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Oman will become the first Gulf Cooperation Council nation to impose a personal income tax, mandating a 5 per cent levy on individuals whose gross annual income exceeds OMR 42,000 from 1 January 2028, under Royal Decree No 56/2025. The newly enacted law, spanning 76 articles across 16 chapters, represents a historic policy shift aimed at diversifying the Sultanate’s revenue sources beyond hydrocarbons.

The Tax Authority has confirmed that this threshold renders roughly 99 per cent of the populace exempt, targeting only the top one per cent of earners. The fairness-driven approach includes deductions for education, healthcare, primary housing, zakat, charitable donations and inheritance, signalling a progressive and socially aware stance.

Finance Minister Said bin Mohammed Al‑Saqri framed the move as integral to bolstering fiscal sustainability, shielding the Sultanate from oil revenue fluctuations, and advancing Oman Vision 2040. The authority anticipates non-oil revenue will rise to 15 per cent of GDP by 2030 and 18 per cent by 2040, marking a significant realignment of economic priorities.

Preparations are well underway. Karima Mubarak Al Saadi, director of the Personal Income Tax Project, noted that the tax infrastructure—including electronic filing systems integrated with government databases—and regulatory frameworks have been established. Executive regulations are expected within a year of publication in the Official Gazette, ensuring sufficient lead‑time for implementation.

International observers see the move as part of a broader Gulf fiscal transformation. Thomas Vanhee of Aurifer Middle East Tax Consultancy commented that Oman’s decision may anticipate IMF guidance encouraging Gulf states to broaden revenue bases. While income tax may challenge the region’s historic appeal to expatriates, Gulf nations including the UAE and Saudi Arabia have already introduced VAT and corporate taxes, signalling an irreversible shift.

Analysts emphasise that the low flat rate and high exemption point strike a balance between revenue generation and retaining competitiveness. Oil revenue accounts for up to 85 per cent of Oman’s public income, and this reform is expected to reinforce fiscal buffers while maintaining social equity.

Economic research by Gulf‑based think‑tanks confirms that the tax’s fiscal impact is modest, contributing under 1 per cent of GDP initially, but holds strategic value in funding non-hydrocarbon sectors such as education, healthcare, housing and social safety nets. For investors, the tax signals enhanced fiscal resilience and potential stability in public financing.

Despite the progressive rollout and social safeguard measures, policy challenges remain. The effective administration of personal income tax will demand efficiency, public awareness and compliance. Authorities appear to have addressed this proactively, expanding staff training and preparing guidance materials for both individuals and businesses.

Bitcoin continues to hover above the US $100,000 mark, yet the network’s on‑chain activity tells a contrasting story. Overall transaction counts have declined sharply—from over 730,000 daily in 2023–24 to between 320,000 and 500,000 so far in 2025—while average transaction values surge, indicating that large investors are driving activity.

Despite fewer overall movements, the economic weight of each transaction remains high. Daily on‑chain settlement averages around US $7.5 billion, peaking at US $16 billion when Bitcoin briefly pierced its all‑time high of US $111.7 thousand. That amounts to an average transaction value of about US $36.2 thousand—dramatically higher than before.

The evidence points to a concentration in high‑value transfers. Transactions exceeding US $100,000 now account for nearly 89 percent of on‑chain volume—a stark increase from around 66 percent in late 2022—while transfers under that threshold have dwindled. Smaller wallets and lower‑value senders are increasingly absent from the blockchain.

Transaction fees are also bucking historical trends. In previous bull markets, network congestion drove fees higher. Now, with Bitcoin nearing all‑time highs, miner fee revenue has dropped to just US $558,000 per day—markedly low in comparison to past cycles. This divergence demonstrates muted block‑space demand despite soaring prices.

Meanwhile, trading activity is shifting decisively off‑chain. Centralised exchanges now dominate, with combined spot, futures and options volumes estimated at seven to 16 times greater than on‑chain settlement values. Futures markets alone trade roughly US $57 billion per day on average, peaking at US $122 billion in November 2024. Spot volumes, although smaller, remain robust, averaging US $10 billion daily.

Total open interest in Bitcoin futures and options has reached about US $96.2 billion. Notably, collateral structures have improved; stablecoin‑margined positions now dominate the derivatives landscape—an encouraging sign of reduced systemic risk following the collapse of FTX.

The on‑chain/off‑chain divergence shapes a nuanced picture: Bitcoin’s price resilience stems less from broad public usage and more from concentrated institutional flows and leveraged activity in centralised markets. While large holders continue to shift substantial sums on‑chain, much of the ecosystem’s vitality lies within off‑chain derivatives.

OKX is considering a US initial public offering following its April relaunch in America, which came after the exchange paid a total of $505 million to settle Department of Justice charges for operating without a money-transmitting licence. The settlement comprised an $84 million fine and the forfeiture of $421 million in earnings, predominantly drawn from institutional activity.

The Seychelles-based platform formally pleaded guilty to US anti‑money‑laundering and Know Your Customer deficiencies, marking a significant compliance turnaround. Its re-entry strategy included appointing Roshan Robert, former Barclays director, as its US CEO and establishing a regional headquarters in San Jose, California. The focus is on a phased rollout of a centralised exchange and the OKX Wallet, which supports 130 blockchains and a DEX aggregator with access to more than 10 million tokens.

Insiders suggest that buoyed by regained US compliance and growing user demand, OKX is now assessing an IPO as early as the first quarter of 2026. Such a move would mark its shift from a privately held crypto entity to a publicly accountable company, increasing transparency and potentially assuring investors and regulators alike of its commitment to best practice.

Industry observers note that OKX’s ambition aligns with broader trends in the crypto space. Rivals such as Coinbase underwent similar transitions, leveraging IPOs to enhance visibility and unlock capital for product development. OKX’s path, however, is distinguished by its heavier regulatory baggage and the scale of its US re-entry, which could either strengthen its credibility or raise fresh scrutiny.

Market analysts highlight several factors that could influence the success of an IPO. These include OKX’s ability to sustain compliance upgrades, the performance of its US exchange and wallet division, and the overall sentiment in financial markets towards regulated crypto firms. The firm’s leadership anticipates that demonstrating stringent compliance and deep liquidity will be pivotal in securing investor confidence.

According to statements from OKX’s Star Xu, the exchange aspires to become “the gold standard of global compliance at scale,” an ambition underscored by its decision to engage a compliance consultant post‑settlement.

The timing of the potential IPO is crucial. Market conditions in early 2026 will determine valuation and investor appetite, particularly if macroeconomic headwinds or equity market volatility persist. OKX will also compete for attention with other crypto entrants, including those preparing to go public or seeking regulatory approval for spot Bitcoin ETFs.

OKX insiders stress that success hinges on execution in several areas: maintaining licence approvals in multiple jurisdictions, expanding US user adoption, and integrating fiat ramps to bolster accessibility. The San Jose hub is positioned as a central node for regulatory engagement, staff expansion, and innovation, with the US team reportedly growing aggressively since April.

Should OKX proceed with an IPO, it will signal a full-circle moment—from prosecution and penalties to listing on a major US exchange. The move would also put it in direct competition with publicly traded peers, raising expectations for quarterly reporting, rigorous audits, and adherence to US securities law.

Regulators will likely scrutinise OKX’s filings, probing its past compliance gaps and evaluating its new internal controls. Investors and analysts will examine user metrics, trading volumes, fee structures, and the viability of the wallet service as revenue drivers. The success or failure of OKX’s US debut could shape the narrative for other non-US crypto exchanges contemplating public listings.

Cloud computing giants AWS, Google, Microsoft, Meta and OpenAI are accelerating in-house development of custom application‑specific integrated circuits, aiming to erode NVIDIA’s dominance in high‑performance AI datacentres. Industry reports highlight a projected annual growth rate of around 50% for ASIC purchases by hyperscalers, marking a strategic pivot in the AI hardware landscape.

NVIDIA’s premium-priced solutions—including Blackwell GPUs—have placed pressure on hyperscalers to secure more cost‑efficient, scalable systems. With single GPUs ranging from $70,000 to $80,000 and fully configured servers tallying up to $3 million, these companies are betting on internal design to manage costs and supply risks.

Amazon Web Services has notably moved ahead with its in‑house chips—Trainium for training and Inferentia for inference—reporting 30 – 40% greater cost efficiency compared with NVIDIA hardware. AWS is also collaborating with Marvell and Taiwan’s Alchip on next‑generation Trainium versions. Internal indications suggest AWS may deploy as many as half‑a‑million ASIC units in its data centres, an expansive scale‑up that could rival NVIDIA’s installed base.

Google, meanwhile, has scaled its TPU v6 Trillium chips, transitioning from single‑supplier to dual‑supplier design by partnering with MediaTek. With deployments reportedly hitting 100,000‑unit clusters to support Gemini 2.0 workloads, Google claims competitive cost-performance metrics relative to NVIDIA GPUs. Microsoft’s forthcoming Maia 200 chip, co‑designed with GUC using TSMC’s 3 nm process, is scheduled for commercial release in 2026.

Meta’s Meta Training and Inference Accelerator, developed alongside Broadcom, Socionext and GUC, is expected in early 2026 on TSMC’s 3 nm node, featuring HBM3e memory—another step towards self‑sufficiency in AI compute. OpenAI has also announced a proprietary training processor, with mass production anticipated at TSMC by 2026.

Market projections reflect this tectonic shift. ASICs are poised to claim between $100 billion and $130 billion of custom AI accelerator spend by 2030, with Broadcom estimating a market of $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027. Traditional ASIC powerhouses—Broadcom, Marvell, MediaTek, Alchip and GUC—are experiencing surging demand as they support hyperscaler transitions.

Despite these developments, hyperscalers continue to reserve capacity for NVIDIA chips, recognising the GPU giant’s entrenched ecosystem—especially its CUDA software stack—and the steep technical barriers to immediate elimination of GPU dependencies.

The trend resembles historical transitions in specialised compute. Just as cryptocurrency mining moved from GPUs to ASICs for lower costs and greater efficiency, hyperscalers now aim to fragment the AI compute supply chain and diversify their hardware portfolios.

TSMC stands to benefit significantly, serving as the foundry for both NVIDIA’s mass‑market GPUs and hyperscaler ASICs. Its chairman emphasises that the competition between NVIDIA and cloud‑designed chips is ultimately beneficial to TSMC, ensuring a broad customer base.

Broadcom has emerged as a frontrunner, with its ASIC and networking chipset revenues soaring 220% to $12.2 billion in 2024. Hyperscalers are investing in clusters featuring up to one million custom XPUs over open‑Ethernet networks—an architecture that places Broadcom and Marvell in strategic positions. Networking ASICs are expected to account for 15–20% of AI data‑centre silicon budgets, rising from the 5–10% range.

Revenue trends reflect these structural shifts. Marvell has secured a multi‑year AI chip deal with AWS and anticipates its AI silicon revenue jumping from $550 million in 2024 to over $2.5 billion in 2026. Broadcom, similarly, is redirecting significant investment toward hyperscaler ASIC demand.

Nevertheless, NVIDIA retains a commanding lead in AI training and general‑purpose GPU compute. Its end‑to‑end platform—from hardware to software—remains deeply embedded in the AI ecosystem. Custom ASICs, by contrast, offer task‑specific gains but lack the breadth of software compatibility that NVIDIA enables.

Analysts caution that the AI compute landscape is evolving toward a more fragmented, mixed‑architecture model combining GPUs and ASICs. Hyperscalers’ shift signals strategic recognition of rising costs, supply constraints, and performance demands. Yet, they also underscore persistent obstacles: software ecosystem maturity, long development cycles, and the complexity of large‑scale deployment.

Questions remain regarding the timeframe in which hyperscalers can meaningfully shift workloads away from NVIDIA GPUs. Industry roadmaps project new ASIC deployments through 2026–27. Analysts expect GPU market share erosion may begin toward the end of the decade, provided in-house ASICs deliver consistent performance and efficiency.

The stage is set for a multi‑year contest in datacentre compute. NVIDIA faces increasing pressure from hyperscalers building bespoke chips to optimise workloads and control supply. The next evolution of AI infrastructure may look less like a GPU‑centric world and more like a diverse ecosystem of specialised, interlocking processors.

UAE authorities have successfully airlifted both citizens and expatriate residents from Iran amid mounting regional tensions stemming from the ongoing Israel–Iran conflict. These evacuation flights were carried out in full coordination with Iranian officials, who provided necessary transit clearances and logistical assistance, according to the UAE’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation.

Passengers greeted on arrival in Abu Dhabi included Emirati nationals and resident visa holders. Some were visibly emotional—footage released by WAM showed arrivals embracing airport staff, while others knelt in gratitude upon disembarking. UAE officials confirmed that all evacuees underwent health screening and security checks; no medical emergencies were reported during the operation.

The decision to evacuate was prompted by intensifying hostilities between Iran and Israel, which have resulted in reciprocal missile and drone strikes targeting Iran’s nuclear and military infrastructure. Since 13 June, airspace closures across Iran and neighbouring countries have disrupted commercial flights, leaving many foreign nationals stranded.

While Tehran’s nuclear sites have been under attack, Tehran’s government issued public messages minimising panic, yet civilians promptly fled towards northern provinces, leading to fuel shortages, transport gridlocks, and relief operations along highways. Over 100,000 people are believed to have relocated internally by 15 June, while a few hundred foreign evacuees have used authorised border crossings to exit Iran.

UAE’s timely action reflects an expansion of its foreign crisis response capabilities, built through previous evacuations from conflict zones such as Ukraine, Sudan, and Afghanistan. Evacuating via a mix of chartered aircraft and government-operated flights, the UAE used carefully planned air routes to skirt high-risk regions.

Parallel efforts by Gulf neighbours highlight broader regional coordination. Bahrain, Oman and others secured safe passage for their own nationals via land and air corridors; Oman alone registered over 150 evacuees through Bandar Abbas and Iraq logistics networks. Countries including India, China, the US, Germany and Poland activated repatriation schemes—India’s “Operation Sindhu” successfully repatriated 110 nationals through Armenia by 18 June.

While evacuation pipelines opened, Dubai and Abu Dhabi remain operational, and companies across the Gulf are updating contingency plans amid concerns over possible spill‑over and disruptions to critical infrastructure. Risk advisory firms are reporting heightened demand for intelligence services, crisis preparedness, and staff security measures.

The UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs has reiterated its call for diplomacy as the sole pathway to stability. Its continuous diplomatic outreach has involved deep engagement with international partners and a strong appeal to the UN Security Council to broker de‑escalation amid what it describes as “exceptional circumstances”.

The evacuation marks a rare cooperative moment between the UAE and Iran, whose bilateral relations have at times been strained. Yet Iranian authorities’ facilitation of access to airports and transit permissions demonstrated a mutual willingness to protect civilians from broader geopolitical fallout.

With all Gulf evacuations through this phase concluded, attention now turns to whether diplomatic avenues will succeed in preventing further civilian displacement. Businesses and governments remain on alert, reinforcing emergency protocols and intelligence monitoring systems to safeguard personnel and operations in the face of uncertainty.