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Traders on the U. S. prediction market Kalshi are assigning a 55 percent chance that Bitcoin will exceed $130,000 by the end of 2025, with probabilities of 34 percent for surpassing $140,000 and 24 percent for topping $150,000. That places the market’s expected annual high at roughly $132,000.

Those figures reflect a steadily intensifying optimism about Bitcoin’s trajectory, drawing attention from institutional and retail participants alike. Kalshi’s “How high will Bitcoin get this year?” market is driving price discovery around extreme outcomes for the cryptocurrency.

That optimism today sits alongside growing institutional flows into related assets. Bitcoin spot ETF issuers have been attracting multi-billion dollar inflows across several jurisdictions; analysts view that as a cornerstone of structural demand, tightening supply in spot markets. At the same time, the derivatives market is registering sharply skewed positioning in favour of upside moves, especially in out-of-the-money call options.

Crypto research platforms note that exchange reserves of Bitcoin are at multi-year lows, meaning a smaller buffer for large sell orders to exert downward pressure. Some large holders are moving coins to cold storage or long-term custody, reducing the circulating float further. That dynamic can magnify even moderate inflows into a pronounced price rise.

Macroeconomic factors are reinforcing these tailwinds. Markets broadly expect the U. S. Federal Reserve to shift toward a less restrictive stance in the months ahead, which would lower the opportunity cost of holding a risk asset like Bitcoin. Inflation pressures, geopolitical uncertainty, and currency devaluation narratives have been pushing capital toward non-sovereign stores of value — a trend some asset allocators perceive as supportive for digital assets.

Kalshi itself has expanded rapidly. In October 2025, the company announced growth into over 140 countries following a $300 million funding round that values it at $5 billion. This capital boost is intended to improve infrastructure, broaden partnerships, and scale its product stack beyond simple yes/no event contracts. The valuation surge underscores confidence in prediction markets as a means of tapping collective foresight.

Kalshi is currently viewed as a leader in the prediction-market space, outpacing rivals like Polymarket. As of mid-October, Kalshi’s valuation exceeds that of Polymarket by a wide margin, though the latter retains star appeal in crypto circles.

Roughly $706 million in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours, with long bets accounting for $456 million and shorts making up more than $249 million, according to Coinglass data. Ethereum led by asset class with $234 million in liquidations, Bitcoin followed with $168 million, and other altcoins totaled about $68 million. Meanwhile, U. S. spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded sharp capital withdrawals of $326 million and $428 million respectively, marking a second straight session of outflows for both.

The wave of forced sell-offs comes amid intensifying volatility across crypto markets, driven by macro uncertainties and amplified leverage. Analysts point to U. S.–China trade tensions and abrupt tariff escalations as triggers that rattled institutional positioning. The ensuing “flight to safety” saw leveraged traders squeezed out, pushing volatility higher.

Ethereum’s dominance in the liquidation mix underscores its exposure to leveraged structures: its liquidations outpaced Bitcoin by roughly 40%. That suggests traders running shorter time horizons or more aggressive leverage in the ETH derivatives market. Some observers interpret this as symptomatic of recent rotations within crypto capital flows, where speculative bets on altcoins become more vulnerable during stressed conditions.

ETF outflows add another layer to the stress narrative. The $326 million pulled from spot Bitcoin ETFs and the $428 million withdrawn from Ethereum ETFs reflect a broader retreat by institutional capital. For Ethereum ETFs, Monday’s $428 million exodus represented the steepest daily outflow in several weeks. Within those redemptions, BlackRock’s ETHA alone led with over $310 million withdrawn.

Those moves reverse inflows seen in prior weeks: Ethereum funds had aggregate positive flows of nearly $488 million in the prior week, while Bitcoin products had also drawn substantial capital. Market analysts caution, however, that the shifts may not signal structural withdrawal from crypto exposure but rather tactical repositioning under duress.

Volatility in derivatives markets has drawn scrutiny to structural stress points. Funding rates, margin requirements, and thin liquidity in some trading venues magnify the impacts of sudden directional moves. Experts suggest that while ETF outflows may exacerbate short-term weakness, sustained pressure will hinge on macro stability.

Davidson Kempner Capital Management has inaugurated an office at the Abu Dhabi Global Market, marking its first physical presence in the Gulf and becoming the latest global hedge fund to deepen its footprint in the United Arab Emirates. The new office will be led by partner Chris Krishanthan together with managing director Naveen Sabharwal.

The firm, which manages approximately $37 billion in assets, aims to tap deeper into regional capital flows and align more closely with sovereign and institutional investors across the Gulf Cooperation Council. Tony Yoseloff, managing partner and chief investment officer, described the move as a step to “further expand our investable universe” and strengthen “local relationships in a highly dynamic market.”

For years, Abu Dhabi has steadily worked to position itself as a rival to Dubai in financial services. Its strategy has included tailoring tax incentives, loosening regulatory constraints, and courting global asset managers to relocate or open branches there. As part of this wave, major hedge funds such as Brevan Howard and Marshall Wace have already established bases in ADGM; Davidson Kempner joins their ranks in what is being viewed as a consolidation of the emirate’s appeal to global capital.

The timing dovetails with a broader uptick in cross-regional trading. The CME Group recently reported a 16 percent rise in average daily trading volumes from the Middle East, with hedge fund activity surging nearly 30 percent this year. The firm’s commercial officers noted the region has become its fastest-growing market. Many attributers point to favourable time zones, regulatory allure, and close proximity to sovereign wealth capital as key drivers.

Internally, the ADGM office is intended both as a regional sourcing hub and a local relationship engine. Krishanthan and Sabharwal have previously overseen Davidson Kempner’s Middle Eastern investment activity, so the new base is meant to formalise and deepen ongoing operations. The firm describes its core strategy as rooted in credit and event-driven investing, spanning public and private markets globally.

This expansion comes amid headwinds in certain corners of the firm. In 2024, Davidson Kempner moved to shutter its Distressed Opportunities fund — once managing around $2 billion — as evolving market conditions rendered that strategy less compelling in a constrained restructuring environment. The firm indicated it would reorient distressed allocations into closed-end and multi-strategy vehicles.

Observers see the firm’s Abu Dhabi entry as both adaptive and opportunistic. By embedding itself in ADGM, Davidson Kempner seeks proximity to capital allocators, deal flow, and regional intelligence — all of which matters in markets where local networks and relationships often play outsized roles.

Competition in the region is intensifying. Abu Dhabi’s Lunate recently acquired a minority stake in Brevan Howard, launching a joint investment platform with an initial commitment of $2 billion. Regional investors have also targeted global fund firms for partnerships or co-investment models. That push underscores Abu Dhabi’s ambition to evolve into a globally competitive asset management hub, alongside regulatory hubs like London, Singapore, and Hong Kong.

The International Monetary Fund has lifted its projection for the United Arab Emirates’ economic expansion to 4.8 per cent in 2025 and sees 5.0 per cent growth in 2026, citing accelerating non-hydrocarbon activity and a rebound in oil output.

Stronger-than-expected performance in tourism, construction, trade and financial services is underpinning the upward revision. The IMF attributes resilience to the country’s diversified strategy and structural reforms such as enhanced trade agreements and sustained investment in infrastructure.

Analysts say the revision contrasts sharply with broader regional downgrades. The IMF now expects growth across the Middle East and North Africa to expand by only 2.6 per cent in 2025, constrained by policy uncertainty, volatile energy markets and geopolitical tensions.

Within the UAE, central bank data reinforce the narrative of dual expansion. The non-hydrocarbon sector is forecast to grow by around 4.5 per cent annually in both 2025 and 2026, while the hydrocarbon segment is expected to rebound more sharply—by 5.8 per cent in 2025 and 6.5 per cent in 2026—on increased output as OPEC+ quotas are relaxed.

When IMF staff visited the UAE in January 2025, they noted that domestic demand remained robust amid modest oil production, forecasting real GDP growth at about 4 per cent for the year. They projected that fiscal and external surpluses would remain comfortable, helped by elevated non-oil revenues and cautious fiscal management.

Still, risks linger. The UAE’s banking sector, while well capitalised, faces exposure to real estate, and high house prices pose concerns for asset quality. In mid-2025, exposure to property in banks’ portfolios stood at around 18 to 19 per cent of risk-weighted assets. A sudden shift in investor sentiment or capital flows could test the stability of credit markets.

On the external front, the current account surplus is projected at about 7.5 per cent of GDP, supported by stronger non-oil exports and moderating import growth. Liquidity buffers remain healthy, with international reserves covering more than eight months of imports.

Abidjan — The World Food Programme has secured a US$9.3 million grant from the Korea International Cooperation Agency to support a five-year school meals and resilience programme across northern Côte d’Ivoire. The initiative will target 200 primary schools and 50,000 pupils from 2025 to 2029, backed by support for local farmers and community health efforts.

Under the partnership, WFP will channel the Korean funding into locally sourced, nutritious meals intended to enhance students’ concentration, health and retention. Alongside direct school feeding, 100 farmer groups will receive training and technical assistance to improve crop quality and yield, while forging supply links with school kitchens — aiming to stimulate rural markets and buttress food systems. The programme also includes capacity-building in hygiene and nutrition education, investment in hand-washing stations, and multisectoral coordination with national ministries of education, health and agriculture.

Olivia Hantz, WFP’s Representative and Country Director in Côte d’Ivoire, described the cooperation as “an investment in the country’s future”, noting that bolstering national systems and empowering local producers helps advance both nutrition and resilience. Kim Sangjun, the KOICA Country Director in Côte d’Ivoire, emphasized that linking schools with nearby farmers ensures the programme’s sustainability and reflects Korea’s own experience in leveraging school meals to support development.

Government agencies in Côte d’Ivoire will play a leading role in implementation. The Ministries of National Education and Literacy, Agriculture and Food Production, and Health and Public Hygiene will work through departmental directorates such as the Directorate of School Canteens to integrate this project with national plans. WFP already operates school feeding across 733 schools nationwide, reaching over 166,000 pupils, and this new injection will focus on underserved northern regions.

The strategy centres on what is often called a “home-grown school feeding” model: meals are locally procured, thereby linking educational support with rural livelihoods. This approach is intended not only to support children, but to stimulate smallholder agriculture, strengthen supply chains and reduce dependency on external imports.

Côte d’Ivoire faces persistent inequalities in food access. In rural and northern areas, food insecurity and chronic malnutrition remain major challenges. According to WFP’s internal data, more than 30% of children in those regions suffer from stunting, and households face high post-harvest losses, limited access to credit or inputs, and exposure to climate stresses. WFP’s country briefing from mid-2025 highlights programmes aiming to strengthen climate resilience among women and youth in zones such as Poro by promoting sustainable agricultural practices.

WFP’s school feeding and resilience operations in Côte d’Ivoire are embedded in a broader strategy. The agency seeks to scale national social protection systems, enhance disaster preparedness, and support agriculture-led recovery. The KOICA-funded project aligns with both Côte d’Ivoire’s national development plan, which emphasises human capital and inclusive growth, and with global objectives on nutrition, education and resilience.

Analysts view the agreement as part of a broader trend of South–South development cooperation. Korea has expanded its development financing across Africa in recent years, often emphasising education, agriculture and infrastructure. The model adopted here reflects that emphasis: combining direct welfare support with investment in domestic capacity. For WFP, the strategy offers a way to reduce long-term dependency on donor aid by anchoring programmes in national institutions and markets.

European Commission officials are poised to grant approval to Abu Dhabi’s state oil company for its €14.7 billion acquisition of Germany’s Covestro, conditional on minor adjustments to compliance measures, according to sources familiar with the process. The decision could mark one of the most significant Gulf-to-EU corporate takeovers to date.

Brussels opened a detailed investigation into the deal earlier this year under its Foreign Subsidies Regulation, citing concerns that the United Arab Emirates might have leveraged state-backed advantages—such as an unlimited state guarantee and pledged capital injections—to win the bid. The Commission’s probe, initially suspended in September pending additional information, has now resumed as ADNOC submits remedial proposals.

In its revised remedy package, ADNOC has committed to removing language referencing the unlimited guarantee from Covestro’s articles of association and to preserving Covestro’s intellectual property within Europe. Sources suggest the Commission may insist on further tweaks before final clearance, but no major restructuring is expected.

ADNOC’s international investment arm, XRG, has framed the concessions as reflective of its long-term investor stance and asserted confidence that the proposals are “robust and proportionate.” The supreme size of the deal amplifies scrutiny—a deal described by analysts as ADNOC’s largest ever and among the biggest foreign acquisitions of a European company by a Gulf state.

Opponents and industry peers have raised flags about the competitive effects of the transaction. Critics argue that ADNOC’s state backing might have deterred rival bidders, distorting the playing field in Europe’s chemicals sector. Regulators collected feedback from market participants as part of the remedy review, a standard stage in EU merger oversight.

In September, the EU paused its review, citing gaps in the information submitted by the parties. ADNOC responded by accusing the Commission of issuing “disproportionate and invasive” demands. It warned such tactics jeopardised the deal’s viability. Brussels has indicated it will reset its decision deadline after receiving all necessary material. Its previous deadline had been 2 December.

Analysts suggest that the minimal expected adjustments reflect the Commission’s confidence that the core concerns have been addressed. Some believe that failure to clear the deal now would signal strained investment relations between EU institutions and sovereign-backed acquirers. Others caution that even small remedial changes—especially on governance rights or intellectual property handling—could materially alter deal returns.

Covestro, a leader in polymer materials, chemicals, coatings and adhesives, stands to bolster its growth potential under ADNOC’s ownership. The acquisition aligns with ADNOC’s drive to diversify beyond hydrocarbons toward higher-value downstream chemical operations. Yet the deal also pits strategic ambition against regulatory sensitivity—a balancing act now unfolding in the corridors of Brussels.

Alphabet’s Google will commit $10 billion to develop a 1-gigawatt data centre and artificial intelligence infrastructure in Visakhapatnam, Andhra Pradesh, marking its largest investment in India to date, state officials have confirmed. A formal MoU is to be signed today to solidify the partnership.

The data centre campus across three sites — Tarluvada, Adavivaram and Rambilli — will form a hyperscale cluster integrated with AI computing capacity, robust fibre-optic links and dedicated power supply, including renewable energy sources. The initiative is central to Andhra Pradesh’s ambition to scale its data centre capacity to 6 GW over the coming years.

Ahead of the MoU signing, Chief Minister N. Chandrababu Naidu and Union ministers are expected to attend, reinforcing confidence in the project’s strategic significance. IT minister Nara Lokesh described data as “the new oil” underscoring the state’s drive to anchor itself in the global AI infrastructure map.

The Google investment taps into intensifying competition among global cloud and tech firms racing to establish AI infrastructure in India. Over the past months, tech majors have escalated commitments toward data centres, seeking to capitalise on surging demand for cloud and generative AI services.

Development of supportive infrastructure is underway in tandem. The state plans to enhance grid capacity, ensure uninterrupted power, and establish multiple cable landing stations to facilitate connectivity across Asia. The Hyderabad–Vizag corridor is poised to evolve as a subsea cable and data junction.

However, land acquisition hurdles pose a risk. Authorities have earmarked about 200 acres in Tarluvada, but litigation filed by claimants — some reportedly on behalf of proxy or deceased farmers — has slowed progress. The government has increased compensation to approximately ₹50 lakh per acre, and pledged jobs, shop spaces and housing plots to mitigate resistance. Chief Minister Naidu has directed efforts to fast-track resolution and suppress obstruction by alleged benami interests.

Political friction is surfacing. Local legislators from opposition parties accuse rivals of stalling the project to protect illicit land holdings. The TDP’s Palla Srinivasa Rao claimed that the ruling party is attempting to block acquisitions under the guise of safeguarding farmers’ rights, citing instances of forged or ghost claims. The government rejects these accusations and says it will uphold legitimate legal processes while pushing ahead.

Economic projections for the project are ambitious: estimates suggest the cluster could generate over 180,000 direct and indirect jobs between 2028 and 2032 and significantly boost Andhra Pradesh’s gross state domestic product. Analysts see the facility acting as a catalyst for ancillary sectors such as data-fabric supply chains, clean energy, construction and telecom.

This deal follows prior reports that Google had earlier signalled a $6 billion investment in Andhra Pradesh’s data infrastructure; that figure is now superseded by the $10 billion commitment, reflecting the expanded scale and inclusion of AI ambitions. The project’s success will depend on timely approvals, legal clearances, and seamless coordination between state, union and private stakeholders.

Visakhapatnam’s emerging status as a data centre hub is further supported by parallel developments: Sify is launching an AI edge data centre and submarine cable landing station; Meta is participating in undersea cable projects. With Google anchoring a flagship investment, Andhra Pradesh expects to draw further technology firms to its eastern corridor.

Amin H. Nasser, President & CEO of Aramco, told delegates at the Energy Intelligence Forum in London that the company will pursue “energy addition” to cope with intensifying global demand, underlining its steadfast ambition to maintain dominance in oil. He argued that conventional energy sources will remain critical even as the energy transition narrative evolves.

Nasser projected that global oil demand will grow by 1.1–1.3 million barrels per day this year and by 1.2–1.4 million bpd in 2026. He added that Aramco, having kept extraction costs at about $2 per barrel of oil equivalent for oil and $1 for gas, is well-positioned to meet the incremental demand. Speaking to a gathering of energy executives, he said the company can sustain maximum crude output of 12 million bpd for a full year without incurring extra cost.

He stressed that while many promises of the energy transition have fallen short, three shifts are now underway. First, he said the market is conceding that underinvestment in supply has risks. Second, cost pressures on alternative technologies are forcing a reevaluation of pace. Third, energy security is reclaiming a central role in policy-making. “Much of the promised progress has not been delivered, with many unintended consequences. Thankfully, it is finally shifting the narrative in three key ways,” Nasser said.

Behind the rhetoric lies a more cautious reality: Aramco has pared back its previous ambition to reach 13 million bpd, reverting instead to a 12 million bpd sustainable ceiling. That policy shift reportedly followed directives from Saudi energy authorities in early 2024.

In his remarks, Nasser also affirmed Aramco’s push into downstream and petrochemicals. He cited the company’s recent majority acquisition of Petro Rabigh, a 10 percent stake in China’s Rongsheng Petrochemical, and a joint $11 billion ethylene complex with TotalEnergies that is slated to come online by 2027. These moves, he said, diversify revenue streams beyond crude.

His stance echoes his commentary at earlier industry events. At CERAWeek in Houston, Nasser had cast doubt on the viability of green hydrogen and questioned the assumption that renewables alone can displace fossil fuels. He then quipped that there was “more chance of Elvis speaking” than seeing the current transition plans succeed.

Analysts say that Aramco’s optimism hinges on its low-carbon upstream intensity and vast reserves, which give it flexibility against higher-cost producers. The International Energy Agency’s estimates place Saudi spare capacity at about 2.43 million bpd, part of OPEC+’s total idle capacity of around 4.05 million bpd.

Still, external pressures persist. Governments worldwide face competing goals of emissions reduction, energy access, and geopolitical security. In many markets, renewables and storage technologies remain maturing, requiring heavy capital and regulatory support before they can scale. Critics argue that overreliance on fossil fuels could lock in carbon-intensive infrastructure and slow the path to net zero.

At the London forum, however, Nasser signalled that Aramco sees its role as not merely supplying more oil but shaping the discourse. “We are determined to remain dominant in oil thanks to a massive resource base, low costs, and one of the lowest upstream carbon intensities across the industry,” he said. He urged policymakers and financiers to support broad energy investment rather than prematurely dismiss conventional sources.

Emirates NBD is in advanced negotiations to acquire up to a 25 percent stake in Mumbai-based RBL Bank through a preferential allotment of equity and warrants, two people familiar with the matter told Reuters. The proposal would mark a major move by the Dubai-based lender into India’s private banking sector.

The Dubai bank is evaluating the terms of the deal, including pricing and structure, though both parties have yet to confirm the arrangement publicly. One of the sources indicated that the deal may be announced once approvals are in place.

On the Indian equities front, news of the talks propelled RBL’s shares higher: the stock climbed over 3 percent on 14 October, reaching its highest level since January 2024, and became one of the top gainers among private banks. Investor optimism stemmed from expectations that a reputable foreign investor might bolster transparency, governance and capital strength at RBL Bank.

Under Indian banking regulations, strategic foreign investors are generally restricted to a 15 percent stake, although exceptions have been made in high-profile cases. The Reserve Bank of India earlier permitted Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation to hold 20 percent in Yes Bank, setting a precedent for flexibility in exceptional circumstances. Simultaneously, India is exploring adjustments to foreign ownership rules to enhance capital inflows into its banking sector.

Emirates NBD already holds regulatory approval in principle to convert its branches in India into a wholly owned subsidiary, positioning itself to operate on par with domestic Indian banks. That architecture would facilitate compliance with local regulations and provide greater autonomy to its Indian operations.

RBL Bank maintains a dispersed shareholding structure, with retail investors, mutual funds and small institutional holders driving most of its capital. It has no traditional promoter group. In June 2024, the bank had announced plans to raise ₹65 billion through a mix of institutional share issuance and debt instruments to support growth plans.

Previous media reports spanning earlier in 2025 suggested Emirates NBD’s interest in acquiring a minority stake in RBL, via a preferential allotment route, as part of its Asian expansion push. Those earlier discussions laid the groundwork for the current advanced negotiations.

The deal—if consummated—would align with Emirates NBD’s broader strategy of deepening its footprint in India, a market it already serves through branches in Mumbai, Chennai and Gurugram, and via its approved subsidiary structure. The bank has posted robust growth: in the first quarter of 2025, it exceeded profit expectations, buoyed by strong loan expansion and net interest income.

Still, multiple hurdles remain. Key among them are regulatory approvals from the RBI and possibly the finance ministry, clearances from capital markets regulators, and acceptance by RBL Bank’s board. Moreover, the valuation will be closely scrutinised, since acquiring a wedge of 25 percent may require pricing the equity at a premium to prevailing market values.

On the regulator’s side, officials have been deliberating over changes to banking ownership norms to attract foreign capital, particularly in systems where capital demand is rising rapidly. Some observers view case-by-case relaxation of limits as a likely path forward.

Institutional analysts have viewed Emirates NBD’s possible entry as a positive for RBL. One equity research note from ICICI Direct argued that the presence of a well-capitalised global investor could strengthen governance practices and investor confidence.

Dubai-based Dubizzle Group Holdings has unveiled plans to float about 30.34 % of its share capital via an initial public offering on the Dubai Financial Market. The offer comprises 1.25 billion ordinary shares, of which 196.1 million are fresh issues from the company and 1.05 billion are existing shares sold by current shareholders. Subscription will be open from 23 to 29 October, the price will be fixed on 30 October, and trading is expected to begin on 6 November 2025.

The firm has appointed Rothschild & Co. as Independent Financial Advisor and Emirates NBD Capital as Listing Advisor. The IPO will be co-managed by banks including Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, Barclays, EFG-Hermes UAE, Emirates NBD, Goldman Sachs International, HSBC Middle East and Morgan Stanley. Dubizzle’s largest shareholder, Prosus N. V., is committing USD 100 million to the issuance, signaling continued backing after initially investing in 2011.

Dubizzle operates across two main platforms: dubizzle, which handles automotive and general classifieds, and Bayut, focused on real estate. In the 18 months leading up to the IPO, the group pursued strategic acquisitions such as Drive Arabia, Hatla2ee, and most recently Property Monitor, a UAE real estate data and analytics provider. The acquisition of Property Monitor, which delivered a revenue CAGR of 55 % from 2022 to 2024, is expected to deepen Dubizzle’s insight offering in its property vertical.

Financially, the group has improved its performance. In 2024, revenues reached USD 222 million, with the net loss narrowing. For the first half of 2025, revenue rose to USD 133 million, while adjusted profit stood at USD 14 million. The more constrained net loss of USD 8.9 million in H1 2025 marks further progress in reducing deficits.

Market conditions have played in Dubizzle’s favour. Dubai’s real estate market has surged, with prices climbing over 70 % over four years, boosting transaction activity and demand for online classifieds. Analysts view the Dubizzle IPO as one of the largest tech offerings this year in the UAE, designed to attract capital inflows into the growing digital marketplace sector.

Yet challenges lie ahead. Investor scrutiny of valuations and corporate transparency will intensify, and Dubizzle must show sustainable path to profitability beyond growth. Some analysts estimate the IPO value in the USD 500 million to USD 1 billion range, consistent with its fundraising and valuation aspirations. Liquidity and free float requirements—especially for inclusion in indices like MSCI—may pressure the group to deliver consistent operational metrics.

In preparing for the public listing, Dubizzle has restructured its syndicate. It previously engaged banks such as Emirates NBD, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, and now rotated in Morgan Stanley, replacing former links to Citigroup. The reconfiguration suggests an adaptive approach designed to secure stronger placement and institutional interest.

Dubizzle and many other UAE firms are benefiting from momentum in the IPO pipeline. According to regional capital markets observers, between 25 IPOs were recorded in the first half of 2025, generating about USD 4.5 billion. Brokers like Citi assert that the pipeline remains healthy, even amid macro and geopolitical headwinds, and highlight investor demand for exposure to unlisted technology, fintech, and real estate-adjacent sectors.

Binance has pledged $283 million in compensation for users whose holdings suffered from token de-pegging during Friday’s extreme market turmoil. The capital injection is aimed at covering verifiable losses directly caused by platform anomalies.

The move follows a dramatic period of volatility that triggered sharp deviations in stablecoins and staking tokens, with some altcoins registering drastic steep declines or even temporary zero valuations on Binance. Analysts and insiders view the compensation effort as a critical test of the exchange’s stewardship and resilience.

Between 20:50 and 22:00 UTC on Friday, intense selling pressure and slumping liquidity pushed multiple tokens away from their pegged values, according to Binance’s internal timeline. The tokens most affected included USDE, BNSOL, and WBETH. Binance said the de-pegging began around 21:36 UTC and bottomed shortly thereafter.

The exchange insists that all compensations will be limited to losses traceable to system errors or platform shortcomings—not losses deriving from normal market fluctuations or unrealised price shifts. Users must substantiate their claims with transaction records and proof that the losses stemmed from mispricing on Binance.

During the crash, some tokens on Binance appeared to hit “zero” for brief moments. But that zero pricing was largely a display artifact linked to system overload and liquidity gaps, rather than reflecting true value collapse. In parallel, those same tokens maintained nonzero trading levels on other exchanges, underscoring that Binance’s internal issues amplified the anomaly.

To explain the phenomenon, Binance managers pointed to cascading liquidations. As prices dropped, collateralised altcoins were automatically sold to cover leveraged positions, feeding further selling pressure. That mechanism, combined with display parameter issues in decimal configuration, led to mispricing events.

Binance executive Richard Teng issued a public apology, stating: “I’m truly sorry to everyone who was impacted. We don’t make excuses — we listen closely, learn from what happened, and are committed to doing better.” Meanwhile, Binance co-founder Yi He reaffirmed that the firm sees this as a responsibility to its user community, pledging to examine each claim thoroughly.

Crypto markets were hit hard across the board. Over $20 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated industry-wide, with Bitcoin plunging from over $124,000 to lows near $105,000, while altcoins exposed to margin stress plunged further. The market contraction erased nearly $850 billion in market capitalisation within hours.

Intercontinental Exchange, which owns the New York Stock Exchange, is committing up to $2 billion in Polymarket, valuing the event-prediction platform at about $8 billion before the investment. ICE will serve as a global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data and will collaborate on tokenisation and related infrastructure.

Polymarket is gearing up for its return to U. S. markets following a multi-year regulatory hiatus. The firm acquired QCEX, a derivatives exchange and clearinghouse with CFTC licensure, for $112 million, enabling it to operate under U. S. regulation. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has granted a no-action letter for event contracts, clearing a path for U. S. users to trade again.

Born in 2020 under the leadership of CEO Shayne Coplan, Polymarket permits users to wager on outcomes by purchasing “Yes” or “No” tokens. The market price implies a probability. Winning tokens settle at $1, while losing ones expire worthless. All trades occur via peer-to-peer smart contracts built on the Polygon blockchain.

Polymarket saw a surge in profile during the 2024 U. S. presidential campaign, when trading volume on election markets surpassed $3 billion. Its probability signals have since been picked up by mainstream outlets and financial analysts as indicators of public sentiment and forecasting.

ICE’s strategic investment reflects growing institutional interest in prediction markets. With control over NYSE infrastructure and deep data capabilities, ICE aims to monetise sentiment analytics and integrate such signals alongside traditional financial indicators. ICE has maintained that the investment will not materially affect its 2025 financials.

Coplan has acknowledged the significance of the tie-up, saying the partnership “marks a major step in bringing prediction markets into the financial mainstream.” Jeffrey Sprecher, ICE’s CEO, praised the union as an alignment between legacy market infrastructure and next-generation decentralised finance innovation.

Observers suggest that navigating regulatory risk is central to Polymarket’s success. Its three-year exit from U. S. users followed a 2022 settlement with the CFTC over unregistered derivatives operations. That settlement barred U. S. users from accessing the platform, and investigations into U. S. usage had been a cloud over the company. With the regulatory clearance and ICE backing, Polymarket is now executing a comeback in the U. S. domain.

Polymarket also attracted backing from 1789 Capital, a venture fund backed by Donald Trump Jr., which joined its advisory board earlier this year. Kalshi, a peer prediction market, won a favorable court ruling against the CFTC last year, setting precedents that influence Polymarket’s legal and operational landscape. The broader industry is watching closely, as the success or failure of this bet by ICE may signal whether prediction markets can transition from niche crypto tools to mainstream financial instruments.

Shayne Coplan, born in 1998 and a former dropout from New York University, is now recognised as the youngest self-made billionaire under the Bloomberg index following the deal. His trajectory illustrates the accelerating nexus among finance, tech and speculative market platforms.

Gold-backed digital tokens such as Paxos’s PAXG and Tether’s XAUT have shown greater resilience than much of the crypto market during a sweeping $19 billion liquidation event that struck major cryptocurrencies. While Bitcoin and Ether tumbling inflicted heavy losses across leveraged positions, these gold-pegged tokens either held value or gained modestly, driven by the ongoing rally in physical gold.

Bitcoin dropped about 8.5 per cent over 24 hours, and the broader crypto index fell roughly 12.75 per cent, but PAXG dropped a mere 0.23 per cent to around $3,998, while XAUT rose by 0.2 per cent to $4,010. That divergence reflects gold’s strength: the metal closed near $4,018 per troy ounce, bolstered by safe-haven demand in volatile markets.

The combined market capitalisation of gold-pegged tokens has now crossed $3 billion, with PAXG, XAUT and KAU as leading issuers. Trading volumes also surged, reaching about $640 million in a single day, reflecting investor flight into more stable digital assets. These tokens have returned over 50 per cent year to date, mirroring gold’s gain in 2025.

Gold’s atmosphere of strength rests on several pillars: strong inflows into physically backed gold ETFs, weakening U. S. dollar dynamics, inflation hedge demand and rising geopolitical fragility. The World Gold Council reports that global ETF holdings have now reached $472 billion, marking one of the strongest quarters ever in gold history.

Yet caution signs are mounting. Analysts and the World Gold Council warn the gold market may be entering overextended territory. With gold having risen across multiple weeks, technical indicators suggest the metal might be overbought and primed for a pullback. In particular, extreme deviation above its 40-week average raises the prospect of a reversal.

Adding fuel to this narrative is the entry of tokenisation infrastructure and institutional backing. Nasdaq-listed Prestige Wealth has raised $150 million to create a treasury vehicle for Tether’s gold reserves, aiming to layer blockchain transparency onto gold ownership. Meanwhile, the World Gold Council has floated a “Pooled Gold Interests” initiative in partnership with Linklaters and Hilltop Walk to democratise fractional ownership and tradability of vault-backed bullion.

Dubai — The Syrian Pavilion will make its first appearance at GITEX Expand North Star 2025, opening from 12 to 15 October, under the banner “Syria is Online.” This marks a milestone in Syria’s efforts to reconnect with the international innovation community and attract investment for its fledgling tech ecosystem.

The pavilion is being organised by SYNC, the Syria-Next Conference network, and backed by the Syrian Business Council and the U. S.–Syria Business Council. It aims to provide Syrian startups a platform to showcase digital solutions, engage in pitching sessions, facilitate panel discussions, and establish connections with global investors and industry partners.

Bassel Yassine Ojjeh, Chairman of SYNC and project lead for the pavilion, stated that the initiative intends to generate 25,000 tech-related jobs over five years through strengthened collaboration and external funding. He emphasised that GITEX offers “a vital step … to showcase Syrian talent and build partnerships that open doors for a new generation shaping the digital future.”

The pavilion will include startup pitch showcases, interactive tech talks, and networking forums. It plans to highlight projects in sectors such as fintech, AI, e-commerce, digital health and creative tech. Several Syrian entrepreneurs have already submitted entries, and a curated selection will present on the main stages of Expand North Star.

The move aligns with a broader expansion of national pavilions in this year’s GITEX edition. Brazil is participating as the Country Partner, and new delegations from Serbia, Hong Kong, Canada and Ecuador are set to join the global tech showcase. The event is expected to host over 1,800 startups and 1,000 investors managing over USD 1 trillion AUM, turning Dubai into a tech capital for dealflow.

Despite decades of conflict and economic sanctions, Syria retains a reservoir of technical talent across its population, especially among youth and diaspora communities. SYNC was founded with the objective of bridging Syrian innovators in Silicon Valley and the diaspora with on-ground talent, thereby facilitating collaboration, mentorship, and capital flows. The 2025 edition of SYNC was held in Damascus earlier this year, bringing together local technologists and overseas experts to discuss ecosystem development.

Still, Syrian tech ambitions face significant headwinds. Infrastructure deficits, internet connectivity constraints, regulatory uncertainties, difficulties in accessing cross-border payment systems, and war-induced economic fragmentation continue to challenge the sector’s scalability. International sanctions and distrust around financial compliance also complicate foreign investment.

To mitigate these risks, the pavilion’s backers aim to frame Syria’s entry into the tech market as more than symbolic. Organisers say they are structuring due diligence frameworks, matchmaking with vetted investors, and post-event follow-up mechanisms to sustain momentum beyond the exhibition.