion in November 2024. Spot volumes, although smaller, remain robust, averaging US $10 billion daily.

Total open interest in Bitcoin futures and options has reached about US $96.2 billion. Notably, collateral structures have improved; stablecoin‑margined positions now dominate the derivatives landscape—an encouraging sign of reduced systemic risk following the collapse of FTX.

The on‑chain/off‑chain divergence shapes a nuanced picture: Bitcoin’s price resilience stems less from broad public usage and more from concentrated institutional flows and leveraged activity in centralised markets. While large holders continue to shift substantial sums on‑chain, much of the ecosystem’s vitality lies within off‑chain derivatives.

Strategy, the publicly traded firm led by Michael Saylor, increased its Bitcoin reserve, purchasing 245 BTC for US $26 million during the week ending 22 June, at an average price of US $105,856 per coin. This augments the company’s holdings to 592,345 BTC, acquired at a cumulative cost of approximately US $41.87 billion and an average cost of US $70,681 per coin. Year‑to‑date, the firm has realised a yield of 19.2% on its Bitcoin portfolio.

Buying at the tail end of a dip—from highs near US $108,900 down to lows just below US $99,000—Strategy appeared undeterred by broader macroeconomic anxieties weighing on crypto markets. The timing underscores a deep conviction in Bitcoin’s long‑term trajectory, reinforced by Saylor’s forecast that the asset could reach US $21 million within 21 years, presented on 21 June.

This additional acquisition keeps Strategy on track with its 2025 target of a 25% annual yield, recently raised from an earlier goal of 15%. As of this purchase, the return-on-holding stands at 19.2%, offering a clear path toward the revised objective.

Despite a broad sentiment shift toward caution in the crypto space—manifest in an estimated US $5.5 billion inflow into institutional products in the three weeks through early May—the decision by Strategy to double down highlights a contrasting stance. Institutional inflows have been largely concentrated in Bitcoin, accounting for US $1.8 billion of the total amid a surge in interest.

Crypto analysts suggest that volatility triggered by geopolitical risks and shifting macroeconomic dynamics, including trade tensions and Federal Reserve policy, is creating opportunities for long‑term players. AInvest noted a “volatility window” in mid‑2025 that may set the stage for a fresh bull run towards US $200,000, drawing in investors anticipating US foreign‑trade and rate‑cut shifts.

Blockchain data firm Glassnode reports that on‑chain accumulation continues steadily, with long‑term holders increasing their reserves despite price swings. This suggests ongoing confidence among institutional and retail actors alike.

Strategy’s accumulation strategy exemplifies a bet on mean reversion and broader adoption of Bitcoin as a hedge against currency debasement and inflation. Saylor has consistently argued that Bitcoin is “hard money” with inherent scarcity, likening it to digital gold—an argument echoed in institutional flows and strategic investor behavior.

OKX is considering a US initial public offering following its April relaunch in America, which came after the exchange paid a total of $505 million to settle Department of Justice charges for operating without a money-transmitting licence. The settlement comprised an $84 million fine and the forfeiture of $421 million in earnings, predominantly drawn from institutional activity.

The Seychelles-based platform formally pleaded guilty to US anti‑money‑laundering and Know Your Customer deficiencies, marking a significant compliance turnaround. Its re-entry strategy included appointing Roshan Robert, former Barclays director, as its US CEO and establishing a regional headquarters in San Jose, California. The focus is on a phased rollout of a centralised exchange and the OKX Wallet, which supports 130 blockchains and a DEX aggregator with access to more than 10 million tokens.

Insiders suggest that buoyed by regained US compliance and growing user demand, OKX is now assessing an IPO as early as the first quarter of 2026. Such a move would mark its shift from a privately held crypto entity to a publicly accountable company, increasing transparency and potentially assuring investors and regulators alike of its commitment to best practice.

Industry observers note that OKX’s ambition aligns with broader trends in the crypto space. Rivals such as Coinbase underwent similar transitions, leveraging IPOs to enhance visibility and unlock capital for product development. OKX’s path, however, is distinguished by its heavier regulatory baggage and the scale of its US re-entry, which could either strengthen its credibility or raise fresh scrutiny.

Market analysts highlight several factors that could influence the success of an IPO. These include OKX’s ability to sustain compliance upgrades, the performance of its US exchange and wallet division, and the overall sentiment in financial markets towards regulated crypto firms. The firm’s leadership anticipates that demonstrating stringent compliance and deep liquidity will be pivotal in securing investor confidence.

According to statements from OKX’s Star Xu, the exchange aspires to become “the gold standard of global compliance at scale,” an ambition underscored by its decision to engage a compliance consultant post‑settlement.

The timing of the potential IPO is crucial. Market conditions in early 2026 will determine valuation and investor appetite, particularly if macroeconomic headwinds or equity market volatility persist. OKX will also compete for attention with other crypto entrants, including those preparing to go public or seeking regulatory approval for spot Bitcoin ETFs.

OKX insiders stress that success hinges on execution in several areas: maintaining licence approvals in multiple jurisdictions, expanding US user adoption, and integrating fiat ramps to bolster accessibility. The San Jose hub is positioned as a central node for regulatory engagement, staff expansion, and innovation, with the US team reportedly growing aggressively since April.

Should OKX proceed with an IPO, it will signal a full-circle moment—from prosecution and penalties to listing on a major US exchange. The move would also put it in direct competition with publicly traded peers, raising expectations for quarterly reporting, rigorous audits, and adherence to US securities law.

Regulators will likely scrutinise OKX’s filings, probing its past compliance gaps and evaluating its new internal controls. Investors and analysts will examine user metrics, trading volumes, fee structures, and the viability of the wallet service as revenue drivers. The success or failure of OKX’s US debut could shape the narrative for other non-US crypto exchanges contemplating public listings.

UAE authorities have successfully airlifted both citizens and expatriate residents from Iran amid mounting regional tensions stemming from the ongoing Israel–Iran conflict. These evacuation flights were carried out in full coordination with Iranian officials, who provided necessary transit clearances and logistical assistance, according to the UAE’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation.

Passengers greeted on arrival in Abu Dhabi included Emirati nationals and resident visa holders. Some were visibly emotional—footage released by WAM showed arrivals embracing airport staff, while others knelt in gratitude upon disembarking. UAE officials confirmed that all evacuees underwent health screening and security checks; no medical emergencies were reported during the operation.

The decision to evacuate was prompted by intensifying hostilities between Iran and Israel, which have resulted in reciprocal missile and drone strikes targeting Iran’s nuclear and military infrastructure. Since 13 June, airspace closures across Iran and neighbouring countries have disrupted commercial flights, leaving many foreign nationals stranded.

While Tehran’s nuclear sites have been under attack, Tehran’s government issued public messages minimising panic, yet civilians promptly fled towards northern provinces, leading to fuel shortages, transport gridlocks, and relief operations along highways. Over 100,000 people are believed to have relocated internally by 15 June, while a few hundred foreign evacuees have used authorised border crossings to exit Iran.

UAE’s timely action reflects an expansion of its foreign crisis response capabilities, built through previous evacuations from conflict zones such as Ukraine, Sudan, and Afghanistan. Evacuating via a mix of chartered aircraft and government-operated flights, the UAE used carefully planned air routes to skirt high-risk regions.

Parallel efforts by Gulf neighbours highlight broader regional coordination. Bahrain, Oman and others secured safe passage for their own nationals via land and air corridors; Oman alone registered over 150 evacuees through Bandar Abbas and Iraq logistics networks. Countries including India, China, the US, Germany and Poland activated repatriation schemes—India’s “Operation Sindhu” successfully repatriated 110 nationals through Armenia by 18 June.

While evacuation pipelines opened, Dubai and Abu Dhabi remain operational, and companies across the Gulf are updating contingency plans amid concerns over possible spill‑over and disruptions to critical infrastructure. Risk advisory firms are reporting heightened demand for intelligence services, crisis preparedness, and staff security measures.

The UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs has reiterated its call for diplomacy as the sole pathway to stability. Its continuous diplomatic outreach has involved deep engagement with international partners and a strong appeal to the UN Security Council to broker de‑escalation amid what it describes as “exceptional circumstances”.

The evacuation marks a rare cooperative moment between the UAE and Iran, whose bilateral relations have at times been strained. Yet Iranian authorities’ facilitation of access to airports and transit permissions demonstrated a mutual willingness to protect civilians from broader geopolitical fallout.

With all Gulf evacuations through this phase concluded, attention now turns to whether diplomatic avenues will succeed in preventing further civilian displacement. Businesses and governments remain on alert, reinforcing emergency protocols and intelligence monitoring systems to safeguard personnel and operations in the face of uncertainty.