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The World Bank has trimmed its projection for South Asia’s economic expansion in 2026, citing elevated U. S. tariffs on Indian exports as a key drag. The region’s growth is now forecast at 5.8 percent, down from 6.6 percent this year.

The updated “South Asia Development Update” flags the U. S. trade measures as a major headwind, especially given India’s size and its integration into regional supply chains. The report sets India’s growth for fiscal year 2025–26 at 6.5 percent, up from its earlier estimate of 6.3 percent, but warns of a drop to 6.3 percent in 2026–27 as tariff pressures intensify.

The U. S. has imposed tariffs of up to 50 percent on a broad swath of Indian goods—impacting sectors such as textiles, gems and jewellery and seafood—affecting nearly $50 billion in exports. These are among the highest duties levied on any U. S. trading partner. The World Bank notes that these tariffs will particularly bite in 2026 as initial buffers from public spending fade.

Franziska Ohnsorge, chief economist for South Asia at the World Bank, asserted that the toll from trade restrictions reflects “a reversal of the gains” India had made in integrating into global value chains. She urged structural adjustments: lowering tariffs and signing free trade agreements to support export competitiveness.

Beyond India, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka show varying trajectories. The Bank upgrades forecasts for Bangladesh and Sri Lanka, citing easing fiscal strain and improving external balances. Meanwhile, Nepal and the Maldives bear the brunt of tighter global conditions, with their outlooks revised downward.

Policy responses in India are already in motion. The government launched sweeping tax cuts spanning consumer goods to automobiles, one of the largest fiscal interventions in recent years. Concurrently, infrastructure spending is being boosted to drive domestic demand and counterbalance export headwinds. The Reserve Bank of India held its repo rate at 5.50 percent in October, citing subdued inflation and leaving open room for a future cut.

Indian officials remain confident. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman called the economy “resilient,” expressing faith it could absorb external shocks while targeting an ambitious 8 percent growth. The Chief Economic Adviser affirmed earlier forecasts of 6.3–6.8 percent GDP growth, downplaying long-term damage from trade friction.

International institutions have also flagged downside risks. The Asian Development Bank cut India’s FY 26 forecast to 6.5 percent from 6.7 percent, pointing to duty pressures and policy uncertainty. The IMF earlier trimmed India’s 2025-26 prediction to 6.2 percent, citing heightened global trade tensions.

The World Bank’s report emphasises that over the medium term, trade liberalisation combined with labour flexibility and investment in digital infrastructure could help South Asia reclaim momentum. Within the document, a scenario of tariff cuts and deeper trade integration is modelled to yield significant gains in productivity, employment, and output per capita.

Still, the path ahead is fraught. The report cautions that the region is vulnerable to a global slowdown, geopolitical shocks and labor market disruptions from artificial intelligence. In particular, it warns that weaker export growth from India will spill over across the region via trade, financial and migrant-worker channels.

Oil markets climbed modestly on Wednesday as traders digested OPEC+’s decision to raise production by only 137,000 barrels per day from November — a figure widely viewed as cautious and aimed at managing oversupply pressures. Brent crude gained about 0.7 per cent to $65.93 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate added 0.8 per cent, reaching $62.24.

The measured increase is part of an ongoing tug-of-war between easing supply fears and softening demand estimates. Analysts argue that the restrained hike helped calm immediate market jitters about a flood of new barrels entering global markets. At the same time, the surge in output from non-OPEC producers—especially the United States—is tipping the scale toward a heavier supply environment.

The U. S. Energy Information Administration raised its 2025 forecast for domestic oil production to a record 13.53 million barrels per day, up from earlier projections. That upward revision intensifies concerns that global inventories could swell, placing downward pressure on prices. The EIA warns that crude inventories may build further, potentially squeezing prices in the coming months.

OPEC+ has signalled a cautious approach. The bloc’s members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia alongside six others, opted for incremental supply additions rather than aggressive increases. The decision underscores a balancing act: securing market share without triggering a disruptive oversupply.

Some market watchers believe the group is constrained by internal capability limits and the risk of destabilising the market. Only about 75 per cent of the targeted 2.7 million bpd raise since April has actually materialised, as certain member states struggle to meet output goals. Meanwhile, signs of macro slowdown and tepid fuel demand, especially in Asia and Europe, loom as headwinds.

Large oil majors are already adjusting strategies to navigate the tighter margins. Chevron, ExxonMobil, BP, Shell, and TotalEnergies are implementing cost cuts, trimming share buybacks, and streamlining operations to preserve balance sheets. Oil prices under $65 are straining profitability across the sector, particularly for producers with high breaking-even costs. Shell, for instance, has taken a $600 million impairment hit tied to biofuel and remediation operations in Europe.

In Argentina, falling oil revenues threaten the government’s ambitious economic plans centred on energy exports. Output at the country’s Vaca Muerta formation peaked in August but has shown signs of deceleration due to weaker global pricing and elevated costs. Local industry sources warn that strapped fiscal conditions and foreign-exchange restrictions are discouraging further investment.

Futures markets also reflect a state of tension. The structure remains sensitive to signals that either reassure or alarm about supply and demand balances. Traders are closely watching upcoming US inventory data, geopolitical developments affecting Russian shipments, and demand dynamics from China. Some analysts regard the cautious output hike as a temporary reprieve, with the risk that a sharper fall may take prices into the $50–$60 range if oversupply intensifies.

The International Energy Agency projects a potential surplus of 3.3 million barrels per day in 2026, even if current output levels persist — a scenario that would further test OPEC+’s capacity to contain downside. In contrast, OPEC’s internal modeling suggests a smaller deficit under the same conditions, reflecting wide divergences in forecasting assumptions. Investors and policymakers now wait for signs of demand resilience or fresh supply shocks, both of which could dictate whether oil stabilises in the $60s or slips further.

By Sushil Kutty Rare minerals included lots of ores, this was something we were taught in school and we learned about stone age, copper age and iron age, the last of which remains to this day the most basic of minerals, out of which was born steel and the term steely strength, like in ‘Superman […]

The article Pakistan Is The Dearest To Trump In Asia As Islamabad Exports Rare Earth Minerals appeared first on Latest India news, analysis and reports on Newspack by India Press Agency).

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust has overtaken all other funds in its suite to become its most profitable exchange-traded product, generating approximately $244 million in fee revenue over the past year, analysts estimate. Its assets under management are approaching the $100 billion mark, driven by massive capital inflows into the spot Bitcoin ETF space.

IBIT has pulled in surging investor interest, with around $970 million flowing into it in a single trading session — the largest share of the $1.2 billion that U. S. spot Bitcoin ETFs collectively attracted that day. The fund now sits about $2.2 billion short of the $100 billion milestone, a level it is on track to cross more rapidly than any ETF in history.

That speed is notable: IBIT has amassed nearly $98–$100 billion in under 435 days, compared to Vanguard’s flagship S&P 500 ETF, which required over 2,000 days to reach the same threshold. This acceleration reflects investor appetite for regulated, exchange-traded access to digital assets.

BlackRock’s fee structure — currently 0.25% of AUM on IBIT — means that each incremental inflow directly boosts revenue. Analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart have identified IBIT as now bringing in more income than long-established heavyweights in BlackRock’s portfolio, such as the iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF and iShares MSCI EAFE ETF.

The inflow pattern underscores a broader shift. Since the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission authorised spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, the category has seen multiple single-day inflows exceeding $1 billion. In several past instances, such inflow spikes have coincided with short-term peaks in Bitcoin’s price, raising questions among market watchers whether these are signs of a turning point.

Bitcoin itself has responded: it pushed past $125,000 this month, buoyed by demand for regulated crypto exposure and safe-haven demand amid macroeconomic pressures. This run-up in price further amplifies IBIT’s appeal, because asset growth happens both through net inflows and valuation gains on its holdings.

BlackRock is also deepening its Bitcoin product strategy. It has filed to create a Bitcoin Premium Income ETF, which would generate yield by selling covered call options on Bitcoin futures — a move aimed at appealing to yield-focused investors seeking regulated crypto exposure. BlackRock has avoided entering the altcoin ETF arena for now, focusing its efforts on Bitcoin-linked products where regulatory clarity is more established.

Still, the meteoric rise of IBIT carries risks. Fee compression remains a structural challenge across the ETF industry, and competitors are poised to launch rival crypto products. The volatility inherent in Bitcoin could reverse gains sharply. Moreover, regulatory shifts — whether through tax treatment, disclosure mandates, or limits on crypto exposure — could reshuffle the competitive landscape.

A dramatic wave of forced liquidations has swept the crypto derivatives market, with around $160 million in long positions closed automatically in just 60 minutes. The event underscores the fragility of leverage-driven trading in volatile markets.

Data from major derivatives platforms points to sudden upward swings in key assets—chiefly Bitcoin and Ethereum—as the trigger. When prices move sharply against leveraged long positions, margin protocols step in to liquidate them to prevent further losses, compounding price moves in the process.

According to platform-level monitors, the lion’s share of the liquidation volume was concentrated in large longs on Bitcoin, with estimates suggesting individual trades as big as $8–10 million being liquidated in one go. Ethereum longs also saw heavy hits, as speculators betting on further upside were forced out. Metrics such as open interest and funding rate imbalances spiked just before the cascade, signalling a regime shift in market sentiment.

Insiders point to a cluster of cascading margin calls amplified by tight funding conditions. Some hedge funds and high-leverage retail positions lacked sufficient buffers against rapid price swings. As each liquidation pushes prices further, it creates a feedback loop that forces more delinquencies. Traders on social media flagged what they called “liquidation cascades” targeting illiquid zones and stop-loss clusters—areas where multiple orders are programmed to execute in close proximity.

Several trading desks observed that for every $1 million in liquidation, the price impact was amplified by slippage and widened spreads, particularly on derivatives contracts with low depth. One senior derivatives strategist remarked that the aggressiveness and sudden clustering of these liquidations suggest algorithmic triggers—bots scanning for vulnerable clusters and executing en masse.

The timing aligned with fresh macro data that hinted at stronger-than-expected economic indicators, which lifted risk appetite broadly and boosted crypto flows. Simultaneously, institutional participants monitored rising retail inflow indicators—such as large deposits moving on-chain into exchanges—which can foretell directional stress. With leverage high and positions tightly wound, the market was primed for this flush.

This is not the first time such mass liquidations have occurred. In mid-September, more than $149 million of crypto positions were liquidated within an hour, nearly all from longs, with a top single order of $9 million on a leading platform. That event and the current one both reflect how fragile leveraged markets are when macro sentiment shifts sharply.

Market watchers are parsing whether this is a short-term squeeze preparatory move or part of a deeper regime change. Some argue it clears out weak hands and sets the stage for fresh momentum. Others warn that forced liquidations may just be the start of a larger reversal, as residual leverage and alignment of hedge-fund strategies make markets prone to repeat stress.

On-chain and order-book signals are under scrutiny. Rising Token flows from wallets to exchanges, shifts in funding curves, and concentrated seller clustering in spot markets might shape the near-term path. Some algorithms already have “sniffers” for these stress events built in; in days following a liquidation cascade, trading volumes and volatility tend to stay elevated.

The Labour Fund, Tamkeen, has confirmed it will organise the Kingdom of Bahrain’s pavilion at GITEX Global 2025 in Dubai, featuring 14 Bahraini technology start-ups and small and medium enterprises alongside the Economic Development Board and ARRAY Innovations.

The event, scheduled from 13 to 17 October 2025, promises to provide the participating firms with access to global investors, partners and industry networks. The pavilion’s aim is explicit: to boost the international visibility of Bahrain’s ICT ecosystem and facilitate business growth.

Tamkeen’s announcement places it firmly in a leadership role for the pavilion’s curation and operations. The decision aligns with its 2025 strategic priorities, which emphasise supporting enterprise growth, promoting digitalisation, strengthening private-sector competitiveness and fostering sustainability.

Officials from Tamkeen and the Economic Development Board have highlighted that the selection of the 14 entities spans multiple subsectors within ICT, including software, data analytics, cybersecurity, and emerging technologies. They say the mix is intended to reflect both Bahrain’s current strengths and its ambitions for diversification.

In past editions of GITEX, Bahrain’s pavilion drew attention from regional and international delegations. During GITEX Global 2024, the pavilion was credited with facilitating multiple memoranda and partnership discussions. Tamkeen’s continued involvement signals its belief that sustained pavilion presence is critical to maintaining momentum in Bahrain’s tech diplomacy.

Some observers note that Bahrain’s tech infrastructure and regulatory environment are increasingly seen as competitive in the Gulf region. Over the past few years, the kingdom has liberalised foreign ownership rules in certain sectors and introduced incentives for startups and innovation funds. This pavilion engagement is viewed by analysts as part of a broader soft-power strategy to position Bahrain as a hub for digital investment.

However, challenges remain. For many Bahraini startups, scaling beyond domestic markets continues to be difficult. Access to international capital, navigating cross-jurisdictional regulation, and building brand recognition are persistent hurdles. Critics caution that pavilion exposure does not always translate into long-term market entry, and that stronger post-exhibition support is needed to ensure sustained growth.

Tamkeen has stated that it plans to accompany pavilion exposure with mentorship, investor matchmaking and export facilitation services for participating firms. The hope is that a combination of showcase visibility and structural support will help convert leads into lasting collaborations.

Already, the pavilion has generated interest among regional stakeholders. Several Gulf regional delegations and venture capital firms have expressed intent to engage with Bahrain’s teams during the event. The EDB is reportedly coordinating bilateral sessions between Bahrain’s entrants and visiting foreign trade missions.

For the 2025 edition, organisers have introduced a more structured schedule for pitch sessions, one-on-one meetings and thematic forums. This signals learning from past editions, where informal networking sometimes overshadowed targeted client engagement. Tamkeen officials have emphasised tighter alignment of startup offerings with investor interest sectors like fintech, AI and cloud services.

Within Bahrain’s domestic ecosystem, private sector associations and incubators have welcomed the announcement. Some have pushed for better curation, arguing that selecting firms with proven traction or clear roadmaps increases the chance that pavilion participation yields concrete contracts or investment.

BitMine Immersion Technologies has disclosed crypto and cash holdings amounting to $13.4 billion, with 2,830,151 ETH tokens forming the bulk of its position, according to its latest statement.

The company’s portfolio also includes 192 Bitcoin, $113 million in “moonshot” equity investments such as Eightco Holdings, and $456 million in unencumbered cash, positioning it as one of the largest public crypto treasuries by ETH exposure.

BitMine’s ETH stash represents roughly 2 percent of total Ethereum supply, underscoring the firm’s aggressive accumulation strategy. In its announcement, the company reaffirmed its ambition to reach a “5 percent alchemy” threshold—i. e., to hold 5 percent of ETH’s total circulation.

Thomas “Tom” Lee of Fundstrat, chairman of BitMine, framed ETH as the “premier choice” for its reliability, 100 percent uptime, and alignment with institutional and AI adoption in blockchain infrastructure. He argued that as Wall Street and AI increasingly anchor on the blockchain, Ethereum offers structural advantage.

The disclosed holdings mark a dramatic acceleration in BitMine’s pivot from bitcoin mining toward becoming a major Ethereum treasury vehicle. The firm claims it now leads all publicly traded companies in ETH holdings, and ranks second globally in treasury scale behind Strategy, Inc.

Investors and markets responded swiftly to BitMine’s disclosures and related developments. In July, shares soared following a regulatory filing revealing that Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund had taken a 9.1 percent stake in the company, making him its largest known institutional shareholder. That news helped drive BitMine’s stock to near-record intraday gains.

Analysts view the firm’s strategy as part of a broader trend: smaller-cap crypto and blockchain firms are increasingly diversifying beyond bitcoin into ETH-focused treasury allocations. BitMine’s velocity of accumulation and the high liquidity of its stock have drawn comparisons to Michael Saylor’s bitcoin strategy at MicroStrategy.

Regulatory and market timing factors may amplify or constrain BitMine’s ambition. The U. S. SEC’s evolving posture toward digital asset teams—including Project Crypto and the so-called “GENIUS Act” proposals—could shape the framing of Ethereum as a mainstream institutional asset, or alternatively intensify scrutiny of crypto treasury holdings.

Sceptics point to concentration risk and valuation vulnerability. Holding such a large share of a single token leaves BitMine exposed to ETH price swings, smart contract risks, network upgrades, and macro-crypto sentiment downturns. As the firm presses toward its 5 percent goal, it will also face growing attention from regulators, market participants, and the Ethereum community around centralisation concerns.

Still, BitMine’s approach stands out for its bold scale and speed. The company argues that the “power law benefits” favour large holders of ETH, and that a discount between ETH price and its future utility—particularly under rising AI and blockchain convergence narratives—makes accumulation compelling.

Robinhood’s platform is showing no signs of disruption after earlier reports emerged of a service breakdown affecting user access to its trading tools.

The company’s official status portal now declares “All Systems Operational,” even as its legacy status page has been retired. Meanwhile, independent monitors such as StatusGator and Uptime report no active outages.

Accounts of platform failure surfaced earlier today, with multiple users posting screenshots of login failures, trading delays and “app frozen” errors. Robinhood’s support centre responded with standard troubleshooting advice: update the app, check network connectivity, and switch to cellular data if needed.

Analysts and platform watchers say the timing of such incidents often elevates anxiety in retail trading communities, particularly when broader market volatility is feeding uncertainty. Past disruptions at Robinhood have been linked to temporary liquidity shifts and skewed price responses in thinly traded stocks. A study published in a financial markets journal suggests that outages on digital trading platforms tend to reduce order imbalances—but only until normal service resumes.

The brokerage has faced similar failures before, most notably during the meme-stock frenzy and other high-volume trading periods. In 2020, service breakdowns prompted class-action lawsuits, claiming users lost money because orders could not be processed. The company later agreed to settle those lawsuits and paid penalties to state regulators.

Regulators have continued to scrutinise Robinhood’s operations. In March, the company agreed to pay $29.75 million to settle a FINRA probe over inadequate supervision, lax anti-money laundering controls, and failures in handling order execution policies. Under that settlement, $26 million is assigned as a fine and $3.75 million as customer restitution. The firm did not admit wrongdoing.

Market observers say this backdrop intensifies scrutiny over any glitch at Robinhood. Trust in digital brokerages hinges on uninterrupted service, especially for retail investors who often enter or exit positions during sharp market moves.

Robinhood recently announced moves to expand in the UK, directly challenging legacy platforms like Hargreaves Lansdown and AJ Bell. Its planned British entry includes proposals for a no-fee stocks and shares ISA and prediction market offerings, pending discussions with the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority.

Internal sources suggest the company is investing heavily in backend resilience and redundancy to mitigate future downtime risks. Whether today’s incident will spur formal review or regulatory inquiry remains to be seen.

iFLYTEK is stepping up its engagement in the Middle East, unveiling two flagship AI products at GITEX 2025 in Dubai as part of a broader strategy to localise its offerings and anchor its presence in the region.

The company’s showcase spans three core portfolios—AI Translation, AI Infrastructure and AI Solutions—tailored for Gulf markets, with particular emphasis on Arabic dialect support and secure deployment. Among the new offerings is the AI Translation Earbuds, designed to enable seamless multilingual communication, and the e-ink AINote 2 work device, both making their global debut at the event. The debut underscores iFLYTEK’s intent to go beyond product marketing, emphasising solutions that address regional business needs.

Vincent Zhan, Vice President of iFLYTEK, asserted that the company is focused “to deliver intelligent solutions that address real business challenges” rather than merely present tech demonstrations. The firm has already placed a local team in Dubai to oversee deployment, maintenance, and customer support. It also customised algorithms to handle multiple Arabic dialects, expecting that linguistic responsiveness will differentiate it from global rivals.

iFLYTEK’s portfolio for the event includes the Spark WallEX system, designed for intelligent space management, along with Spark Smart Blackboard and Spark GuideX. The firm says these are engineered to support a range of sectors, including education, healthcare, enterprise operations and government. Its “All-in-One AI Solution” is positioned as a secure infrastructure package for organisations seeking turnkey AI adoption.

The Middle East expansion is part of a larger international push. Outside Asia, iFLYTEK is targeting Europe, as trade tensions and regulatory pressures create incentives to diversify markets. It is reportedly planning offices in France and Hungary, with growth ambitions in Spain and Italy. In March 2025, Zhan cited tariffs in the US as influencing iFLYTEK’s decision to look more aggressively into Europe and the Gulf.

China’s AI giant also faces headwinds. It was placed on a US trade blacklist in 2019, making procurement of certain high-end components dependent on US approvals. To mitigate vulnerability, iFLYTEK has shifted many of its models to Huawei’s chip platforms. It developed its Xinghuo X1 large language model in partnership with Huawei, reportedly running entirely on domestic chips. The firm claims to have pushed chip efficiency from 20 per cent to nearly 80 per cent of equivalent U. S. hardware, though Huawei leadership acknowledges that domestic chips still lag behind by a generation.

Market observers note that iFLYTEK’s shift toward the Gulf aligns with governments in the UAE and Saudi Arabia pushing AI-first national strategies. However, the company must navigate regulatory, data residency and market competition risks. In the Gulf, local AI and language processing firms are emerging, and global players like Amazon and Microsoft are pressing deeper into the region.

iFLYTEK’s presence at major global events is integral to its positioning. In July 2025, at MWC Shanghai, it launched the Spark All-in-One AI Machine and Dual-Screen Translator 2.0—capable of handling translation across dozens of languages—to reinforce its push into enterprise AI. The company has also rolled out smart products such as the AINOTE Air 2 across Asia and Gulf markets, with strong uptake in multilingual productivity segments.

Grayscale Investments has enabled staking on its Grayscale Ethereum Trust and Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust, making them the first U. S.-listed spot exchange-traded products to support native staking functions. In tandem, its Solana trust has also activated staking, pending regulatory approval for an exchange listing.

The introduction means investors in ETHE and ETH can now earn staking rewards while retaining exposure to Ether’s spot price. Grayscale says staking operations will be managed via institutional custodians and a distributed network of validator providers. The firm emphasises that staking is passive, intending to support protocol security while offering additional yield.

ETHE and ETH are not registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940, placing them outside the conventional ETF regulatory regime. That structure allows flexibility but also exposes investors to different oversight and risk frameworks. GSOL, currently quoted over the counter, must undergo a formal uplisting process to align with exchange-traded product standards.

The regulatory environment has posed ongoing challenges for staking-enabled products. Earlier in 2025, the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission delayed decisions on staking features in ether ETFs proposed by major issuers. The SEC has articulated concerns that staking may constitute an offer of securities, complicating how such products can be structured under existing law. Grayscale’s new move comes amid evolving guidance around liquid staking receipts and the broader regulatory calibration of crypto ETPs.

Grayscale currently controls approximately half of U. S. ETP-held Ethereum, and as of the end of September 2025, the firm reported around $35 billion in assets under management. The firm has already staked tens of thousands of ETH, deploying mechanisms to balance liquidity demands with staking commitments. It uses what it calls a “liquidity sleeve”—a pool of unstaked tokens and short-term financing—to meet redemption requests without forcing premature withdrawals from staking pools.

Analysts note that Ethereum staking yields in the market range around 2 per cent annually, while Solana’s higher inflation and protocol incentives can push staking returns to double digits. For yield-seeking investors, a staking-enabled ETP structure promises a more seamless way to tap into rewards without managing validator nodes or staking accounts directly.

Yet the innovation also carries risks: validator slashing penalties, network downtime, and the volatility of token prices remain material. Because Grayscale’s staking is passive, investors’ rewards reflect aggregated validator performance. The firm has committed to transparency through regular reports disclosing validator partnerships, staking activity, and operational metrics.

By Nitya Chakraborty Indian foreign policy makers have at last showing some mature understanding of the geopolitics of the post-Trump.2 months if the external affairs minister Dr. S Jaishankar’s observations at the concluding session of Kautilya Economic Conclave in New Delhi on Sunday, are any indication. The minister was quite candid in explaining the complexity […]

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