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Gulf states are emerging as influential players in digital assets, with governments across the region intensifying efforts to regulate cryptocurrencies, tokenisation and Web3 innovations. A growing number of jurisdictions are introducing licensing frameworks for virtual asset service providers, stablecoin regimes and asset-tokenisation structures, signalling a shift in strategy from reactive oversight to proactive design.

The Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates has introduced a Payment Token Services Regulation that obliges issuers, distributors and custodians of payment tokens to maintain full reserve backing, undergo mandatory licensing and meet robust anti-money-laundering and cybersecurity standards, thereby positioning the UAE as a regulatory pioneer in the region. Across the region, countries such as Bahrain and Saudi Arabia have developed layered digital-asset frameworks, with Bahrain’s central bank among the earliest movers and Saudi launching fintech sandboxes and pilot token-asset schemes under its Vision 2030 plan.

Market data underline these developments. Analysis shows that between July 2023 and June 2024 the Middle East and North Africa region handled some US$338.7 billion in on-chain crypto value, accounting for approximately 7.5 per cent of global transaction volume. Institutional flows dominate: about 93 per cent of value transferred in the region came in amounts of US$10,000 or more.

Several regional platforms have obtained new licences under this regulatory push. The region’s first licensed crypto-asset service provider, Rain Financial Inc., has expanded its services under licence from both Bahrain’s regulator and Abu Dhabi’s ADGM-FSRA. In Bahrain, over 50 firms including nearly half focused on digital-assets are in discussions to establish operations under the Central Bank’s regime.

The tokenisation of real-world assets is gaining traction, with banks and global institutions exploring issuance of token-backed bonds, real estate and commodity-linked tokens. According to consultancy research, tokenisation could add as much as US$230 billion annually to MENA-region GDP. Major international exchanges and asset-managers are establishing footholds: for instance, the global exchange Binance uses the UAE as its regional base and has obtained a licence under Dubai’s Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority.

Despite this momentum, the region faces challenges. Implementation remains uneven: regulatory capacity across jurisdictions varies, local consumer-protection rules are still emerging and cybersecurity vulnerabilities in wallet providers and exchanges pose material risk. Energy-use and environmental impacts of crypto-mining have also drawn regulatory scrutiny: in one Gulf city, electricity consumption fell by over fifty per cent after enforcement of mining curbs.

Taxation and corporate-governance issues are also under development. In Saudi Arabia individuals currently pay no capital-gains tax on crypto, though businesses may face up to 15 per cent tax with corporate income taxed at 20 per cent plus a 2.5 per cent zakat levy. Given the youth-skewed demographics of Gulf markets and high smartphone penetration, regulators see digital-assets as both a diversification lever and a conduit to broader fintech innovation.

For global crypto and Web3 players the Gulf region offers a combination of clear regulation, large capital pools and government-driven ambition. However firms must navigate rigorous licensing conditions, reserve-backing rules, AML frameworks and evolving governance standards. The regulatory focus on stability and consumer protection underscores that the region expects digital-asset innovation to be embedded in mainstream finance rather than existing outside it.

   By K Raveendran   The market seems to have already done its arithmetic on the new US sanctions on two major Russian oil companies, Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil, gauging the immediate and medium-term consequences for energy supply lines stretching from Moscow to Mumbai. In a matter of hours, crude prices spiked, reflecting not just […]

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Eight Democratic senators, led by Adam Schiff of California, have formally asked Steve Witkoff—the U. S. Special Envoy to the Middle East—for detailed explanations regarding his continued involvement with crypto assets tied to World Liberty Financial, a venture he co-founded with the family of Donald Trump. The lawmakers’ letter highlights potential conflicts of interest stemming from Witkoff’s dual role as a diplomat and investor.

Their concerns centre on Witkoff’s asset disclosures, which indicate he still holds stakes in entities tied to World Liberty and other crypto businesses as of his 13 August 2025 financial report. The senators press him to clarify whether he has divested these holdings, whether he has obtained ethics waivers, and whether his official capacities have overlapped with personal financial interests.

World Liberty Financial launched the stable-coin USD1, and in May 2025 a firm linked to the Abu Dhabi sovereign investment arm reportedly committed around US$2 billion to the venture. The same Gulf-state entity is connected to high-level U. S. export approvals of advanced semiconductor chips, a situation that lawmakers see as raising grave ethical questions.

Witkoff, a New York real-estate magnate and longtime Trump associate, was appointed envoy in early 2025 despite limited experience in diplomacy. While his defenders say he has taken steps to divest and comply with regulation, critics say he remains financially tied to ventures that stand to benefit from his government role. The administration has signalled it is reviewing his disclosures and ethics compliance.

In their letter, the senators request responses to seven key questions by 31 October 2025. They ask how Witkoff could sell off a real-estate holding of about US$120 million while retaining crypto interests; whether he or his family hold additional digital assets beyond those disclosed; when he divested, if at all; whether he holds any interests in Trump-family business ventures; whether he has obtained ethics guidance from the U. S. Office of Government Ethics; and whether any waiver was granted allowing him to participate in matters in which he had a financial interest.

Separately, lawmakers highlight the chronology of events: after World Liberty received the Gulf-state investment commitment, the White House approved export of advanced U. S. chips to the United Arab Emirates—raising the appearance of intertwined public and private interests. Ethics experts say this conflation of diplomacy and private profit may run afoul of federal rules under 18 U. S. C. § 208 and the constitutional emoluments clause, which bars public officials from participating in matters in which they have a financial interest.

Riyadh is advancing its push into artificial intelligence, sidestepping some of the previous fanfare around the massive urban-megaproject Neom, and signalling a new strategic pivot by its sovereign wealth arm Public Investment Fund. The fund is repositioning to attract global AI investment, deepen partnerships with major tech players and harness data-centre infrastructure at scale.

The kingdom’s leadership is steering resources away from grand construction ambitions to technology-driven growth. The newly formed Humain — a PIF-backed AI company — was launched in May with the mission of establishing Saudi Arabia as a global hub for AI. The firm plans to build advanced data centres, cloud services and one of the world’s most powerful Arabic large-language models.

Strategic deals have followed. U. S. chip-maker Nvidia has agreed to ship some 18,000 Blackwell chips to Saudi Arabia to support a 500-megawatt data-centre facility coordinated by Humain. PIF and international analysts say the move reflects a shift in focus: less emphasis on sprawling “giga-projects” of construction, more on the digital-infrastructure layer that underpins a future knowledge-economy.

Globally, transformative AI applications — from generative-AI language models to edge computing in industries — require vast compute power, energy and state coordination. PIF’s governor Yasir Al‑Rumayyan has said the kingdom is well-placed, given its energy resources and large-scale capital, to become a “hub outside the U. S.” for AI development. Analysts suggest the pivot acknowledges market realities: mega-cities like Neom have proved slower to materialise than envisaged, while digital-economy bets offer faster, more measurable returns.

The megacity Neom and its flagship component – The Line – have faced scepticism over timelines, cost-overruns and foreign investor pull-back. Executive reshuffles in Neom’s leadership and recalibrated investment priorities have signalled the shift. Meanwhile, PIF has begun trimming the proportion of its portfolio allocated to global investments — moving foreign-allocation toward 18 per cent from previous targets — to double-down on domestic strategic sectors like AI.

The investment case for Saudi Arabia is sizeable. Humain aims to tap into the Arab-language market of over 450 million people, while deploying data-centre capacity measured in gigawatts. Academic and industry voices say the kingdom has already built one of the strongest AI-ready physical infrastructures in the Middle East: multiple super-computers, data centres and training programmes are in motion. On the human-capital front, programmes to train 20,000 data/AI experts by 2030 are underway through partnerships with international firms such as Microsoft, Accenture and Huawei Technologies.

For global tech firms and investors, Saudi Arabia’s offer now centres around “sovereign AI infrastructure” rather than purely construction or real-estate play. The deal with Nvidia is seen as precedent-setting: Nvidia’s CEO told reporters that AI infrastructure is “essential infrastructure” akin to power and internet. Moreover, the shift aligns with the kingdom’s broader strategic framework Vision 2030 — which seeks to reduce oil-dependence and build a diversified economy.

Nevertheless, risks remain. Observers caution that the AI ambition is spectacular in scale yet faces operational and regulatory challenges — from data-governance to talent retention and ideological scrutiny. The push may also attract geopolitical scrutiny given the involvement of U. S. technology in Saudi infrastructure. The earlier mega-project model illustrates how bold vision can be slowed by delivery hurdles.

Global investment bank Goldman Sachs has secured the richest place in regional mergers and acquisitions activity in the Middle East and North Africa market, advising on 24 deals worth a combined US$104 billion in the first nine months of 2025, according to data from LSEG Deals Intelligence. The firm’s Co-head of Investment Banking for the Middle East & North Africa, Jassim AlSane, said the growth was driven by “national champions … with significant growth objectives” and government-backed strategies.

M&A volumes across the region have picked up substantially, supported by sovereign backing and major consolidation efforts. According to LSEG’s broader MENA investment banking review, M&A activity hit US$66.4 billion in the first quarter alone, illustrating a robust trajectory for the region. The strong performance underscores an increasingly active market for deals even amid global macro-economic headwinds.

Goldman’s dominance emerged as national-champion companies in the Gulf co-led big transactions. These firms often benefit from state support and predefined strategic mandates that accelerate investment decisions. AlSane highlighted that the top-10 deals for the firm in the region were “underpinned by an approved strategy” and “government-backed,” signalling a close alignment between private investment banks and states seeking large-scale diversification.

Key sectors powering the deal flow include energy-transition assets, infrastructure, and digital platforms. Observers note that the MENA region is embracing its role as a growth frontier for capital deployment, leveraging both private and sovereign funds to consolidate industries and build scale quickly. In particular, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates continue to push forward national frameworks that incentivise large transactions.

Despite the gains, the environment is not without uncertainty. Globally, deal volume has not uniformly increased — while deal value is up, the overall number of transactions in certain markets remains flat or declining. In the MENA context, some deals have faced delays or regulatory hurdles associated with cross‐border scrutiny and the need for state coordination. Critics argue that heavy reliance on government-backed mandates may reduce private-sector initiative and create hurdles in negotiation and valuation.

Goldman’s rise in the region also reflects wider trends in global investment banking. The firm posted a 42 per cent jump in investment-banking fees in the third quarter of 2025, citing advisory revenue jolts of 60 per cent year-on-year. While that data is global rather than specifically MENA-focused, it indicates that investment banking hunger for strategic transactions is rising and Goldman is benefiting. These elevated fee levels are the highest the firm has seen in years and point to a structural shift in deal-making dynamics.

Dubai-based Emirates NBD PJSC is poised to acquire a 60 per cent stake in India’s RBL Bank via a $3 billion investment, marking the largest foreign direct investment ever recorded in India’s banking sector. The move, announced on 18 October 2025, is structured through a preferential share issuance of up to 959.04 million shares at ₹280 each and is subject to regulatory approvals.

RBL Bank’s management expects the deal to close within five to eight months, positioning the infusion within the current financial year, according to statements made by the lender’s leadership. Emirates NBD will assume promoter status at RBL, gaining board-nomination rights and solidifying its long-term presence in the Indian market.

The deal comes as India’s financial sector registers a surge in cross-border deals, with total deal-value reaching approximately $8 billion from January to September 2025—a 127 per cent increase over the same period last year. For its part, RBL Bank, a private lender headquartered in Mumbai with assets estimated at ₹1.46 trillion and a customer base of over 15 million, will benefit from the capital uplift and expanded ecosystem access.

Emirates NBD’s group chief executive, Shayne Nelson, said the investment underscores the bank’s confidence in India’s financial services growth trajectory and reflects its ambition to leverage RBL’s domestic franchise alongside Emirates NBD’s regional reach. RBL’s managing director & CEO, R Subramaniakumar, described the alliance as providing “an enormous opportunity” to move from mid-sized to large-bank status in India, reinforcing its ambitions to enter wealth management and strengthen corporate and retail lending.

Under the terms of the agreement, Emirates NBD will first subscribe to a preferential issue up to 60 per cent of RBL Bank, and then launch a mandatory open offer to public shareholders of up to 26 per cent at the same ₹280 per share price. The final stake will depend on maximum permissible foreign-investment limits and minimum public shareholding norms. The Indian regulatory framework allows up to 74 per cent foreign investment in private banks, but typically limits individual foreign investors to a maximum of 15 per cent unless an exemption is granted by the Reserve Bank of India, which is reported to have given informal backing to the deal.

Analysts say the deal is transformative for both parties: RBL stands to enhance its capital adequacy ratio—projected around 40 per cent post-transaction—and may scale up its corporate banking, digital payments and branch network expansion, tapping into ties between India and the Middle East. For Emirates NBD, the acquisition consolidates its Indian market access and complements its existing footprint in the Middle East, North Africa and Turkey.

Challenges remain. The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals in India and requires compliance with public-shareholding rules, which could complicate the open-offer structure. In addition, RBL has grappled with governance concerns in the past—its former CEO stepped down abruptly in 2021 following regulatory scrutiny—which means integrating under a foreign majority owner will require careful management of culture, controls and strategic alignment.

Observers suggest the deal may set a precedent for greater foreign involvement in India’s mid-sized banking sector, with implications for capital flows, market consolidation and competition. Brokers in Mumbai noted that the infusion of “confidence capital” into RBL could unlock higher credit growth and improve investor perception of the Indian private-banking sector. Meanwhile, the broader wave of cross-border activity, including Japanese and UAE groups entering Indian banks, highlights the shifting dynamics of the India-Middle East-Europe economic corridor.

Merchandise exports rose to USD 220.12 billion in the six-month period ending September, an uptick of 3.02 per cent compared with the equivalent span of the prior year, while imports climbed by 4.53 per cent to USD 375.11 billion, resulting in a trade deficit of USD 154.99 billion.

A key facet of this performance is that exports to 24 nations recorded growth, underscoring a push by Indian exporters to diversify markets beyond traditional strongholds. These countries span regions from the Middle East and Southeast Asia to Africa and Latin America, and collectively accounted for USD 129.3 billion, or 59 per cent of the country’s total exports in the period.

Despite this diversification, exports to the United States — one of the largest destination markets — slipped in September as tariffs imposed by Washington weighed on certain sectors. For the month, shipments to the US declined by 11.93 per cent to USD 5.46 billion.

Those opposing movements such as exporters point to the 50 per cent tariff introduced by the US on Indian goods from late August. The exports community says that while growth is evident in alternative geographies including Africa, Latin America and the Middle East, the US tariff climate remains a drag.

Within the group of 24 countries that posted export growth are the UAE, Germany, Vietnam, Mexico, Russia, Kenya, Nigeria, Canada, Poland, Sri Lanka, Oman, Thailand, Bangladesh, Brazil, Belgium, Italy and Tanzania, among others.

At the same time, exports to 16 other countries recorded negative growth, representing roughly USD 60.3 billion or about 27 per cent of total exports in the period. This reveals that while diversification is under way, certain destination markets continue to deliver weak outcomes.

Industry observers suggest that the strategic reorientation of markets has been accelerated by external pressures such as protectionist measures in key markets and supply-chain disruptions across sectors. One exporter noted: “The trend will continue in the coming months as well.”

Meanwhile, the Government of India is engaging on multiple fronts to sustain export momentum. Officials from the commerce ministry signalled that structural steps will be needed to strengthen manufacturing competitiveness and integrate India more deeply into global value chains. They pointed to raw‐material bottlenecks and high logistics costs among the constraints.

In parallel, trade discussions with the US are underway, aimed at reducing friction caused by duties and exploring possibilities for energy-and-goods cooperation. For instance, US officials have raised concerns over Indian imports of Russian oil and bilateral trade.

Another trend shaping export performance is the push into manufacturing sectors aligned with global demand shifts. The electronics and mobile-phone export segment, for example, has delivered strong growth: exports in certain months surged by as much as 39-60 per cent in year-on-year terms, signalling India’s growing role as a manufacturing hub for global brands.

On the import side, the widening of the trade deficit is partly explained by rising inbound shipments of gold, silver and crude oil, ahead of domestic demand spikes and festival season pickup. These pressure points reflect larger global cost dynamics rather than domestic export weakness per se.

Export diversification is also being viewed as a risk-mitigation strategy. The weakening of certain traditional markets combined with tariff exposure in the US has underscored the importance of broadening the destination base. Africa, Latin America and Southeast Asia are emerging as focal regions.

Manufacturers and trade bodies emphasise that sustaining this diversification will require improving logistics efficiency, deepening downstream processing, upgrading product quality and securing better access via trade agreements and export-promotion schemes.

For exporters that achieved growth in the 24-country set, end-markets include consumer goods, engineering exports, pharmaceuticals, agro-products and electronics. Their performance demonstrates the incremental success of strategic investment and policy alignment.

Still, the fact that over a quarter of export value was derived from countries with declining shipments signals a dual challenge. Growth pockets exist, but structural weaknesses and external dependencies remain persistent obstacles.