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U. S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded their heaviest one-day net withdrawals in three weeks on Thursday, with investors pulling about $171.2 million as Bitcoin slid below the $70,000 mark and broader market nerves rose over the risk of a fresh flare-up in the conflict involving the United States, Israel and Iran. The outflow, based on market data compiled by SoSoValue and widely tracked across the crypto […]

Banks are pressing the Reserve Bank of India to soften a new foreign-exchange rule that dealers say could force the unwinding of large arbitrage positions, deepen trading losses and add fresh strain to the rupee at a fragile moment for the currency market. The central bank has told lenders to keep their net open rupee positions in the onshore deliverable market within $100 million by the end of each business day from April 10, replacing a far more flexible regime under which banks’ boards could set limits linked to capital.

The pushback from lenders has grown because the rule change lands after weeks of pressure on the rupee from higher oil prices, foreign portfolio outflows and war-driven risk aversion across global markets. The rupee touched a record low of 94.84 against the US dollar after a sharp slide this week, underscoring the urgency with which the central bank is trying to contain volatility and regain influence over price formation in the domestic market.

At the heart of the dispute is a trading structure that banks have used to profit from differences between the onshore market and the offshore non-deliverable forward, or NDF, market. Under the earlier framework, dealers could offset positions across the two venues without breaching broader exposure limits. The new rule narrows that room sharply by capping end-of-day net open rupee exposure in the onshore deliverable market, regardless of how positions are balanced elsewhere. Traders told Reuters that arbitrage books likely to be affected are worth about $10 billion to $18 billion, while Bloomberg reported that banks see total unwinding pressure building toward roughly $30 billion.

That distinction matters because the RBI appears to be targeting a channel through which offshore pricing has increasingly spilled back into the domestic market. By tightening end-of-day exposure, the central bank is seeking to reduce the ability of banks to transmit volatility from the NDF market into onshore rupee trading, while making its own intervention in the domestic market more effective. That objective fits with a broader pattern this month, as the RBI has been active in spot, futures and non-deliverable forward markets to steady the currency.

Banks, however, argue that the speed of implementation could be costly. Treasury officials have warned that compressing positions before the April 10 deadline may force disorderly exits, widen onshore-offshore spreads and crystallise mark-to-market losses on trades that had previously been profitable. The immediate complaint is not only about tighter oversight but also about the lack of transition time for legacy positions built under the old regime. Reports from the domestic financial press say lenders have asked the central bank to reconsider or provide relief, reflecting concern that a hard cap applied uniformly across banks does not distinguish between speculative bets and market-making activity.

The central bank’s tougher line comes as India’s external buffers, while still substantial, have been tested by intervention. RBI data cited in a Reuters report showed foreign-exchange reserves at $709.76 billion as of March 13, enough to cover 11.2 months of imports and about 95 per cent of outstanding external debt. Even so, reserves had fallen notably over the month as the central bank sold dollars to smooth rupee moves. That means policymakers are trying to balance two goals at once: preserving confidence in India’s macro-financial resilience while discouraging trading structures that may amplify pressure during periods of external shock.

Another layer of complexity is that the RBI had, only weeks earlier, proposed broader reforms that would ease some foreign-exchange transaction norms for authorised dealers and give market participants greater flexibility in hedging and balance-sheet management. That makes the present clampdown look less like a reversal of liberalisation and more like a targeted response to extraordinary market conditions. For banks, though, the contrast has sharpened frustration: one arm of the regulatory agenda promises flexibility, while another has suddenly imposed a hard operational ceiling on rupee positions.

Google has set 2029 as the target date to migrate its authentication systems to post-quantum cryptography, sharpening the timetable for a technology shift that security agencies and standards bodies had already said could take years. The move gives fresh weight to a deadline that parts of the Ethereum ecosystem have been preparing for since 2022, while Bitcoin still lacks a settled network-wide plan despite a growing body […]

Morgan Stanley has moved to shake up the crowded US spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund market by proposing a fee of 14 basis points for its planned Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust, a level that would make it the cheapest fund in the segment if regulators clear the product for launch. The filing marks a sharper price challenge than many on Wall Street expected from a late entrant and […]

Zimbabwe has turned a long-signalled restriction on second-hand clothing into formal law, tightening its effort to shield domestic manufacturers even as economists and traders warn that the move could squeeze low-income consumers and deepen pressure on an already fragile apparel market. The measure is now enforced under Statutory Instrument 59 of 2026, which bars the import of second-hand clothes unless an importer holds a government permit issued […]

African Development Bank Group is set to launch the 2026 edition of its Africa’s Macroeconomic Performance and Outlook report on 30 March at its headquarters in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire, placing the continent’s growth prospects, debt strains and inflation risks under fresh scrutiny at a time of heightened global uncertainty. The event is expected to draw policymakers, investors and development specialists looking for updated guidance on how African […]

  Safe-haven demand pushed the US dollar towards its strongest monthly advance since July, as investors sought liquidity and relative shelter from a widening Middle East energy shock while also scaling back expectations for Federal Reserve easing this year. The dollar index was trading near 100.17 on March 27 and was up about 2.6 per cent for the month, a move that outpaced most major peers. Currency […]

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  Seychelles has used two high-level forums in Malabo to press for stronger backing for small island states and to elevate youth priorities within the Organisation of African, Caribbean and Pacific States, with Foreign Affairs and Diaspora Minister Barry Faure taking a visible role in both meetings. The government said Faure addressed the Small Island Development States forum and later served as rapporteur at the youth forum, […]

Arabian Post Staff -Dubai Mezza, a new hospitality platform in the UAE, has launched with a model aimed at giving restaurants upfront capital in exchange for future food and beverage credit, offering operators an alternative to bank debt or equity fundraising while also promising a pipeline of diners over time. The company says partner venues can access between AED 20,000 and AED 10 million, with the credit […]

Arabian Post Staff -Dubai Omniyat has moved to reassure investors that it has enough liquidity to meet its debt obligations after the Dubai ultra-luxury developer was placed on watch for a possible downgrade, arguing that its cash position and funding profile leave it well equipped to handle maturities without depending on a fresh burst of property sales or a quick return to calmer markets. The company said […]

Blackstone has invested $250 million in an Abu Dhabi-based payments and data intelligence platform aimed at regulated digital markets, pressing ahead with a Gulf deal even as the war involving Iran continues to unsettle investors, energy markets and regional transport links. The investment in Advanced Digital Gaming Technology, or ADGT, marks what LSEG identified as the first private equity-backed inbound transaction in the Gulf since the conflict […]

  Qatari billionaire Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim bin Jaber Al Thani has taken a stake in German robotics company Neura Robotics, adding Gulf capital to one of Europe’s biggest funding pushes in humanoid and cognitive machines. The investment places the former Qatari prime minister alongside Amazon in Neura’s latest financing, while corporate filings cited by Bloomberg show he became a shareholder through Prime Capital SA, a unit […]

Arabian Post Staff -Dubai Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank has secured regulatory approval to establish a wholly owned subsidiary in Kazakhstan, opening the way for one of the UAE’s biggest lenders to deepen its footprint in Central Asia and broaden access to conventional and Islamic banking services in one of the region’s most closely watched financial markets. The approval was granted by Kazakhstan’s Agency for Regulation and Development […]

A decision by Donald Trump to extend a pause on military strikes targeting Iran’s energy infrastructure into April has injected a fresh layer of uncertainty into a conflict that has already rippled across the Middle East, disrupted oil markets and heightened global inflation concerns. The move follows nearly four weeks of escalating hostilities involving Iran, regional militias and US-backed forces, with attacks on energy installations, shipping routes […]

Arabian Post Staff -Dubai Shareholders of Al Ansari Financial Services have approved a full-year dividend for 2025 at the company’s Annual General Meeting, reinforcing a payout approach that signals stability in earnings and confidence in cash flow generation. The approved distribution includes a final dividend of AED 148.5 million, equivalent to 2 fils per share, for the second half of the financial year. This follows an identical […]

Liquidity conditions in Gulf Cooperation Council dollar-denominated debt markets have deteriorated sharply as geopolitical tensions tied to the US-Israel and Iran conflict weigh on investor sentiment and trading activity, according to new assessments by Fitch Ratings. The agency reported that the average liquidity assessment score for GCC US dollar sukuk dropped to 45 on March 23, 2026, from 56 at the end of 2025. Conventional US dollar […]

Arabian Post Staff -Dubai Daeson Technologies has launched an artificial intelligence-powered compliance co-pilot designed to assist Islamic financial institutions in aligning operations with Shariah principles, signalling a growing push to embed automation within governance frameworks across Gulf banking. The system, branded as a Shariah AI Compliance Co-Pilot, aims to support banks and financial entities in navigating complex religious and regulatory requirements by analysing transactions, contracts and product […]

Dogecoin has remained pinned close to the $0.10 level as geopolitical uncertainty and cautious investor sentiment weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market, extending a downtrend that has persisted since October 2025. The meme-based digital asset, once buoyed by speculative enthusiasm and social media momentum, has faced sustained selling pressure as global markets react to escalating tensions between the United States and Iran. Analysts say the cryptocurrency’s lack […]

Banks and cybersecurity teams are confronting a sharp rise in financial fraud linked to the growing use of cloud phone technology, a system that allows users to operate mobile devices remotely through servers housed in data centres. Security analysts warn that the model, originally developed for legitimate testing, automation and business continuity, is now being exploited by fraud networks to bypass safeguards and scale attacks across borders. […]

Arabian Post Staff -Dubai Etihad Airways has launched its first direct service to Charlotte, marking a strategic expansion into the southeastern United States as the Abu Dhabi-based carrier seeks to strengthen transatlantic connectivity and tap into a growing business travel market. The inaugural flight landed at Charlotte Douglas International Airport on March 20, operated by the Airbus A350-1000, one of the airline’s most advanced long-haul aircraft. The […]

Arabian Post Staff -Dubai Gross assets held by banks in the United Arab Emirates climbed to AED 5.41 trillion by the end of January 2026, reflecting steady expansion in the country’s financial system amid sustained credit growth and resilient liquidity conditions. Data released by the Central Bank showed assets rose by 1.4 per cent from AED 5.34 trillion at the close of December 2025, extending a pattern […]

Reliance Industries has secured about five million barrels of crude oil from Iran in a transaction estimated at more than $350 million, signalling a calculated return to a trade corridor constrained for years by geopolitical tensions and sanctions.

The purchase, attributed to cargoes loaded through intermediaries and structured channels, underscores a shifting pattern in global oil flows as refiners seek cost advantages amid volatile benchmarks. Market participants said the acquisition reflects both commercial pragmatism and a broader recalibration of sourcing strategies by large refiners navigating supply disruptions and pricing differentials.

Reliance, which operates one of the world’s largest refining complexes at Jamnagar, has historically processed Iranian crude due to its favourable refining characteristics and pricing structure. The latest move suggests the company is again exploring opportunities linked to Iranian grades, which are often discounted relative to comparable Middle Eastern benchmarks.

Iran’s oil exports have been subject to US sanctions since Washington withdrew from the nuclear agreement in 2018. Those restrictions significantly curtailed Tehran’s ability to sell crude openly, pushing exports into opaque channels involving ship-to-ship transfers, reflagging, and complex payment mechanisms. Despite these constraints, Iran has continued to move significant volumes to Asia, particularly to buyers willing to navigate compliance risks.

Industry analysts say the renewed interest in Iranian oil stems from tightening margins and evolving global supply dynamics. Production curbs by OPEC+ members, combined with geopolitical disruptions affecting Russian and Middle Eastern supplies, have altered trade routes and pricing structures. Refiners are increasingly prioritising flexibility, often sourcing from multiple regions to optimise margins.

Reliance’s procurement strategy has expanded notably over the past two years, with the company becoming a major buyer of discounted crude, including shipments linked to Russia following Western sanctions. The latest Iranian cargoes appear to align with this broader approach, where cost competitiveness outweighs traditional sourcing patterns.

Energy traders indicate that the cargoes in question were likely acquired through intermediaries rather than direct state-to-company contracts, a common practice in sanctioned markets. Such arrangements can involve layered ownership structures, making it difficult to trace the origin of the oil definitively. Payment mechanisms also tend to bypass conventional banking channels, relying on alternative currencies or barter-like systems.

Officials in Tehran have repeatedly stated that oil exports remain a central pillar of the country’s economic resilience, even under sanctions. Output has gradually recovered, with production estimates rising above 3 million barrels per day in recent months. Much of this increase has been driven by exports to Asia, where demand remains robust despite regulatory scrutiny.

Global oil prices have remained sensitive to geopolitical developments, with Brent crude fluctuating amid concerns over supply security and demand recovery in major economies. The availability of discounted barrels from sanctioned producers has created a parallel market that exerts downward pressure on certain price segments, benefiting refiners capable of accessing such supplies.

For Reliance, the ability to process a wide range of crude grades provides a strategic advantage. Its refining configuration allows it to handle heavier and more complex crudes, including those from Iran, Venezuela, and Russia. This flexibility enables the company to capitalise on arbitrage opportunities that may not be available to less sophisticated refiners.

Policy implications remain a key consideration. While there has been no formal indication of a shift in sanctions policy by Western governments, enforcement patterns have shown variability. Analysts note that enforcement intensity often fluctuates depending on broader diplomatic priorities, creating windows of opportunity for market participants.

New Delhi has maintained a delicate balance in its energy diplomacy, emphasising the need for affordable supplies while adhering to international frameworks. Purchases of crude from sanctioned producers have typically been structured to avoid direct violations, with companies relying on legal and compliance teams to manage exposure.

Shipping data and market intelligence suggest that Iranian crude continues to reach global markets through a network of vessels operating under flags of convenience. These ships often disable tracking systems or conduct transfers in international waters, complicating monitoring efforts.

Arabian Post Staff -Dubai Abu Dhabi’s social development agenda has gained fresh momentum as the Department of Community Development signed a partnership with Mbank aimed at strengthening the financial resilience of families across the emirate, reflecting a broader policy shift towards preventive welfare and long-term economic stability. The agreement, announced as part of initiatives aligned with the UAE’s Year of Family, focuses on enhancing access to financial […]

Japan’s latest government bond auction drew firm demand, offering a measure of stability to domestic markets as investors assessed shifting geopolitical signals tied to tensions involving Iran.

The Ministry of Finance’s sale of long-dated Japanese government bonds proceeded without disruption, with bid-to-cover ratios indicating healthy appetite among institutional buyers. Market participants pointed to a combination of steady domestic demand and easing concerns over an immediate escalation in the Middle East as key factors underpinning the auction’s outcome.

Yields on benchmark Japanese government bonds remained relatively contained following the sale, suggesting that investors were comfortable absorbing supply even as global markets remained sensitive to geopolitical developments. Traders said the absence of sharp volatility in oil prices and currency markets helped anchor sentiment, reducing the risk premium typically associated with periods of heightened uncertainty.

The auction came at a time when global bond markets have been navigating a complex mix of factors, including central bank policy adjustments, inflation expectations and geopolitical risk. Developments surrounding Iran, including diplomatic signals that hinted at a possible de-escalation, contributed to a more measured tone across financial markets, supporting demand for sovereign debt perceived as stable.

Japan’s bond market continues to be shaped by the Bank of Japan’s evolving monetary policy stance. The central bank has been gradually adjusting its approach to yield curve control, allowing for greater flexibility in long-term interest rates. While this shift has introduced some volatility in recent months, domestic investors such as banks and life insurers have remained key buyers, providing a reliable base of demand.

Analysts noted that the latest auction underscored the resilience of Japan’s domestic investor base, even as yields edge higher compared with previous years. The gradual normalisation of monetary policy has encouraged some investors to lock in returns at levels that are more attractive than those seen during the ultra-low rate environment that prevailed for much of the past decade.

At the same time, foreign participation in Japanese government bonds has shown signs of fluctuation, influenced by currency movements and relative yield differentials with other major markets such as the United States. The yen’s performance remains a crucial variable, as currency hedging costs can significantly affect the attractiveness of Japanese debt for overseas investors.

The broader global context remains a critical factor shaping investor behaviour. Tensions in the Middle East have periodically driven spikes in oil prices, which in turn influence inflation expectations and central bank policy trajectories. Any sustained escalation could lead to higher global yields, potentially affecting demand for sovereign debt across advanced economies, including Japan.

Market participants have also been closely monitoring fiscal dynamics. Japan’s high debt-to-GDP ratio remains a structural concern, although it is largely mitigated by the fact that a significant portion of government debt is held domestically. The government’s ongoing issuance programme reflects the need to finance fiscal measures while managing the cost of borrowing in a gradually changing interest rate environment.

The smooth execution of the latest bond sale is likely to be seen as a positive signal by policymakers, particularly as they navigate a delicate balance between supporting economic growth and ensuring financial stability. Japan’s economy has been showing signs of moderate recovery, with wage growth and corporate investment providing some support, although external risks continue to loom.

VISHNU RAJA
RYO YAMADA
HITORI GOTOH
IKUYO KITA