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UAE’s Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure has restated its unwavering aim to lift crude oil production capacity to five million barrels per day by 2027 amid shifting global energy demand. The clarification from Abu Dhabi follows remarks from the Energy Minister indicating potential capacity growth beyond that goal.

Aligned with its declared strategy, the nation insists the 5 million bpd target remains intact. Energy Minister Suhail Mohamed al‑Mazrouei, speaking at the Opec International Summit in Vienna, emphasised the UAE could scale up to six million bpd if global markets required—while making clear this figure is not an official target.

Presently, UAE’s production capacity stands at around 4.85 million bpd. The ministry’s public affirmation underscores long‑established plans by Abu Dhabi National Oil Company to align with wider economic imperatives, including state‑led diversification and responsible growth.

On the sidelines in Vienna, Minister al‑Mazrouei pointed to oil inventories that have not surged, interpreting it as evidence of sustained market demand. He characterised the additional million barrels potential as a proactive choice, contingent on demand, rather than a binding pledge.

Opec+ has already increased the UAE’s production quota this year, acknowledging its heavy investment in expanding capacity from 3 million to 4.85 million bpd. That quota adjustment reflects a bid to balance output with capacity and avoids penalising investment-led increases.

Global energy forecasts cited at the summit envision oil demand climbing by nearly 19 percent to 123 million bpd by 2050, driven by economic growth, urbanisation, and energy‑intensive industries such as artificial intelligence. Despite this, Opec has revised its short‑term forecast downward amid signs of slowing demand in China. Long‑term growth, however, is expected from regions including Asia, the Middle East and Africa.

ADNOC’s accelerated expansion plan—bringing forward its 5 million bpd capacity objective from 2030 to 2027—was endorsed by the board under the leadership of His Highness Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, supported by CEO Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber. The strategy forms part of a broader state-led drive combining energy security with economic diversification and sustainability.

While bolstering its crude oil output, ADNOC is also investing heavily in low‑carbon solutions. It allocates about US $5 billion annually to clean energy and has set a net‑zero emissions ambition for 2045. The company is integrating solar and nuclear power into offshore fields and is implementing carbon‑capture technologies in major developments.

ADNOC’s low-carbon division recently acquired Germany’s Covestro for US $16 billion, signalling a move to diversify into value‑added petrochemicals such as plastics, foams and ammonia. Its strategy foregrounds gas, chemicals and downstream operations alongside oil capacity growth, in anticipation of structural shifts in global energy use.

The UAE is poised to become the world’s fourth-largest oil and liquids producer if the anticipated expansion is achieved, trailing only the United States, Saudi Arabia and Russia. At six million bpd capacity, it would surpass producers such as Canada, China, Iraq and Iran in scale.

However, uncertainties remain. The pace of global energy transition, the adoption of renewables, and potential peaking of oil demand—especially in China—pose risks to long-term strategy. But the UAE appears ready to hedge by maximizing flexibility: build for five million bpd, yet leave room to stretch if markets demand.

The public reaffirmation by the ministry serves both domestic and international audiences: showcasing earnest delivery of targets, reassuring investors on energy stability, and reinforcing the UAE’s position as a stabilising force within Opec+.

Oil prices have shifted sharply this week, with demand forecasts now under pressure from escalating trade tensions fuelled by fresh tariffs. Brent crude is trading in the high‑60s per barrel, while benchmark WTI hovers around mid‑60s, reflecting growing investor caution. Analysts point to revised supply and demand projections as indicators of a changing market landscape.

An International Energy Agency monthly report has cut its global oil‑demand growth forecast for 2025 to 700,000 bpd, the slowest pace since 2009 outside the pandemic, down from 720,000 bpd last month. The downgrade reflects weaker consumption in emerging markets and a cooling US‑China trade outlook. Supply continues to outpace demand as OPEC+ ramps up production; global output in June rose by about 950,000 bpd to reach 105.6 mbpd.

The IEA notes the oil market remains technically in surplus, with inventories building globally—even as regional stock draws persist. Oil runs at refineries have slowed, particularly in the US and China, enabling downward revisions in demand projections. Enverus Intelligence Research offers a counter‑view, pointing to balanced OECD inventories and sustained summer demand north of 1 mbpd, which may support higher prices.

The US Energy Information Administration expects US crude oil production to plateau at roughly 13.4 mbpd in 2025, dropping modestly later this year as lower prices curb drilling activity. Despite this, producers remain vulnerable to profit erosion unless prices stabilise in the $65–70 range.

President Trump’s trade moves have reignited fears of another global trade war, with new tariff letters dispatched to Brazil, South Korea, Japan, the Philippines and others this week. Threats of 50% duties on exports such as copper, semiconductor components and auto parts are weighing heavily on commodity‑linked equity markets and raising recession risk concerns. Oil prices dropped more than 2% on Thursday as benchmark futures responded to the potential hit to economic growth.

While some market participants remain in “wait‑and‑see” mode, given Trump’s unpredictability and history of policy reversals, the overarching effect is to dampen demand forecasts. Onyx Capital’s head of research, Harry Tchilinguirian, cautions against overreaction but acknowledges that tariffs are adding to inflationary pressures and may reinforce Federal Reserve caution.

Geopolitical flashpoints in the Middle East continue to influence sentiment. Oil surged in June as Iran threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, which handles almost 20% of world oil shipments, but prices eased once the waterway remained open. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia raised official prices to consumers, citing strong demand in China’s post‑pandemic recovery, though refiners are reporting margin squeezes.

Financial institutions have started to reflect this shifting environment in their projections. A Reuters‑polled group of 40 analysts revised Brent average forecasts for 2025 to $67.86 per barrel—up marginally from May—while predicting demand growth of only around 730,000 bpd. JP Morgan cut its annual Brent estimate to $66, citing rising OPEC+ output and sluggish consumption. TD Economics trimmed its forecast further, expecting 2025 WTI to average near $62, warning of sustained downward pressure from trade risk and oversupply.

Two factors loom large over the coming months. First, the path of trade tensions: further tariff escalations or retaliatory actions could erode industrial activity and fuel sales. Second, OPEC+ strategy: with the bloc unconstrained in raising output, additional production could overwhelm tepid demand, pushing prices below current levels. The IEA projects supply growth for 2025 at 2.1 mbpd, while demand is seen rising just 700 kbpd.

On the financial front, hedge fund positioning has turned cautious, registering the sharpest drop in bullish sentiment since February. Traders are forecasting narrower price ranges ahead, with elevated volatility as tariff developments hit market headlines.

Forward‑looking forecasts remain mixed. EIA projects Brent to average $68.89 in 2025 and $58.48 in 2026, marking a seasonal decline. Enverus suggests the upside remains intact if demand holds steady, especially with summer driving season underway. Market watchers also note that rising gas‑to‑oil switching costs, refinery restarts and diminished spare capacity could temper price declines.

China’s consumption is also under scrutiny. While Beijing seeks to stimulate growth through fiscal and monetary tools, investor sentiment remains fragile. Saudi’s decision to push prices higher was based on perceived strengthening in Chinese demand, but many analysts caution that any slow‑down could rapidly tip the balance.

Emerging long‑term trends offer some balance. IEA’s long‑term outlook suggests oil demand will continue rising through the late 2020s, driven by non‑OECD economies and slower clean‑energy adoption, delaying peak demand beyond 2030. Nonetheless, short‑term price direction seems firmly tied to macroeconomic risks and geopolitical dynamics.

Senior officials from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait have defended the August production boost of 548,000 barrels per day, stating that global markets are absorbing the extra supply without piling up inventories. UAE Energy Minister Suhail al‑Mazrouei told delegates in Vienna that inventories have remained stable despite the accelerated output increases, reflecting genuine consumption growth. Kuwait Petroleum Corp. echoed this view, with its CEO Sheikh Nawaf Al‑Sabah noting strong demand from Asian customers and signalling a tighter market than widely perceived.

Oil markets displayed resilience as Brent crude climbed above $70 a barrel, recovering from an initial dip following the OPEC+ announcement. Analysts cite robust summer travel demand, Middle East geopolitical strains—such as intermittent Houthi attacks in the Red Sea—and tighter fuel product cracks as underpinning near‑term market firmness. The supply surge, although substantial, has not yet triggered signs of oversupply. OECD stock levels remain flat, while US Strategic Petroleum Reserve levels stay well below maximum, pointing to a balanced market setup and sustained product demand.

The OPEC+ decision marks an acceleration of a reversal programme that began in April with a modest 138,000 bpd increase, followed by three successive monthly hikes of 411,000 bpd. The latest announcement represents a strategic shift: rather than merely unwinding voluntary cuts, producers are intent on reclaiming market share and anchoring long-term stability. Saudi Arabia, which had shouldered most of the original production curbs, is now pushing ahead to restore output levels much faster than previously scheduled.

UAE officials emphasise fundamentals over headlines, asserting that additional barrels were essential to maintain equilibrium rather than depress prices. “We haven’t seen a major buildup in inventories, which means the market needed those barrels,” al‑Mazrouei said, stressing the need for steady investment in oil infrastructure. Kuwait’s Sheikh Nawaf further highlighted sustained demand growth—particularly in Asia—estimating additional global need of up to 1.3 million bpd over the year and pointing to record-high shipments from his country in June.

Supporting evidence emerges in price trend analysis. Despite the supply increase, Brent crude closed near $69–$70 per barrel, with West Texas Intermediate at approximately $68. Reuters reported a 1 per cent rise in oil prices shortly after the announcement, driven by stronger-than-expected demand signals and a dip in US production projections. Market commentary suggests that the anticipated supply surplus may not materialise until later in the year, allowing current price support to persist.

However, concern is building among forecasters regarding the risk of supply outpacing demand in the months ahead. Analysts at ING and Bloomberg caution that cumulative increases—including a potential similar rise in September—could tilt the market towards surplus by winter. Goldman Sachs predicts Brent could drop to an average of $59 in the fourth quarter if these trendlines hold. Such projections underscore the delicate balance between stabilising markets today and sowing the seeds of tomorrow’s oversupply.

Geopolitical factors continue to sway market sentiment. Renewed attacks by Houthi forces on shipping lanes in the Red Sea have boosted risk premiums and contributed to diverging regional price dynamics. In conjunction with potential US tariffs on trade partners, these developments inject layers of complexity into demand forecasts and shipping routes. Meanwhile, softer oil output projections from US shale producers, prompted by lower prices this year, have lent additional upward momentum to benchmarks.

Central to OPEC+ strategy is ensuring investment resilience in producing countries. UAE highlighted underinvestment concerns, warning that deferred spending could undermine long-term supply stability. The August lift, they argue, responds to both short-term demand and the need to signal commitment to investors. Kuwait pointed to customer outreach as evidence of healthy demand and stressed its competitive edge in terms of low-cost, lower-carbon intensity oil—a differentiator in markets such as China, Japan and South Korea.

Market analysts remain split on the outlook. Enverus Intelligence Research recently contended that prevailing data does not support a bearish narrative, noting flat stock levels in OECD countries, strong seasonal consumption, and resilient cracks. By contrast, energy consultancy FGE flagged the limitations of ramping up production, citing member compliance and infrastructure constraints that may prevent full implementation of quotas—particularly in Iraq and Kazakhstan.

Suhail bin Mohammed Al Mazrouei, Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, reaffirmed the UAE’s full backing for OPEC+ mechanisms, underlining the nation’s commitment to sustaining equilibrium in global oil markets through capacity expansion and coordinated policy.

At the 9th OPEC International Seminar in Vienna on 9 July, Al Mazrouei praised OPEC+ for its collective decision‑making model, which he said ensures production responds to actual market demand rather than price speculation. He noted that the UAE’s strategic investments in expanding production capacity reflect a readiness to release additional oil when consumption trends warrant, providing a stabilising buffer to global supply. The minister highlighted that this expansion aligns with prudent leadership foresight aimed at reinforcing market resilience.

He emphasised that there has been no substantial rise in inventories despite several months of gradual production increases. “Even with the increases…we haven’t seen a major buildup in inventories, which means the market needed those barrels,” he stated. This observation supports broader OPEC+ data showing that successive monthly output increments have been absorbed by demand, a trend that the UAE believes underlines the rationality behind its expanded quota.

Since April, OPEC+ has reversed approximately 2.17 million barrels per day of voluntary output cuts via a phased rollout: 138,000 bpd in April, then 411,000 bpd in each of May, June and July, followed by a proposed 548,000 bpd increase for August – a move reflecting growing market confidence. Notably, the UAE is set to complete a 300,000 bpd quota increase by September, a benchmark reached ahead of the original 2026 timeline as OPEC+ expedited its capacity hike schedule.

Analysts suggest that such robust production gains could recover roughly 2.5 per cent of global demand by September. Al Mazrouei remarked that the UAE’s investments will strengthen its role within OPEC+ and that once additional capacity comes online, it will serve as a crucial stabilising factor during demand shifts.

He further argued that focusing solely on oil price levels is insufficient. Rather, OPEC+ aims to strike a sustainable balance that encourages long‑term investment. “We need the price to be right for investments to happen,” he said, warning of the consequences of underinvestment across producers.

Current market dynamics appear to confirm this approach: data from mid‑June and early July indicate that inventories across OECD nations remained stable despite the production uptick, confirming demand absorption remains robust. That observation, Al Mazrouei suggested, validates the pace of OPEC+ supply restoration and diminishes concern about a looming oversupply.

While output is increasing, policy is cautious. The Group of Eight core OPEC+ members—Saudi Arabia, Russia, UAE, Kuwait, Oman, Iraq, Kazakhstan and Algeria—are proceeding in measured increments. Al Mazrouei underscored that OPEC+ continues to meet monthly via ministerial and committee reviews, carefully calibrating production relative to shifting market fundamentals.

Beyond ensuring balance, the UAE’s production capacity expansion also carries strategic benefits. Having secured a higher individual quota, the country aims to restore and extend its market share. This reinforcement was acknowledged by external observers, including Richard Bronze of Energy Aspects, who noted “the UAE is benefiting from this speeding up of the quota increases” within a context of broader OPEC+ output acceleration.

Despite concerns about slowing economies in key importers, including China, and rising US trade tensions, OPEC+ retains a cautiously optimistic outlook. Prices in July experienced modest one‑per‑cent gains near $69 per barrel following the announcement of the August supply increase—an indicator that demand continues to absorb the additional volumes.

Nevertheless, OPEC+ remains vigilant about macroeconomic risks. Commentators have warned that demand softness later this year, driven by uncertainties in global growth and trade policies, could pressurise prices. Al Mazrouei echoed that view, stressing that short‑term supply increases must be accompanied by stable investment in oil infrastructure to prevent future shortages.

Persistent coordinated production strategy is a central theme from the Vienna seminar. Ministers emphasised OPEC+’s response to shifting fundamentals rather than geopolitical or speculative impulses. With the group moving to complete the unwind of emergency cuts, markets will closely monitor whether global demand continues to match supply advances.

Iran has achieved its highest energy output in nearly half a century, as crude production and exports continue expanding despite escalating tensions and Western sanctions. In 2024, total oil output—including crude and gas liquids—reached approximately 5.1 million barrels per day, marking levels unseen since before 1978. Indicators from the first half of 2025 signal further growth, reinforcing Tehran’s stance that its energy sector remains resilient even under pressure.

China remains the principal destination for Iranian crude. According to Vortexa and Kpler data, Beijing imported an average of 1.4 million bpd of Iranian crude and condensate during the first half of 2025. In June alone, Chinese imports surged to a record 1.8 million bpd, exploiting floating storage reserves accumulated previously.

Despite U. S. legal restrictions, these volumes endure through intricate shipping methods and discounts. As of June, Iranian crude was being sold to China at discounts of $3.30–$3.50 per barrel below Brent—the widest spread since 2023—partly triggered by weak demand from independent Chinese “teapot” refineries and additional U. S. sanctions on mid-tier processing firms in Shandong province. Refineries such as these have cut utilisation rates to around 51 per cent, down from 64 per cent last year.

Iran’s export capacity has been safeguarded by infrastructural alternatives designed to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. The Goreh‑Jask pipeline and Jask terminal—capable of exporting around 300,000 bpd—offer strategic flexibility, although actual utilisation fell to under 70,000 bpd in late 2024. Elsewhere, Saudi Arabia and the UAE have also enhanced their own bypass routes through the Strait to mitigate risk.

Nonetheless, current events pose fresh challenges. Israeli strikes in June damaged parts of oil infrastructure near Tehran and affected the South Pars gas field—responsible for up to 700,000 bpd of condensate. Exports from key terminals such as Kharg Island briefly dropped below 120,000 bpd from a weekly average of 1.7 million bpd. However, Iran manages significant stockpiles—approximately 27.5 million barrels afloat—that can sustain exports for weeks.

Domestic dynamics complicate this energy story further. Iran’s gasoline consumption has outpaced refining capacity by nearly 15–20 per cent since late 2024, triggering reliance on reserves and imports to fill shortfalls. Peak summer demand reached unprecedented levels, surpassing 143 million litres in a single day. Panic-buying followed some military strikes, exposing strains in planning and supply.

Iran’s global energy standing aligns with broader market projections. The International Energy Agency forecasts that global oil supply will exceed demand in 2025 by around 1.8 million bpd, a backdrop that may soften impacts from Iranian output. At the same time, discussions in Washington about lifting U. S. sanctions have raised concerns in Beijing, particularly for its fragmented independent refining sector. Analysts warn that a sudden lifting of sanctions could flood global markets—with an additional 500,000 bpd of Iranian oil—and undercut smaller Chinese players by crushing their margins.

Iran’s energy strategy shows calculated resilience. While nuclear tensions invite military risks, the oil ministry appears intent on diversifying markets, expanding infrastructure, and leveraging geopolitical leverage. Iran Daily reported that production comprised 4.3 million bpd of crude plus around 0.7 million bpd of other liquids in 2024. Analysts advocate that increased domestic use, ageing facilities, and investment gaps could temper the pace of future gains unless Tehran secures long-term funding and technical partnerships.

Observers note the inherent paradox: Iran continues ramping production even as global energy security faces renewed uncertainty. Control over chokepoints such as the Strait of Hormuz remains central. Although no full closure has occurred—the Iranian parliament proposed closure in late June pending council approval—the symbolic threat alone underlines Tehran’s strategic positioning. Global markets, buoyed by inventories and diversified routes, have so far absorbed the shock. Yet any escalation could rapidly unsettle thresholds.

OPEC+ has opted to raise oil production by approximately 548,000 barrels per day in August, marking a sharp departure from earlier plans and surprising markets worldwide. The move, confirmed in a brief video conference, is projected to accumulate a surplus towards the close of the year, potentially eroding revenues for both OPEC members and higher-cost producers, including US shale firms.

With Brent crude prices slipping over 1% to around $67.50 and West Texas Intermediate falling to the mid‑$65 range, the group’s decision has already begun to ripple through markets. The scale of the increase is unprecedented compared to prior months—more than 130% larger than April’s hike and substantially above the 411,000 bpd rise earlier this summer.

Leaders within OPEC+ signalled that this shift reflects a strategic pivot: from defending elevated prices to asserting market share. Saudi Arabia, the group’s dominant force, spearheaded the increase, while also raising premiums for Arab Light crude sold to Asian markets—a move widely interpreted as a signal of confidence in near-term demand.

Analysts emphasise that current market structure is supportive of absorbing this surge. UBS’s Giovanni Staunovo remarked that “the oil market remains tight, suggesting it can absorb additional barrels,” though he cautioned about potential headwinds from macroeconomic uncertainties and lingering trade tensions in the next 6–12 months. Similarly, Reuters reporting notes that the decision followed assessments of low inventories and healthy economic indicators.

US President Donald Trump, whose administration has repeatedly lobbied for lower fuel costs domestically, is widely seen as a direct beneficiary of this policy. OPEC+ officials framed the increase as responsive to US pressure, with Saudi Arabia effectively stepping into a balancing role ahead of diplomatic visits.

Nevertheless, market watchers warn of mounting risks. RBC Capital projects that around 80% of the voluntary cuts—a total of 2.2 million bpd—will be reversed by September, hinting at oversupply. Financial institutions such as Morgan Stanley anticipate Brent could slide below $60 by early 2026, while ING and Barclays have also trimmed their forecasts in response to expanding inventories.

Geopolitical variables add further complexity. Though Middle Eastern tensions have eased since the brief flare‑up between Israel and Iran, any resurgence in conflict could inject volatility into the supply outlook. Moreover, internal cohesion within OPEC+ remains fragile, with nations such as Kazakhstan and Iraq reportedly exceeding quotas in recent months.

US domestic production continues its ascent, as data shows output from shale and other sources has hit record levels—adding to potential global gluts. The prospect of elevated US tariffs and slowing economic momentum could further suppress demand, amplifying price pressures.

Even so, OPEC+ remains optimistic in the short run. Saudi Arabia’s decision to lift regional premiums and analysts’ assessments of supportive market conditions reinforce this stance.

As this enlarged supply enters the market, price-sensitive producers such as US shale operators may face tighter margins. Global capitals will closely follow whether OPEC+ sustains this production path or retreats in the face of a deepening surplus.

Dubai’s Knowledge and Human Development Authority has confirmed that three esteemed international institutions—the Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, the American University of Beirut, and Saudi Arabia’s Fakeeh College for Medical Sciences—will launch branch campuses in the emirate for the 2025–26 academic year. This move aligns with Dubai’s strategic Education 33 and broader Dubai Economic Agenda D33, designed to enhance its status as a global education hub.

The Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad is renowned for its Business and Management programme, currently ranked 27th globally by the QS World University Rankings by subject. The American University of Beirut holds a position of 237th in the overall QS World University Rankings. Fakeeh College for Medical Sciences brings specialised strength in health and medical education to Dubai’s portfolio.

Dr Wafi Dawood, CEO of KHDA’s Strategic Development Sector, emphasised that the initiative “reflects the emirate’s international stature” and aligns with goals to enhance graduate competitiveness, boost educational tourism ten-fold by 2033, broaden Emirati workforce integration, and bolster economic diversification. The strategy also aims to see international students making up 50 per cent of Dubai’s higher education population by 2033, contributing an estimated AED 5.6 billion to the sector’s GDP.

Dubai’s higher education ecosystem already includes 41 private international providers—37 of which are branch campuses—including the University of Manchester Dubai and University of Birmingham Dubai, whose home institutions rank 35th and 76th respectively in QS 2026. Curtin University Dubai and University of Wollongong in Dubai also feature within the top 200 global rankings.

The emirate recorded a 20 per cent rise in total private university enrolment for 2024–25, with international students growing by 29 per cent to reach over 42,000 across more than 700 programmes. This marks the highest student population to date in Dubai’s sector.

A broader pipeline is in place, with several other globally ranked institutions currently in advanced discussions with KHDA to establish Dubai campuses. The initiative supports Dubai’s ambition to position itself among the world’s top ten cities for university education by 2033.

Dubai International Academic City, the emirate’s dedicated higher education zone, accommodates around 27,500 students across 27 colleges and three innovation centres, offering over 500 programmes. Many of the new branch campuses are expected to be located within DIAC or Dubai Knowledge Park, reinforcing the emirate’s capacity for transnational education.

Amid growing demand, student housing projects have expanded to meet the needs of a diverse population representing more than 150 nationalities. Dubai’s education authorities have also prioritised research collaboration and academic innovation through cross-border partnerships, consistent with KHDA’s quality framework.

Amazon has unveiled a new mobile‑only shopping section called Bazaar within its Amazon. ae app in the UAE, delivering value‑focused products across fashion, home and lifestyle categories. Launching initially in beta for select users, the platform offers items priced mostly under AED 25, with some starting at just AED 4, alongside tiered savings, fast delivery, and a 15‑day returns policy.

Stefano Martinelli, Vice‑President of Amazon MENA, said Bazaar is meant to be “fun and effortless to browse”, offering the trusted reliability of Amazon combined with surprising value. A launch‑month promotion grants shoppers a 25 per cent discount across all Bazaar purchases in July.

Accessible via the “Bazaar” icon in the Amazon. ae app or by searching “Bazaar”, the platform also supports browsing on mobile web at amazon. ae/bazaar. Desktop users must scan a QR code in the browser to open the feature within the app.

Bazaar has its own search, cart and checkout system, distinct from the main Amazon experience. The interface is vibrant and purpose‑built for quick deal discovery. The platform integrates reviews and star ratings to aid user decisions.

Delivery is standard across Amazon Bazaar accounts: orders above AED 90 qualify for free shipping and typically arrive within 6–12 days. Returns are free within 15 days for most products.

Beyond initial price advantage, Bazaar encourages bulk purchases with automatic discounts: 5 per cent off orders over AED 150, and 10 per cent off for orders over AED 300. Combined with the launch‑month 25 per cent promotion, savings can accumulate significantly.

In the UAE’s booming e‑commerce environment—forecast to exceed US$ 13.8 billion by 2029—Bazaar positions Amazon to capture more bargain‑seeking consumers, complementing existing daily‑need offerings.

Dharmesh Mehta, Vice‑President at Amazon, referred to the local variant as Amazon Bazaa r or “Amazon Haul” as in other markets, noting its alignment with prior launches in the US, UK, Germany and Saudi Arabia. Gulf Business, Khaleej Times, What’s On, Times of India and Arabian Business all report that Bazaar has launched in the UAE over the past week, emphasising its mobile‑first approach and bargain pricing.

Analysts say the platform could strengthen Amazon’s value proposition in the region and give competitors like Noon, Carrefour, and Mumzworld a run for their money in the low‑cost segment. Bazaar’s playful app interface—especially its “crazy‑low” deals and under‑AED 25 “super savers” sections—appeals to price‑sensitive shoppers.

A coalition of eight OPEC+ nations is preparing to approve another increase in oil production for August, locking in a 411,000 barrels‑per‑day boost during their meeting on Saturday. The group—comprising Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kuwait, Oman, Iraq, Kazakhstan and Algeria—has steadily wound back earlier cuts, reversing a 2.2 million bpd reduction begun in April.

Market analysts note that this would mark the fourth straight monthly escalation, totaling around 1.78 million bpd so far this year—equivalent to more than 1.5 per cent of global oil consumption. While the group has repeatedly implemented these increases, actual output has varied, as some members still clamp down to make up for past quota overshoots.

A shift ahead of schedule

OPEC+ fast‑tracked this weekend’s gathering by one day, underscoring its urgency to reclaim market share amid rising competition, particularly from U. S. shale producers. This realignment follows a strategy change observed across May, June and July, a pivot away from enforced cuts towards restoration of production volumes.

Internal friction persists

Tensions within the group continue, especially with Kazakhstan. The country’s June output reached record levels—1.88 million bpd—far exceeding its quota, as Chevron’s expansion at the Tengiz field ramped up operations. Other members, observing tighter compliance, have expressed frustration over these deviations. Observers suggest the bulk output increases serve multiple purposes: penalising over‑producers and deterring further deviations by rewarding compliant members.

Price and market reception

Brent crude recently edged lower, trading in the mid‑$60s per barrel, partly due to assurances that supply will remain ample, and also on uncertainties around U. S. tariff policy. Analysts at ING and Morgan Stanley expect prices to hover near $60‑$67, citing well‑supplied markets. Goldman Sachs forecasts a similar output increase at 0.41 mbpd and anticipates stable production after August, projecting average Brent prices around $60 in 2025.

HSBC, meanwhile, warned that ongoing supply hikes could push Brent below $65 in the fourth quarter, predicting mounting market surplus through 2026 and into 2027.

Strategic trade‑offs

OPEC+ appears to be walking a tightrope between market share expansion and price support. The rollout of successive supply increases challenges the group’s previous aim of bolstering prices. Analysts from Energy Aspects and RBC’s Helima Croft view this as a deliberate shift: smoothing out supply reductions to prevent erosion of influence, while retaining flexibility to respond to demand surprises.

Geopolitical context also features in the calculus. The group continues to factor in global uncertainties—such as U. S. tariff threats and geopolitical strains in the Middle East—into its supply decisions. Saudi Arabia is expected to raise its official selling prices to Asia in August, even amid the production uptick, reflecting efforts to defend revenue amid market volatility.

Looking ahead, market watchers will scrutinise whether all eight members will fully support the proposed increase—or whether some seek a more aggressive supply push above the already ambitious 411,000 bpd figure.